Nissan Stadium
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 55.2% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. The lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Tennessee Titans this year (a measly 52.2 per game on average). Opposing QBs teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Indianapolis Colts, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 34.3 per game) this year. The Titans O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board. DeAndre Hopkins's receiving talent has diminished this year, accumulating just 4.2 adjusted receptions vs 6.8 last year.
The Tennessee Titans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context). Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 130.9 offensive plays called: the fewest on the slate this week. Derrick Henry's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 84.3% to 95.6%.
The Tennessee Titans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context). Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 130.9 offensive plays called: the fewest on the slate this week. In this game, Chigoziem Okonkwo is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.6 targets. Chigoziem Okonkwo's 16.0% Target% this season reflects a substantial improvement in his pass game workload over last season's 10.8% mark.
Alec Pierce has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Treylon Burks has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
Tyjae Spears has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Kylen Granson has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Josh Downs has gone over 4.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
