Commanders @ Giants Picks & Props

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota. The leading projections forecast John Bates to be much more involved in his offense's passing game in this contest (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played). John Bates's 79.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year represents an impressive boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 70.2% mark. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.34 seconds per play, the projections expect the Commanders to be the 5th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased run volume.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 48.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week. Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being predicted in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s 18.8% Route Participation% this season conveys a material gain in his pass game usage over last season's 6.6% mark. This year, the feeble Giants pass defense has yielded a monstrous 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-largest rate in the league. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

The Commanders may take to the air less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota. This year, the feeble Giants pass defense has yielded a monstrous 85.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-largest rate in the league. The New York Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

Ben Sinnott has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Noah Brown has gone over 2.5 in 0 of his last 4 games.

Isaiah Hodgins has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 6 games.

Darius Slayton has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Terry McLaurin has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 9 games.

Jeremy McNichols has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Daniel Bellinger has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Devin Singletary has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.