SF 8.5 o44.0
LA -8.5 u44.0
MIN -3.5 o36.0
CLE 3.5 u36.0
DAL -2.5 o47.5
NYJ 2.5 u47.5
DEN 3.5 o43.5
PHI -3.5 u43.5
HOU -1.0 o40.0
BAL 1.0 u40.0
NYG 2.5 o42.0
NO -2.5 u42.0
LV 7.0 o48.5
IND -7.0 u48.5
MIA -1.0 o44.5
CAR 1.0 u44.5
TB 3.5 o44.5
SEA -3.5 u44.5
TEN 7.5 o41.5
ARI -7.5 u41.5
WAS 3.0 o48.0
LAC -3.0 u48.0
DET -10.5 o49.5
CIN 10.5 u49.5
NE 8.0 o48.5
BUF -8.0 u48.5
KC -3.5 o45.5
JAC 3.5 u45.5
Atlanta 2nd NFC South2-2
Carolina 3rd NFC South1-3
FOX

Atlanta @ Carolina Picks & Props

ATL vs CAR Picks

NFL Picks
Spread
Atlanta Falcons logo ATL -5.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Kenny Ducey image
Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst

Atlanta is one of the most explosive offenses in football to run wild all day, and with the improvements we’ve seen on defense out of Atlanta there’s so much to like here with the number we’re being dealt. Bryce Young has been pressured like crazy behind this porous offensive line, and Atlanta’s pass rush has been palpable. There really shouldn’t be a question regarding which team is better, and even on the road I expect a neat and tidy victory.

Rushing Yards
Bijan Robinson logo Bijan Robinson o79.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Panthers are 26th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (141.0) while ranking 27th in yards allowed per rush (5.2). They'll have a tough time slowing down Pro Bowl RB Bijan Robinson on Sunday. Robinson gashed the Vikings for 143 yards on 23 carries last week. He piled up 1,456 rushing yards last season and shredded the Panthers both times he faced them. He rushed for 95 yards on 15 carries against Carolina in Week 6 before rumbling for 170 yards in the season finale.

Score a Touchdown
Tyler Allgeier logo Tyler Allgeier Score a Touchdown (Yes: +260)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Through two games, Allgeier and Robinson are tied with two carries each inside the 5-yard line, but Allgeier is the only one who has converted those into touchdowns. Offensive coordinator Zac Robinson seems more comfortable using Allgeier in short-yardage situations—he has double the number of carries inside the 10 compared to Bijan. Allgeier also closed out the Sunday night game and finished with 16 carries. Even before the final two drives, he had 7 carries to Bijan’s 18, suggesting a roughly 70/30 split—with red-zone work included. This sets up well in a game where Atlanta could once again be running the clock late. At +260 to score, Allgeier offers value in a run-heavy offense. Only three teams in the NFL are running at a higher rate than Atlanta’s 50%, so there’s enough volume for the backup to stay involved.

Score a Touchdown
Tyler Allgeier logo Tyler Allgeier Score a Touchdown (Yes: +260)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 days ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Falcons have a two-headed monster in the backfield and while Bijan Robinson gets the fan fare, Tyler Allgeiger could be a starter on most NFL teams. More importantly, he gets red zone snaps. He was a beast versus Minnesota with 16 total carries and was active in the red zone, including a 5-yard TD rumble to put the game away – granted the Vikes were doing that “let them score” and hope for an onside kick. He had a massive day against Carolina in their most recent meeting and I love the +260 payout.

