Commanders @ Giants Picks & Props

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The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The leading projections forecast John Bates to be much more involved in his offense's passing game in this contest (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).. John Bates's 79.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents an impressive boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 70.2% mark.. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The leading projections forecast the Commanders to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Commanders this year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 18.8% Route Participation% this season conveys a material gain in his pass game usage over last season's 6.6% mark.. This year, the feeble Giants pass defense has yielded a monstrous 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. This year, the feeble Giants pass defense has yielded a monstrous 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (51.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.34 seconds per play, the projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.. Marcus Mariota's throwing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 76.3% to 63.2%.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Right now, the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (52.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. Our trusted projections expect Jaxson Dart to throw 29.2 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. At the present time, the 10th-least pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (52.8% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Washington Commanders.. The leading projections forecast the Commanders to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. The 10th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Commanders this year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. Our trusted projections expect Jaxson Dart to throw 29.2 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.34 seconds per play, the projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.. The leading projections forecast Marcus Mariota to attempt 31.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.. Marcus Mariota's throwing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 76.3% to 63.2%.

The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.34 seconds per play, the projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.. The leading projections forecast Marcus Mariota to attempt 31.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. Our trusted projections expect Jaxson Dart to throw 29.2 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. Our trusted projections expect Jaxson Dart to throw 29.2 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Jaxson Dart comes in as one of the worst passers in football this year, averaging 157.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 17th percentile.

The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.34 seconds per play, the projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.. The leading projections forecast Marcus Mariota to attempt 31.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.. Marcus Mariota's throwing precision has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 76.3% to 63.2%.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.3% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. Our trusted projections expect Jaxson Dart to throw 29.1 passes this week, on average: the fewest out of all quarterbacks.. Jaxson Dart has totaled a mere 0.28 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among quarterbacks.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. Marcus Mariota has averaged 0.86 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 14th percentile when it comes to QBs.. The New York Giants have intercepted 0.44 balls per game this year, ranking as the 5th-worst defense in football by this standard. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, New York's unit has been awful this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in football.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 18.8% Route Participation% this season conveys a material gain in his pass game usage over last season's 6.6% mark.. Chris Rodriguez Jr. has put up a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).. This year, the feeble Giants pass defense has yielded a monstrous 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. The leading projections forecast John Bates to be much more involved in his offense's passing game in this contest (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).. John Bates's 79.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents an impressive boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 70.2% mark.. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. This week, Deebo Samuel Sr. is expected by the projection model to slot into the 83rd percentile among WRs with 7.3 targets.. Deebo Samuel Sr. has been much more involved in his team's passing offense this year (25.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.6%).. Deebo Samuel Sr. comes in as one of the top pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an impressive 47.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.. The New York Giants defense has yielded the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (159.0) to wide receivers this year.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. This year, the feeble Giants pass defense has yielded a monstrous 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-largest rate in the league.. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. Wan'Dale Robinson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a noteable regression in his efficiency in space over last year's 3.9% rate.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Giants are forecasted by the projection model to run 65.7 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).. The New York O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board.. This year, the feeble Washington Commanders defense has conceded a whopping 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 8th-worst in football.. The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency vs. RBs this year, conceding 8.06 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the most in the NFL.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

The model projects the New York Giants as the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Giants are forecasted by the projection model to run 65.7 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).. Jaxson Dart has generated 34.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the largest figures in football when it comes to QBs (94th percentile).. Opposing teams have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (136 per game) vs. the Commanders defense this year.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.34 seconds per play, the projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now.

The model projects the New York Giants as the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Giants are forecasted by the projection model to run 65.7 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. The predictive model expects Jaxson Dart to earn 7.9 carries this week, on balance: the 2nd-most out of all QBs.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Commanders to run on 47.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.. While Chris Rodriguez Jr. has received 25.8% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Washington's rushing attack this week at 42.3%.. With a remarkable total of 4.79 adjusted yards per carry (76th percentile), Chris Rodriguez Jr. has been as one of the top pure runners in the NFL this year.. This year, the fierce New York Giants run defense has given up a feeble 6.01 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 32nd-best rate in the NFL.

The model projects the New York Giants as the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Giants are forecasted by the projection model to run 65.7 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. Opposing teams have rushed for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (136 per game) vs. the Commanders defense this year.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.. In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.34 seconds per play, the projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now.

The model projects the New York Giants as the 2nd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.5% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Giants are forecasted by the projection model to run 65.7 plays on offense in this game: the 10th-highest number on the slate this week.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.2 per game on average).. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.. When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Washington's group of DTs has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in football. in football.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Commanders to run on 47.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.. This year, the fierce New York Giants run defense has given up a feeble 6.01 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing offenses: the 32nd-best rate in the NFL.. The Giants safeties project as the 32nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Commanders to run on 47.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.. Our trusted projections expect Marcus Mariota to accumulate 5.6 carries this week, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all quarterbacks.. The Giants safeties project as the 32nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Commanders to run on 47.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.. While Chris Rodriguez Jr. has received 25.8% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Washington's rushing attack this week at 42.3%.. The Giants safeties project as the 32nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.