Duke vs Virginia Picks & Props
DUKE vs UVA Picks
NCAAF PicksExpect a clock-draining first half when Duke and Virginia meet. Both offenses lean heavily on the run and rank among the slower teams in seconds per play, particularly over their first three drives. Long possessions, limited urgency and plenty of punts should help keep the clock moving and the scoring down.
Duke and Virginia should lean on their ground games, keeping the clock moving in a matchup featuring two solid defensive units. The Blue Devils' ability to shut down the run could force Virginia into uncomfortable passing situations, while the Cavaliers' secondary could give Duke problems through the air.
Virginia has done little to impress since Week 0, struggling as both a favorite and underdog. Duke has shown it can compete with quality opponents, and its 24th-ranked rush defense matches up well against the Cavaliers' run-heavy offense. Give me the Blue Devils with points.
Both offenses are run-heavy and lack urgency, setting up a slower-paced game with clock-draining drives and plenty of punts. Duke should keep this one competitive, while both unders benefit from limited scoring opportunities. Combining Duke +2.5, under 47.5 and first-half under 23.5 offers a 4.80x payout Friday night.
DUKE vs UVA Consensus Picks
DUKE vs UVA Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
UVA
B. Pribula
(QB)
o179.5 Passing Yards
208.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+29.1
DIFFERENCE
27.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
DUKE
W. Eget
(QB)
o199.5 Passing Yards
212.86 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.4
DIFFERENCE
22.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UVA
J. Middlebrook
(RB)
o69.5 Rushing Yards
76.13 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.6
DIFFERENCE
22.78%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UVA
B. Pribula
(QB)
o25.5 Rushing Yards
27.40 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
13.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
DUKE
J. Hasley
(TE)
o31.5 Receiving Yards
37.03 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.5
DIFFERENCE
23.61%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games as an underdog.
Over is 7-0 in Blue Devils last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Blue Devils last 4 games as a road favorite.
Blue Devils are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Cavaliers last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 8-1 in Cavaliers last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1 in Blue Devils last 7 games as an underdog.
Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.