Tampa Bay @ Buffalo Picks & Props

Khalil Shakir has been a big part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.6% this year, which places him in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs. In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year. Khalil Shakir comes in as one of the most reliable receivers in football, completing a fantastic 80.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. With an impressive 13.5% Red Zone Target% (91st percentile) this year, Rachaad White places among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Buccaneers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year. Rachaad White has been one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among running backs, hauling in an outstanding 93.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Buccaneers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year. The Bills linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year. James Cook's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 84.6% to 94.7%. This year, the deficient Buccaneers pass defense has yielded a massive 88.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-worst rate in the NFL.

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. The model projects Cade Otton to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game (19.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.2% in games he has played). In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Buccaneers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year. The Bills linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year. Josh Allen's 70.1% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a remarkable gain in his passing accuracy over last year's 64.7% mark.

The Buccaneers are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script. The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 7th-most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate. Baker Mayfield has not tried to carry the ball himself near the end zone at all this year. In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Buccaneers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year. 0: the number of TDs on the ground Baker Mayfield has scored this year.