Pittsburgh @ Cleveland props

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week. The leading projections forecast Jaylen Warren to garner 4.7 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 93rd percentile among running backs. Jaylen Warren's 14.2% Target Share this year indicates a substantial progression in his passing attack volume over last year's 6.3% mark. Jaylen Warren's receiving talent has gotten better this season, averaging 3.4 adjusted receptions vs a mere 1.8 last season.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week. This week, Pat Freiermuth is forecasted by the projection model to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.4 targets.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.9 plays on offense run: the highest number out of all the games this week. The most plays in football have been run by the Browns this year (a massive 66.7 per game on average). In this game, David Njoku is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 89th percentile among TEs with 5.8 targets. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year. David Njoku ranks as one of the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging a fantastic 4.3 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

The model projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 49.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. Amari Cooper's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 64.9% to 60.6%. This year, the strong Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded a mere 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 8th-best rate in the league. When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.9 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 26.8 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: fewest in football. Diontae Johnson's 81.5% Route% this season indicates a significant diminishment in his passing game volume over last season's 96.2% mark. When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year. The Cleveland Browns pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (52.9%) versus WRs this year (52.9%).

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see 132.9 plays on offense run: the highest number out of all the games this week. The most plays in football have been run by the Browns this year (a massive 66.7 per game on average). The projections expect Jerome Ford to notch 3.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among running backs. Jerome Ford's 17.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the league: 84th percentile for RBs. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Kareem Hunt has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Najee Harris has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

George Pickens has gone over 2.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Elijah Moore has gone over 2.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Cedric Tillman has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.