Indiana vs Michigan Picks & Props
IU vs MICH Picks
NCAAF PicksBoth defenses should dictate the pace early, making the first-half under an appealing play. Indiana and Michigan rank among the nation's top 10 teams in first-half points allowed, each surrendering fewer than seven points per game. With freshman Tommy Carr making his first start, expect Michigan to lean on the run.
Michigan's path to covering starts with a low-scoring affair, as freshman Tommy Carr makes his first collegiate start. Expect Kyle Whittingham to lean on the running game while Indiana's defense continues to limit Big Ten opponents. I project a 20-17 finish, making the under 41 playable down to 40.
Michigan's quarterback change could be exactly what the Wolverines need against Indiana. Tommy Carr helped lead Michigan to a win over Penn State, and its elite defense should keep this game competitive. Coming off a heartbreaking loss to Ohio State, Indiana could be overvalued, making Michigan +7.5 an appealing play.
This game script sets up nicely for a correlated parlay. Michigan +7.5 gives the Wolverines room to keep things competitive, while the full-game under 41.5 benefits from two elite defenses and a freshman quarterback making his first start. The first-half under 20.5 fits that same low-scoring script, creating an appealing combination at 4.29x odds.
IU vs MICH Consensus Picks
IU vs MICH Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
MICH
T. Carr
(QB)
o149.5 Passing Yards
169.15 OVER
PROJECTION
+19.6
DIFFERENCE
26.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
J. Hoover
(QB)
o199.5 Passing Yards
209.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.1
DIFFERENCE
18.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
IU
T. Richard
(RB)
o59.5 Rushing Yards
70.22 OVER
PROJECTION
+10.7
DIFFERENCE
26.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
MICH
J. Marshall
(RB)
o42.5 Rushing Yards
46.35 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.8
DIFFERENCE
18.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
IU
L. Beebe Jr.
(RB)
o46.5 Rushing Yards
50.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.7
DIFFERENCE
6.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MICH
A. Marsh
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
62.37 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.9
DIFFERENCE
27.17%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MICH
J. Buchanan
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
70.81 OVER
PROJECTION
+21.3
DIFFERENCE
26.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
IU
C. Becker
(WR)
o79.5 Receiving Yards
95.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.4
DIFFERENCE
26.28%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
MICH
H. Hansen
(TE)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
27.34 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.8
DIFFERENCE
20.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
IU
N. Marsh
(WR)
o65.5 Receiving Yards
68.28 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.8
DIFFERENCE
16.06%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MICH
J. Buchanan
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions
4.48 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
14.97%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
IU
C. Becker
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
5.72 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
13.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
MICH
A. Marsh
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
4.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
IU
N. Marsh
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
4.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
IU
L. Beebe Jr.
(RB)
o10.5 Carries
11.05 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
13.24%
EV
|
|||||||
|
COMPLETIONS
J. Hoover
(QB)
o16.5 Completions
16.83 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.8%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 4-0 in Hoosiers last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 8-1 in Wolverines last 9 home games.
Under is 7-1 in Wolverines last 8 games as a home favorite.
Over is 8-1 in Hoosiers last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Hoosiers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Wolverines last 7 games as an underdog.
Under is 4-0 in Wolverines last 4 conference games.
Under is 5-1 in Wolverines last 6 games overall.