Braylon Braxton Pass Attempts Props • Southern Miss
B. Braxton
quarterback QB • Southern Miss
Western Kentucky @ Southern Miss Picks & Props
WKU vs USM Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
WKU -1.5 (-106)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Western Kentucky ranks 23rd in third-down conversion rate, 32nd in points per quality drive, and 29th in completion rate. The Southern Miss Golden Eagles will have a mismatch with a defense that ranked 115th in getting third down stops, 111th in points per quality drive, and 85th in EPA/dropback.
The Hilltopers are elite at limiting points on quality drives, ranking fourth with just 2.2 PPQD allowed. The Golden Eagles rank 59th in that metric, behind an offense that sits 110th in dropback success rate.
Western Kentucky has the better defense, and has an offense that will keep drives going with third down conversions. Add in the penalty issues that have plagued Southern Miss all season, and you've got a great spot to back the better team laying less than a field goal.
Receptions
EM
Elijah Metcalf u5.5 Receptions (-110)
Projection 4.5554 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
CC
Carl Chester u3.5 Receptions (-165)
Projection 2.5682 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
MB
Moussa Barry u2.5 Receptions (-102)
Projection 2.3432 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
TC
Tychaun Chapman u2.5 Receptions (-152)
Projection 2.0072 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
JP
Jeffery Pittman u2.5 Receptions (-185)
Projection 1.8736 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
KH
K.D. Hutchinson u5.5 Receptions (-178)
Projection 4.5492 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
MH
Matthew Henry o3.5 Receptions (-130)
Projection 4.1361 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Receptions
MD
Micah Davis u2.5 Receptions (-185)
Projection 2.0764 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Completions
BB
Braylon Braxton u20.5 Completions (-130)
Projection 18.4809 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
BB
Braylon Braxton u269.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 227.6097 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
WKU vs USM Consensus Picks
64% picking Western Kentucky
Total Picks WKU 584, USM 324
49% picking Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss to go Under
Total PicksWKU 302, USM 291
WKU vs USM Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
WKU vs USM Trends
Western Kentucky Trends
Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
WKU
USM
Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
WKU
USM
Western Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 46% ROI)
Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 34% ROI)
Western Kentucky has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 9 games (-6.00 Units / -58% ROI)
Western Kentucky has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.75 Units / -37% ROI)
Western Kentucky has only hit the Team Total Under in 1 of their last 5 games (-3.60 Units / -63% ROI)
Western Kentucky have only covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 13 games (-2.05 Units / -13% ROI)
Western Kentucky has only hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 9 games (-3.60 Units / -36% ROI)
Over
Under
Southern Miss Trends
Southern Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 58% ROI)
Southern Miss has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 22% ROI)
Southern Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 28% ROI)
Over
Under
Southern Miss have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
WKU
USM
Southern Miss has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
Southern Miss has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 1 of their last 7 games at home (-5.90 Units / -74% ROI)
Southern Miss have only covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 9 games (-5.90 Units / -58% ROI)
Southern Miss has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 11 games (-4.39 Units / -33% ROI)
Southern Miss have only covered the 1H Spread in 1 of their last 5 games (-3.65 Units / -63% ROI)
WKU
USM
Southern Miss has only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 6 games at home (-2.50 Units / -37% ROI)
Over
Under
WKU vs USM Top User Picks
Western Kentucky Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hogster | 9-1-0 | +6250 |
| 2 | vupham | 8-2-0 | +5900 |
| 3 | northlv6238 | 8-2-0 | +5850 |
| 4 | reddog6008 | 8-2-0 | +5200 |
| 5 | dissident | 7-3-0 | +5200 |
| 6 | NickR | 8-2-0 | +4800 |
| 7 | ciarajo | 7-3-0 | +4750 |
| 8 | DKSTACKER | 8-2-0 | +4750 |
| 9 | shogun2164 | 8-2-0 | +4720 |
| 10 | Sandsaver727 | 7-3-0 | +4700 |
| All Hilltoppers Money Leaders | |||
Southern Miss Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | courtney1966 | 8-2-0 | +4850 |
| 2 | thumpmanspurfan | 8-2-0 | +4250 |
| 3 | repl63 | 6-3-1 | +4250 |
| 4 | bigsmoke21169 | 6-4-0 | +4200 |
| 5 | CRS | 9-1-0 | +4200 |
| 6 | DKSTACKER | 8-2-0 | +4200 |
| 7 | Mungo404 | 8-0-0 | +4000 |
| 8 | tvman | 8-0-1 | +4000 |
| 9 | poppyg | 10-0-0 | +3900 |
| 10 | etrain25 | 8-2-0 | +3850 |
| All Golden Eagles Money Leaders | |||