Pittsburgh @ Indianapolis props

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. This week, Diontae Johnson is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 88th percentile among wideouts with 8.1 targets. Diontae Johnson's 71.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 63.2. Diontae Johnson rates as one of the top WRs in the league this year, averaging a fantastic 4.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The model projects Pat Freiermuth to earn 6.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 94th percentile among TEs.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The projections expect Jaylen Warren to earn 4.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs. Jaylen Warren's 13.5% Target Share this year conveys an impressive gain in his pass game usage over last year's 6.3% figure. Jaylen Warren's 3.2 adjusted catches per game this year represents a substantial improvement in his receiving prowess over last year's 1.8 mark.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.6% of their downs: the 10th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The projections expect the Colts offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.16 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. In this week's game, Michael Pittman is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 100th percentile when it comes to WRs with 11.2 targets. Michael Pittman's 7.3 adjusted receptions per game this season illustrates a remarkable improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 6.2 mark.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.6% of their downs: the 10th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The projections expect the Colts offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.16 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. Zack Moss has gone out for more passes this year (47.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (18.5%). Zack Moss's receiving performance has gotten better this year, totaling 2.0 adjusted catches vs a measly 0.5 last year.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.6% of their downs: the 10th-greatest clip on the slate this week. The projections expect the Colts offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.16 seconds per play. This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness. The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Josh Downs has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Will Mallory has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Alec Pierce has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

George Pickens has gone over 3.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Connor Heyward has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Najee Harris has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Drew Ogletree has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Allen Robinson II has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.