Baltimore @ Tennessee props

A rushing game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 4-point favorite this week. The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics. Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Ravens are expected by the projections to call only 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week. The leading projections forecast Zay Flowers to be a less important option in his team's passing game in this week's contest (22.6% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (28.5% in games he has played).

The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context). A passing game script is indicated by the Titans being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest. The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year. In this game, Chigoziem Okonkwo is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.2 targets. With a RATE1-RATE2 point increase in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) from last season to this one, Chigoziem Okonkwo has been more prominently utilized in his team's passing game.

The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context). A passing game script is indicated by the Titans being a -4-point underdog in this week's contest. The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year. The model projects DeAndre Hopkins to earn 9.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among wideouts. DeAndre Hopkins's 74.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) grades out among the league leaders: 96th percentile for wide receivers.

The Ravens boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). This week, Mark Andrews is expected by the predictive model to place in the 98th percentile among TEs with 7.4 targets. Mark Andrews has been among the best pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 5.1 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 95th percentile. Mark Andrews's 72.1% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a a noteable gain in his receiving talent over last season's 65.7% figure. The Titans pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (81.5%) vs. tight ends this year (81.5%).

Tyjae Spears has gone over 2.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Rashod Bateman has gone over 1.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Chris Moore has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nelson Agholor has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Justice Hill has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Derrick Henry has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Gus Edwards has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Odell Beckham Jr. has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.