SPREAD
LV
-1.5 spread
-6.0
PROJECTION
-4.5
DIFFERENCE
20.62%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
LV
-1.5 spread
Close Modal
-6.0
PROJECTION
-4.5
DIFFERENCE
20.62%
EV
The upcoming matchup features the Dallas Cowboys battling the New England Patriots. Scheduled for a kickoff at 7:00 PM ET, this game promises to be an intriguing contest between two teams with distinct strengths.. The Dallas Cowboys come into this game with a powerful offense, currently ranked 3rd in points scored per game. Quarterback Dak Prescott has been instrumental in leading this high-octane unit, showcasing his ability to connect with star receivers and keep defenses on their heels. The Cowboys’ ground game, bolstered by a solid offensive line, provides a balanced attack that can exploit any weaknesses in the Patriots' defense.. On the other side, the New England Patriots have struggled offensively this season, sitting at 28th in the league in points scored. Quarterback Mac Jones has faced challenges in finding consistency, and the Patriots will need him to step up if they hope to keep pace with the Cowboys. New England's defense, however, remains a strong point, ranked 7th in points allowed, which could play a critical role in keeping the game competitive.. For sports bettors, the point spread is expected to be tight, reflecting the Cowboys' offensive prowess against the Patriots' defensive tenacity. As kickoff approaches, analysts will be keenly watching injury reports and any last-minute changes that could impact the betting lines.
-2.0
-110
TOTAL
49.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
12.11%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
49.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
12.11%
EV
The upcoming matchup features the Dallas Cowboys battling the New England Patriots. Scheduled for a kickoff at 7:00 PM ET, this game promises to be an intriguing contest between two teams with distinct strengths.. The Dallas Cowboys come into this game with a powerful offense, currently ranked 3rd in points scored per game. Quarterback Dak Prescott has been instrumental in leading this high-octane unit, showcasing his ability to connect with star receivers and keep defenses on their heels. The Cowboys’ ground game, bolstered by a solid offensive line, provides a balanced attack that can exploit any weaknesses in the Patriots' defense.. On the other side, the New England Patriots have struggled offensively this season, sitting at 28th in the league in points scored. Quarterback Mac Jones has faced challenges in finding consistency, and the Patriots will need him to step up if they hope to keep pace with the Cowboys. New England's defense, however, remains a strong point, ranked 7th in points allowed, which could play a critical role in keeping the game competitive.. For sports bettors, the point spread is expected to be tight, reflecting the Cowboys' offensive prowess against the Patriots' defensive tenacity. As kickoff approaches, analysts will be keenly watching injury reports and any last-minute changes that could impact the betting lines.
o47.5
-110
MONEYLINE
LV
-125 moneyline
LV
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
21.44%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
LV
-125 moneyline
Close Modal
LV
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
21.44%
EV
The upcoming matchup features the Dallas Cowboys battling the New England Patriots. Scheduled for a kickoff at 7:00 PM ET, this game promises to be an intriguing contest between two teams with distinct strengths.. The Dallas Cowboys come into this game with a powerful offense, currently ranked 3rd in points scored per game. Quarterback Dak Prescott has been instrumental in leading this high-octane unit, showcasing his ability to connect with star receivers and keep defenses on their heels. The Cowboys’ ground game, bolstered by a solid offensive line, provides a balanced attack that can exploit any weaknesses in the Patriots' defense.. On the other side, the New England Patriots have struggled offensively this season, sitting at 28th in the league in points scored. Quarterback Mac Jones has faced challenges in finding consistency, and the Patriots will need him to step up if they hope to keep pace with the Cowboys. New England's defense, however, remains a strong point, ranked 7th in points allowed, which could play a critical role in keeping the game competitive.. For sports bettors, the point spread is expected to be tight, reflecting the Cowboys' offensive prowess against the Patriots' defensive tenacity. As kickoff approaches, analysts will be keenly watching injury reports and any last-minute changes that could impact the betting lines.
-125
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.37 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
24.3%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.37 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
24.3%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.. The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 7th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.65 per game since the start of last season.
+350
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.48 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
17.45%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.48 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
17.45%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Raiders rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.3% red zone pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Jakobi Meyers has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 27.3% this year, which puts him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
+170
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.16 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
16.96%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.16 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
16.96%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Raiders rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.3% red zone pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. In this contest, Geno Smith is forecasted by the model to average the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.6.
+750
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.76 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
15.96%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.76 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
15.96%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Raiders rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.3% red zone pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Bears pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87.6%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (87.6%).
-140
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.51 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
14.97%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.51 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
14.97%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.. The Las Vegas Raiders defense has been torched for the 10th-most receiving TDs in the league to WRs: 1.00 per game since the start of last season.
+150
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.45 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
13.65%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.45 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
13.65%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Raiders rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.3% red zone pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. This year, the feeble Chicago Bears pass defense has surrendered a staggering 87.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.
