Los Angeles 4th AFC West5-12
Las Vegas 2nd AFC West8-9
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Los Angeles @ Las Vegas props

Allegiant Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keenan Allen Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

K. Allen
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The Los Angeles Chargers will be forced to utilize backup QB Easton Stick in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 62.0% of their plays: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The Raiders pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.7%) to wide receivers this year (68.7%).

Keenan Allen

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7.7

The Los Angeles Chargers will be forced to utilize backup QB Easton Stick in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 62.0% of their plays: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The Raiders pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.7%) to wide receivers this year (68.7%).

Gerald Everett Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

G. Everett
tight end TE • L.A. Chargers
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
+123

The Los Angeles Chargers will be forced to utilize backup QB Easton Stick in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week. Gerald Everett's 77.9% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a significant improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 69.2% rate. The Raiders pass defense has conceded the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.1%) versus TEs this year (79.1%).

Gerald Everett

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

The Los Angeles Chargers will be forced to utilize backup QB Easton Stick in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week. Gerald Everett's 77.9% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a significant improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 69.2% rate. The Raiders pass defense has conceded the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.1%) versus TEs this year (79.1%).

Austin Ekeler Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

A. Ekeler
running back RB • L.A. Chargers
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
+130

The Los Angeles Chargers will be forced to utilize backup QB Easton Stick in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week. At the present time, the 2nd-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Austin Ekeler

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

The Los Angeles Chargers will be forced to utilize backup QB Easton Stick in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week. At the present time, the 2nd-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers. The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Joshua Palmer Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

J. Palmer
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The Los Angeles Chargers will be forced to utilize backup QB Easton Stick in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week. At the present time, the 2nd-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers. The Raiders pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.7%) to wide receivers this year (68.7%).

Joshua Palmer

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4

The Los Angeles Chargers will be forced to utilize backup QB Easton Stick in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts. At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week. At the present time, the 2nd-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chargers. The Raiders pass defense has yielded the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.7%) to wide receivers this year (68.7%).

Zamir White Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

Z. White
running back RB • Las Vegas
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
1.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

A rushing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a 3-point favorite in this week's game. The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week. The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game. Zamir White has run a route on 6.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 10th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Zamir White

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
1.4

A rushing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a 3-point favorite in this week's game. The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week. The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game. Zamir White has run a route on 6.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 10th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Michael Mayer Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

M. Mayer
tight end TE • Las Vegas
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Under
-125

A rushing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a 3-point favorite in this week's game. The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week. The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game. As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, Los Angeles's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.

Michael Mayer

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

A rushing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a 3-point favorite in this week's game. The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 9th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week. The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game. As it relates to linebackers pass-rushing, Los Angeles's unit has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.

Davante Adams Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

D. Adams
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-130

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game against the Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football. In this week's contest, Davante Adams is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among wideouts with 10.8 targets. Davante Adams's 83.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 75.0. With a fantastic 5.7 adjusted catches per game (92nd percentile) this year, Davante Adams ranks as one of the best WRs in the league in the league.

Davante Adams

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.3

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game against the Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football. In this week's contest, Davante Adams is anticipated by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among wideouts with 10.8 targets. Davante Adams's 83.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 75.0. With a fantastic 5.7 adjusted catches per game (92nd percentile) this year, Davante Adams ranks as one of the best WRs in the league in the league.

Quentin Johnston Receptions Made Props • L.A. Chargers

Q. Johnston
wide receiver WR • L.A. Chargers
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.24
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-128
Under
+114

Quentin Johnston has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jakobi Meyers Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

J. Meyers
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.44
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-150
Under
-139

Jakobi Meyers has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Hunter Renfrow Receptions Made Props • Las Vegas

H. Renfrow
wide receiver WR • Las Vegas
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.47
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-115
Under
+116

Hunter Renfrow has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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