Oregon vs Illinois Picks & Props
ORE vs ILL Picks
NCAAF PicksIllinois can start faster without undermining the Oregon full-game angle. The Illini rank 22nd in first-quarter scoring and are coming off a bye, while Oregon ranks 105th and has to travel across two time zones.
Oregon -9.5 is playable up to -10.5. The Ducks’ defense has carried the load since Moore went down, while Illinois ranks near the bottom of the Big Ten in scoring defense and just gave up 31 regulation points to Michigan State.
Under 50.5 is playable down to 49.5. Both teams are without their original starting quarterbacks, Oregon’s passing game has cratered without Moore, and more emphasis on the run should shorten the game against the best defense on the field.
Illinois can start fast without staying close all afternoon. If Oregon’s depth and defense take over as the game wears on, the Ducks can pull away while a slower overall script keeps the scoring under control.
ORE vs ILL Consensus Picks
ORE vs ILL Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SPREAD
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL
Over
49.5 Total
52.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.2
DIFFERENCE
16.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ORE
D. Hill Jr.
(RB)
o64.5 Rushing Yards
77.11 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.6
DIFFERENCE
25.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ILL
A. Laughery
(RB)
o62.5 Rushing Yards
70.16 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.7
DIFFERENCE
22.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ORE
J. Davison
(RB)
o59.5 Rushing Yards
65.41 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.9
DIFFERENCE
22.26%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ILL
J. Barnett
(RB)
o14.5 Rushing Yards
17.41 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.9
DIFFERENCE
20.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ORE
M. Hampton
(WR)
o34.5 Receiving Yards
42.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.4
DIFFERENCE
25.7%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ILL
C. Dixon
(WR)
o72.5 Receiving Yards
88.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+16.2
DIFFERENCE
25.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ORE
D. Hill Jr.
(RB)
o16.5 Receiving Yards
24.33 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.8
DIFFERENCE
25.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ILL
H. Clement
(WR)
o49.5 Receiving Yards
57.01 OVER
PROJECTION
+7.5
DIFFERENCE
23.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
ORE
M. Hampton
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
3.48 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
12.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
ORE
D. Hill Jr.
(RB)
o2.5 Receptions
2.94 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
ILL
C. Dixon
(WR)
o6.5 Receptions
6.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
D. Moore
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
4.68 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-22.94%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
ILL
J. Barnett
(RB)
o3.5 Carries
4.25 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
15.06%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
ORE
J. Davison
(RB)
o12.5 Carries
14.04 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
13.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
ORE
D. Hill Jr.
(RB)
o13.5 Carries
14.37 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
7.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
ILL
A. Laughery
(RB)
o15.5 Carries
15.84 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
0.67%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Over is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Ducks last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Ducks last 7 games as an underdog.
Over is 7-1 in Ducks last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Fighting Illini last 6 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Fighting Illini last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Fighting Illini last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Fighting Illini are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.