Chicago @ Las Vegas Picks & Props

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board. The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 7th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.65 per game since the start of last season.

The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Raiders rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.3% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. In this contest, Geno Smith is forecasted by the model to average the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.6.

The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Raiders rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.3% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Jakobi Meyers has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 27.3% this year, which puts him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board. The Las Vegas Raiders defense has been torched for the 10th-most receiving TDs in the league to WRs: 1.00 per game since the start of last season.

The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Raiders rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.3% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. This year, the feeble Chicago Bears pass defense has surrendered a staggering 87.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. Cole Kmet has put up a massive 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to TEs. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The Raiders rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.3% red zone pass rate. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness. The Bears pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87.6%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (87.6%).

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. D'Andre Swift's 15.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 83rd percentile for RBs. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.