+165
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.26 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
3.7%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.26 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
3.7%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. Cole Kmet has put up a massive 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
+310
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.36 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-15.33%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.36 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-15.33%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. D'Andre Swift's 15.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 83rd percentile for RBs.. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
+125
RECEPTIONS MADE
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
17.87%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
3.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
17.87%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this week's game, Cole Kmet is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets.. Our trusted projections expect Cole Kmet to be much more involved in his offense's pass game in this week's contest (13.2% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.8% in games he has played).
o2.5
+112
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.23%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
2.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
5.23%
EV
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.
u2.5
-135
RECEPTIONS MADE
6.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-0.37%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
6.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-0.37%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. This year, the feeble Chicago Bears pass defense has surrendered a staggering 87.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Chicago's safety corps has been awful since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
o5.5
-111
RECEPTIONS MADE
5.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-6.9%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
5.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-6.9%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 96.9% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.. In this game, Jakobi Meyers is projected by the projections to land in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.0 targets.
o5.5
-106
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-7.69%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-7.69%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL.
o4.5
-144
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-11.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-11.09%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. D'Andre Swift has been one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a stellar 2.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.. Since the start of last season, the porous Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up a whopping 87.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 7th-worst rate in the league.
o2.5
-142
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.87%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.87%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The Raiders rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.3% red zone pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. In this contest, Geno Smith is forecasted by the model to average the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.6.
o1.5
-125
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-11.47%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-11.47%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.. The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 7th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.65 per game since the start of last season.
o1.5
+104
PASSING COMPLETIONS
23.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
9.92%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
23.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
9.92%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. In this contest, Geno Smith is forecasted by the model to average the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.6. . Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-highest rate in football vs. the Bears defense since the start of last season (72.1% Adjusted Completion%).
o22.5
-102
PASSING COMPLETIONS
21.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
6.66%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
21.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
6.66%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL.
o20.5
-118
PASSING ATTEMPTS
34.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
17.34%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
34.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.0
DIFFERENCE
17.34%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
o31.5
-120
PASSING ATTEMPTS
34.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
3.84%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
34.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
3.84%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. In this contest, Geno Smith is forecasted by the model to average the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.6.
o33.5
-105
PASSING YARDS
279.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+26.0
DIFFERENCE
25.51%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
279.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+26.0
DIFFERENCE
25.51%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. In this contest, Geno Smith is forecasted by the model to average the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.6. . The Bears pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency since the start of last season, yielding 8.46 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in the NFL.
o253.5
-112
PASSING YARDS
239.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.1
DIFFERENCE
21.64%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
239.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.1
DIFFERENCE
21.64%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.. Since the start of last season, the porous Raiders defense has been gouged for the 10th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a monstrous 4.60 YAC.
o227.5
-112
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
19.04%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
19.04%
EV
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.
u0.5
+106
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.22%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
10.22%
EV
With a 59.6% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL has been the Bears.
u0.5
-140
RECEIVING YARDS
36.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.7
DIFFERENCE
26.23%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
36.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.7
DIFFERENCE
26.23%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. In this week's game, Cole Kmet is anticipated by the model to position himself in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets.. The Raiders pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus tight ends since the start of last season, yielding 8.36 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-most in football.
o20.5
-120
RECEIVING YARDS
67.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.8
DIFFERENCE
21.84%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
67.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.8
DIFFERENCE
21.84%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Since the start of last season, the feeble Chicago Bears defense has been gouged for a colossal 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the 6th-most in the league.. This year, the feeble Chicago Bears pass defense has surrendered a staggering 87.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-largest rate in the NFL.
o58.5
-135
RECEIVING YARDS
73.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.1
DIFFERENCE
21.52%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
73.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.1
DIFFERENCE
21.52%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.6 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. Jakobi Meyers has run a route on 96.9% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to WRs.. In this game, Jakobi Meyers is projected by the projections to land in the 94th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 9.0 targets.
o65.5
-115
RECEIVING YARDS
68.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.1
DIFFERENCE
18.8%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
68.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.1
DIFFERENCE
18.8%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Las Vegas's safety corps has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-worst in the NFL.
o62.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
14.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.2
DIFFERENCE
17.8%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
14.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.2
DIFFERENCE
17.8%
EV
The model projects the Raiders as the 10th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.5% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Bears pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (87.6%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (87.6%).. The Bears pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency against RBs since the start of last season, giving up 6.66 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the NFL.
o12.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
18.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
2.54%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
18.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
2.54%
EV
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.. D'Andre Swift has run a route on 51.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 90th percentile among RBs.. This week, D'Andre Swift is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.6 targets.
o16.5
-112
RUSHING YARDS
51.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.0
DIFFERENCE
22.15%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
51.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.0
DIFFERENCE
22.15%
EV
With a 40.4% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league has been the Bears.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. The model projects D'Andre Swift to notch 13.5 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.. The Las Vegas Raiders defense has had the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, allowing 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry.
o45.5
-112
RUSHING YARDS
27.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
11.46%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
27.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
11.46%
EV
With a 40.4% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league has been the Bears.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. The Las Vegas Raiders defense has had the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, allowing 4.74 adjusted yards-per-carry.. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.
o24.5
-120
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
16.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
10.66%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
16.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
10.66%
EV
The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 10th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Bears linebackers grade out as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
u17.5
-123
RUSHING YARDS
66.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.4
DIFFERENCE
7.74%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
66.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.4
DIFFERENCE
7.74%
EV
The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 10th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.. The Bears linebackers grade out as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
u69.5
-110
RUSHING YARDS
9.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
7.43%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
9.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
7.43%
EV
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. Geno Smith has been one of the leading quarterbacks in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging an excellent 4.25 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 97th percentile.. Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (141 per game) versus the Bears defense since the start of last season.
o7.5
-125
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
5.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
6.51%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
5.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
6.51%
EV
With a 40.4% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league has been the Bears.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.
o4.5
-138
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.06%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-1.06%
EV
Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.7 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
o2.5
-130
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
13.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-2.89%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
13.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-2.89%
EV
With a 40.4% rate of rushing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league has been the Bears.. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projection model to run 67.9 plays on offense in this game: the most on the slate this week.. The 9th-most plays in football have been run by the Bears since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).. The model projects D'Andre Swift to notch 13.5 carries in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Out of all RBs, D'Andre Swift ranks in the 83rd percentile for carries this year, making up 54.9% of the workload in his team's run game.
o12.5
-132