Josh Cameron Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Baylor
J. Cameron
wide receiver WR • Baylor
Houston @ Baylor Picks & Props
HOU vs BAY Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
HOU (+114)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Turnovers have killed scoring chances for the Baylor Bears, who rank eighth in quality drive rate but just 82nd in points per quality drive. And that will be problematic against a Houston team that likes to control the game, ranking 26th in run rate and 39th in time of possession.
Baylor’s defense ranks 95th in EPA/rush and 108th in success rate against the run. The Bears also sit 104th in available yard rate allowed, and 128th in rushing line yards given up per carry.
Conner Weigman will make plenty of plays against this poor Baylor defense, while the Bears will cough up the ball against a Houston secondary that ranks 44th in interception rate. Houston has the better defense and an offense that takes care of the football, and that will be the difference.
MoneyLine
HOU (+112)
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
Arizona ran for 174 yards on 34 attempts against Baylor, adjusting for sacks, a 5.1 yards per rush average. Oh, and four touchdowns. The Wildcats were the fourth opponent in five games to average more than five yards per rush against the Bears. Given Houston head coach Willie Fritz's insistence on running the ball at all times, Baylor may be the exact right opponent for the Cougars to end the regular season.
TD Passes
Conner Weigman u1.5 TD Passes (+135)
Projection 1.2634 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
TD Passes
SR
Sawyer Robertson u2.5 TD Passes (-145)
Projection 2.1703 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
Conner Weigman u202.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 189.8251 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
SR
Sawyer Robertson u271.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 258.7618 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
AH
Ashtyn Hawkins o40.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 48.8033 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
AT
Amare Thomas u67.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 62.9239 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
TK
Tanner Koziol o48.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 52.7271 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
MT
Michael Trigg u51.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 48.6361 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
Josh Cameron u68.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 67.0054 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
KW
Kole Wilson u45.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 44.9407 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 2 out of 5
HOU vs BAY Consensus Picks
HOU vs BAY Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
Koby Young Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Houston
K. Young
wide receiver WR • Houston
Dean Connors Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Houston
D. Connors
running back RB • Houston
Bryson Washington Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Baylor
B. Washington
running back RB • Baylor
Michael Turner Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Baylor
M. Turner
running back RB • Baylor
Caden Knighten Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Baylor
C. Knighten
running back RB • Baylor
Sawyer Robertson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Baylor
S. Robertson
quarterback QB • Baylor
Jaquise Martin Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Houston
J. Martin
wide receiver WR • Houston
Stacy Sneed Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Houston
S. Sneed
running back RB • Houston
DJ Butler Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Houston
D. Butler
running back RB • Houston
Jadon Porter Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Baylor
J. Porter
wide receiver WR • Baylor
Amare Thomas Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Houston
A. Thomas
wide receiver WR • Houston
Kobe Prentice Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Baylor
K. Prentice
wide receiver WR • Baylor
Michael Trigg Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Baylor
M. Trigg
tight end TE • Baylor
Conner Weigman Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Houston
C. Weigman
quarterback QB • Houston
J'Marion Burnette Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Houston
J. Burnette
running back RB • Houston
Kole Wilson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Baylor
K. Wilson
wide receiver WR • Baylor
Matthew Klopfenstein Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Baylor
M. Klopfenstein
tight end TE • Baylor
Tanner Koziol Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Houston
T. Koziol
tight end TE • Houston
HOU vs BAY Trends
Houston Trends
Houston has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.40 Units / 28% ROI)
HOU
BAY
Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Over
Under
Houston have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
HOU
BAY
Houston has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 53% ROI)
Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.41 Units / 25% ROI)
Over
Under
Houston has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 8 games (-7.10 Units / -53% ROI)
HOU
BAY
Houston have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-6.15 Units / -41% ROI)
HOU
BAY
Houston have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.20 Units / -38% ROI)
HOU
BAY
Houston has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.15 Units / -37% ROI)
Over
Under
Houston has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.80 Units / -36% ROI)
Over
Under
Baylor Trends
Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Over
Under
Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Over
Under
Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Over
Under
Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+0.90 Units / 1% ROI)
HOU
BAY
Baylor have only covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.90 Units / -58% ROI)
HOU
BAY
Baylor have only covered the Spread in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.15 Units / -56% ROI)
HOU
BAY
Baylor have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-7.23 Units / -45% ROI)
HOU
BAY
Baylor has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.80 Units / -26% ROI)
Over
Under
Baylor has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-2.70 Units / -19% ROI)
Over
Under
HOU vs BAY Top User Picks
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YIAYIA | 8-2-0 | +6850 |
| 2 | sportbug | 8-2-0 | +5750 |
| 3 | dispnum1 | 7-3-0 | +5700 |
| 4 | Osiros | 7-3-0 | +5200 |
| 5 | Foodbank | 6-3-1 | +5200 |
| 6 | PORK SKIN | 9-1-0 | +4950 |
| 7 | vegasRich | 8-2-0 | +4850 |
| 8 | bmonte13 | 7-3-0 | +4800 |
| 9 | GodOfGambler64 | 8-2-0 | +4750 |
| 10 | cowboybob56 | 8-2-0 | +4750 |
| All Cougars Money Leaders | |||
Baylor Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | chefsloan7 | 9-1-0 | +6750 |
| 2 | Dominoe194 | 10-0-0 | +5450 |
| 3 | sprtnt1 | 9-1-0 | +4850 |
| 4 | Seawep95 | 8-2-0 | +4800 |
| 5 | melobo | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 6 | kmackie | 6-4-0 | +4250 |
| 7 | Balducci6444 | 9-1-0 | +3950 |
| 8 | cokeyjoe | 8-2-0 | +3850 |
| 9 | Bikkembergs | 8-2-0 | +3800 |
| 10 | gator49 | 9-1-0 | +3800 |
| All Bears Money Leaders | |||