Dallas @ Chicago Picks & Props

The Bears rank as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.6% red zone pass rate. The model projects the Bears to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 8th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.0 per game on average). The Bears O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game metrics across the board. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 5th-highest level in the NFL against the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (73.1% Adjusted Completion%).

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a colossal 61.3 per game on average). The leading projections forecast Dak Prescott to throw 35.9 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-most among all quarterbacks. With zero red zone rush attempts this year, Dak Prescott's immobility makes him a no threat in the run game near the end zone. Dak Prescott's throwing precision has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 65.0% to 68.6%.

The Bears rank as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.6% red zone pass rate. The model projects the Bears to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 8th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.0 per game on average). With an extraordinary 26.9% Red Zone Target Share (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, DJ Moore rates as one of the wide receivers with the most usage near the goal line in football. DJ Moore has totaled a monstrous 64.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 76th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a colossal 61.3 per game on average). Javonte Williams's 17.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 91st percentile for RBs. Javonte Williams's 100.0% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 78.1% rate. When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Chicago's collection of LBs has been outstanding since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

The Bears rank as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.6% red zone pass rate. The model projects the Bears to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 8th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.0 per game on average). The Bears O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game metrics across the board. The Cowboys defense has allowed the 4th-most receiving touchdowns in football to wide receivers: 1.16 per game since the start of last season.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a colossal 61.3 per game on average). While Jake Ferguson has received 9.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Dallas's pass game near the goal line this week at 15.6%. Jake Ferguson has totaled a whopping 29.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile when it comes to tight ends. Jake Ferguson has been in the 83rd percentile among tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 33.1 mark since the start of last season.

The Bears rank as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.6% red zone pass rate. The model projects the Bears to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 8th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.0 per game on average). Cole Kmet has accrued a whopping 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile among tight ends. The Bears O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics. The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a colossal 61.3 per game on average). With an extraordinary 27.1% Red Zone Target Rate (94th percentile) since the start of last season, CeeDee Lamb places among the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL. CeeDee Lamb has compiled a staggering 89.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among WRs. CeeDee Lamb grades out in the 75th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 0.35 per game.

The Bears rank as the 9th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 63.6% red zone pass rate. The model projects the Bears to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The 8th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.0 per game on average). Our trusted projections expect D'Andre Swift to be a much smaller piece of his offense's rushing attack near the goal line in this week's game (24.3% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (50.0% in games he has played). The Bears O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game metrics across the board.