Passing Attempts
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Michael Penix Jr. u29.5 Passing Attempts (-101)
Projection 27.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.. The model projects the Falcons to be the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Atlanta's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) on account of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
Passing Yards
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Michael Penix Jr. u217.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 206.84 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.. The model projects the Falcons to be the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Atlanta's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) on account of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
Passing Yards
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young u212.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 206.36 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see only 121.5 offensive plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.. The fewest plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (a measly 55.2 per game on average).. Bryce Young's 58.4% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a meaningful decrease in his passing accuracy over last season's 61.9% rate.. With a feeble 5.69 adjusted yards-per-target (15th percentile) this year, Bryce Young has been as one of the least effective QBs in the league.. Since the start of last season, the stout Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a puny 7.4 yards.
Interceptions Thrown
Bryce Young logo
Bryce Young u0.5 Interceptions Thrown (+106)
Projection 0.42 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
EV Model Rating
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see only 121.5 offensive plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.. The fewest plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (a measly 55.2 per game on average).. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Atlanta's collection of LBs has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Ja'Tavion Sanders logo
Ja'Tavion Sanders o25.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 33.11 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.. The Panthers rank as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.9% pass rate.. The Falcons pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.93 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.
Receiving Yards
Tetairoa McMillan logo
Tetairoa McMillan u65.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 60.08 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see only 121.5 offensive plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.. The fewest plays in football have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (a measly 55.2 per game on average).. Since the start of last season, the fierce Atlanta Falcons pass defense has allowed the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a mere 3.5 YAC.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Atlanta's collection of LBs has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 7th-best in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Kyle Pitts Sr. logo
Kyle Pitts Sr. u41.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 37.61 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.. The model projects the Falcons to be the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. Atlanta's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats decreased) on account of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather this week.. Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
Receiving Yards
Drake London logo
Drake London o64.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 68.79 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a whopping 59.7 per game on average).. In this game, Drake London is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 92nd percentile among WRs with 8.5 targets.. Drake London has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 30.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. When it comes to air yards, Drake London grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating a whopping 97.0 per game.. Drake London comes in as one of the leading WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 77.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.
Rushing Yards
Chuba Hubbard logo
Chuba Hubbard o54.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 64.75 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
In this contest, Chuba Hubbard is forecasted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.8 rush attempts.. Among all RBs, Chuba Hubbard ranks in the 93rd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 63.4% of the workload in his offense's run game.. Chuba Hubbard has grinded out 76.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football among RBs (94th percentile).. The Falcons defense owns the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up 4.73 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Rushing Yards
Bijan Robinson logo
Bijan Robinson u82.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Projection 72.47 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
EV Model Rating
The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.. After accounting for 65.3% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Bijan Robinson has played a smaller part in the rushing attack this year, currently taking on only 54.8%.. As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Carolina's unit has been very good since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
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ATL vs CAR Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

65% picking Atlanta

65%
35%

Total Picks ATL 1282, CAR 703

Spread
ATL
CAR

ATL vs CAR Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Michael Penix Jr. Score a Touchdown Props • Atlanta

Michael Penix Jr.
M. Penix Jr.
quarterback QB • Atlanta
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.17
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.17
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a whopping 59.7 per game on average). The Panthers defense has yielded the most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.95 per game since the start of last season. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Carolina's LB corps has been very bad since the start of last season, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

Michael Penix Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.17
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.17

The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a whopping 59.7 per game on average). The Panthers defense has yielded the most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.95 per game since the start of last season. When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Carolina's LB corps has been very bad since the start of last season, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

Ja'Tavion Sanders Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Ja'Tavion Sanders
J. Sanders
tight end TE • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.25
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. Since the start of last season, the stout Falcons run defense has given up a puny 0.58 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-lowest rate in football. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's safety corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

Ja'Tavion Sanders

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.25
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.25

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. Since the start of last season, the stout Falcons run defense has given up a puny 0.58 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-lowest rate in football. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's safety corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

Bryce Young Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Bryce Young
B. Young
quarterback QB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.15
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.15
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. The Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the most passing touchdowns in football: 1.95 per game since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the stout Falcons run defense has given up a puny 0.58 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-lowest rate in football. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's safety corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

Bryce Young

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.15
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.15

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. The Atlanta Falcons defense has given up the most passing touchdowns in football: 1.95 per game since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the stout Falcons run defense has given up a puny 0.58 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-lowest rate in football. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's safety corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

Kyle Pitts Sr. Score a Touchdown Props • Atlanta

Kyle Pitts Sr.
K. Pitts Sr.
tight end TE • Atlanta
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.3
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a whopping 59.7 per game on average). Kyle Pitts has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 18.1% since the start of last season, which places him in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs. In regards to air yards, Kyle Pitts grades out in the towering 88th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling an astounding 36.0 per game. Kyle Pitts has been in the 82nd percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 31.9 mark since the start of last season. Kyle Pitts's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 65.2% to 82.3%.

