Las Vegas @ Washington Picks & Props

The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 133.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Commanders since the start of last season (a whopping 59.9 per game on average). Since the start of last season, the feeble Raiders defense has given up a colossal 1.68 passing touchdowns per game to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL. Since the start of last season, the daunting Raiders run defense has surrendered a puny 0.74 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-smallest rate in football.

The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 133.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Commanders since the start of last season (a whopping 59.9 per game on average). While Deebo Samuel Sr. has been responsible for 17.4% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Washington's passing offense near the end zone in this game at 23.7%. Deebo Samuel Sr.'s ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 63.6% to 82.0%.

The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 133.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Commanders since the start of last season (a whopping 59.9 per game on average). With a remarkable 28.4% Red Zone Target Share (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Zach Ertz rates as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. In regards to air yards, Zach Ertz ranks in the lofty 93rd percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accruing a striking 41.0 per game.

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The Raiders have been the 4th-least pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 33.3% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. In this contest, Geno Smith is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 35.9.

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The Raiders have been the 4th-least pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 33.3% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. Jakobi Meyers has been a big part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 26.1% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The Raiders have been the 4th-least pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 33.3% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Commanders linebackers rank as the best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

The Commanders may pass less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Marcus Mariota. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 133.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week. The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Commanders since the start of last season (a whopping 59.9 per game on average). Since the start of last season, the shaky Raiders pass defense has been gouged for a colossal 87.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 7th-highest rate in the league. Since the start of last season, the daunting Raiders run defense has surrendered a puny 0.74 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-smallest rate in football.

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script. Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week. The Raiders have been the 4th-least pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 33.3% red zone pass rate. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 offensive plays run: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. Since the start of last season, the poor Commanders defense has given up a whopping 0.47 receiving TDs per game to opposing tight ends: the 4th-worst rate in the league.