Atlanta @ New Orleans props

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 138.5 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week. The 3rd-most plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a colossal 61.1 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Jamaal Williams's 93.6% Adjusted Catch% this season shows a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 74.5% mark.

This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3-point underdogs. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are projected by the projections to run 70.0 offensive plays in this game: the most on the slate this week. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer. With a high 69.2% Route Participation% (98th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson has been among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in the NFL. The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to notch 6.1 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3-point underdogs. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are projected by the projections to run 70.0 offensive plays in this game: the most on the slate this week. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer. The model projects Kyle Pitts to earn 6.1 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to TEs. Kyle Pitts's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 49.3% to 60.1%.

This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3-point underdogs. Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are projected by the projections to run 70.0 offensive plays in this game: the most on the slate this week. The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer. The model projects Drake London to garner 7.9 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts. Drake London ranks as one of the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 4.3 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 59.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 138.5 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week. The 3rd-most plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a colossal 61.1 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Chris Olave profiles as one of the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 5.5 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Jonnu Smith has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Rashid Shaheed has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Tyler Allgeier has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.