Kyle Pitts Sr.

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.3
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.3

The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a whopping 59.7 per game on average). Kyle Pitts has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 18.1% since the start of last season, which places him in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs. In regards to air yards, Kyle Pitts grades out in the towering 88th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling an astounding 36.0 per game. Kyle Pitts has been in the 82nd percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 31.9 mark since the start of last season. Kyle Pitts's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 65.2% to 82.3%.

Drake London Score a Touchdown Props • Atlanta

Drake London
D. London
wide receiver WR • Atlanta
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a whopping 59.7 per game on average). Drake London has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 38.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. When it comes to air yards, Drake London grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating a whopping 97.0 per game. Drake London's 73.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 99th percentile for wide receivers. With an excellent rate of 0.47 per game through the air (86th percentile), Drake London rates as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among wide receivers since the start of last season.

Drake London

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.51
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.51

The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a whopping 59.7 per game on average). Drake London has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 38.8% since the start of last season, which places him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers. When it comes to air yards, Drake London grades out in the lofty 96th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating a whopping 97.0 per game. Drake London's 73.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 99th percentile for wide receivers. With an excellent rate of 0.47 per game through the air (86th percentile), Drake London rates as one of the best receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL among wide receivers since the start of last season.

Chuba Hubbard Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Chuba Hubbard
C. Hubbard
running back RB • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.61
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.61
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. Chuba Hubbard places in the 86th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 16.7 mark since the start of last season. Chuba Hubbard grades out in the 95th percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.18 per game. The Falcons defense has been gouged for the most receiving touchdowns in football to RBs: 0.37 per game since the start of last season.

Chuba Hubbard

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.61
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.61

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. Chuba Hubbard places in the 86th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 16.7 mark since the start of last season. Chuba Hubbard grades out in the 95th percentile among running backs when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.18 per game. The Falcons defense has been gouged for the most receiving touchdowns in football to RBs: 0.37 per game since the start of last season.

Bijan Robinson Score a Touchdown Props • Atlanta

Bijan Robinson
B. Robinson
running back RB • Atlanta
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.84
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.84
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a whopping 59.7 per game on average). Bijan Robinson has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 14.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. Bijan Robinson has been in the 98th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 22.7 mark since the start of last season. With a stellar ratio of 0.11 per game through the air (80th percentile), Bijan Robinson places as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to RBs since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the porous Panthers defense has been gouged for a whopping 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-biggest rate in football.

Bijan Robinson

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.84

The 4th-most plays in football have been called by the Falcons since the start of last season (a whopping 59.7 per game on average). Bijan Robinson has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 14.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs. Bijan Robinson has been in the 98th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 22.7 mark since the start of last season. With a stellar ratio of 0.11 per game through the air (80th percentile), Bijan Robinson places as one of the best receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to RBs since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the porous Panthers defense has been gouged for a whopping 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-biggest rate in football.

Tetairoa McMillan Score a Touchdown Props • Carolina

Tetairoa McMillan
T. McMillan
wide receiver WR • Carolina
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.33
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.33
Best Odds
Projection Rating

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. Since the start of last season, the shaky Falcons defense has been gouged for a colossal 1.26 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the largest rate in the NFL. Since the start of last season, the stout Falcons run defense has given up a puny 0.58 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-lowest rate in football. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's safety corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

Tetairoa McMillan

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.33
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.33

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs. At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (61.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. Since the start of last season, the shaky Falcons defense has been gouged for a colossal 1.26 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the largest rate in the NFL. Since the start of last season, the stout Falcons run defense has given up a puny 0.58 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-lowest rate in football. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's safety corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the best in the NFL.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

ATL vs CAR Top User Picks

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