Houston @ Indianapolis props

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. In this week's contest, Michael Pittman is projected by our trusted projection set to place in the 99th percentile among wideouts with 12.1 targets. With a stellar 6.9 adjusted receptions per game (98th percentile) this year, Michael Pittman rates as one of the top WRs in the NFL in football.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.6% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are anticipated by the projections to call 69.4 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Texans this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Nico Collins's receiving performance has gotten a boost this season, accumulating 5.0 adjusted receptions vs just 3.7 last season.

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. The predictive model expects Kylen Granson to earn 4.2 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs. This year, the porous Houston Texans pass defense has conceded a staggering 77.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 9th-biggest rate in the NFL.

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide. Our trusted projections expect Jonathan Taylor to accumulate 3.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile among RBs. The Colts O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.6% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are anticipated by the projections to call 69.4 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Texans this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Dalton Schultz profiles as one of the top tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a fantastic 3.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Houston Texans to pass on 58.6% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week. Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Houston Texans are anticipated by the projections to call 69.4 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number among all teams this week. The 9th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Texans this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average). This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The model projects Devin Singletary to garner 3.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Alec Pierce has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Josh Downs has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Mo Alie-Cox has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Will Mallory has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Brevin Jordan has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

John Metchie III has gone over 3.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Xavier Hutchinson has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.