Steelers @ Bears Picks & Props

The Steelers will be rolling with backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics. Jaylen Warren's 96.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a substantial boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 89.6% rate. Jaylen Warren ranks in the 76th percentile among RBs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an outstanding 0.10 per game. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in football versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.9% Adjusted Completion%).

At only 28.07 seconds per play, the Chicago Bears offense profiles as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: most in the league. The Chicago O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board. This year, the porous Steelers defense has given up a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-highest rate in football. The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in the league (0.70 per game) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

At only 28.07 seconds per play, the Chicago Bears offense profiles as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: most in the league. The model projects D'Andre Swift to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack near the goal line in this week's contest (5.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played). The Chicago O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board. D'Andre Swift ranks in the 76th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.10 per game.

At only 28.07 seconds per play, the Chicago Bears offense profiles as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: most in the league. The Chicago O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board. This year, the porous Steelers defense has given up a staggering 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-highest rate in football. The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in the league (0.70 per game) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

At only 28.07 seconds per play, the Chicago Bears offense profiles as the 8th-fastest paced in the league (adjusted for context) this year. Opposing QBs have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: most in the league. The Chicago O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board. This year, the shaky Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded a massive 0.60 TDs through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the 6th-worst rate in the NFL. The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in the league (0.70 per game) against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

The Steelers will be rolling with backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics. With a top-tier 15.9% Red Zone Target Rate (80th percentile) this year, Darnell Washington has been as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league. After averaging 7.0 air yards per game last season, Darnell Washington has produced significantly more this season, currently boasting 15.0 per game. Darnell Washington's 19.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 10.0.

The Steelers will be rolling with backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics. With a remarkable 20.5% Red Zone Target% (82nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf ranks among the WRs with the highest volume near the goal line in the league. DK Metcalf's 63.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 88th percentile for wide receivers. DK Metcalf ranks in the 91st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.45 per game.

The Steelers will be rolling with backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes. The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in football versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.9% Adjusted Completion%). The Bears defense has given up the 3rd-most passing TDs in the NFL: 2.10 per game this year. The Chicago Bears linebackers profile as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in football this year in regard to defending the run.