Hayden Hansen Score a Touchdown Props • Florida
H. Hansen
tight end TE • Florida
Tennessee @ Florida Picks & Props
TENN vs FLA Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
FLA (+154)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Tennessee ranks 120th in success against the run, 117th in missed tackle rate, and 95th in yards allowed after contact. The Vols also have problems with mobile quarterbacks.
Florida showed life last week, and Jaden Baugh is a tank who will cause problems for the Vols. He leads a rushing attack that had a 54% success rate against Mississippi, which ranked Top 15 nationally.
The Gators are getting key players back from injury on both sides of the ball, and would love nothing more than to beat their hated rivals in The Swamp. The Vols will put up points, but the Gators will get enough of their own to get the win.
Passing Yards
JA
Joey Aguilar o272.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Aguilar has been a good fit in Josh Heupel's system, throwing for 2,941 yards and 22 touchdown passes this season. Florida's strength is its defense, but this tumultuous season is wearing on the unit as the Gators enter this game ranked 73rd in success rate on dropbacks and 68th in EPA per dropback. Aguilar is averaging 294.1 passing yards per game and has topped this number in five of his last nine games.
Receptions
BS
Braylon Staley u5.5 Receptions (-114)
Projection 4.831 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
CB
Chris Brazzell II u4.5 Receptions (+108)
Projection 4.3672 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
MM
Mike Matthews u3.5 Receptions (-114)
Projection 3.4826 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
JA
Joey Aguilar u285.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 245.0587 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
DJ Lagway u244.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 240.818 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Chris Brazzell II u77.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 66.0923 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
MK
Miles Kitselman o21.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 28.1369 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JB
Jadan Baugh o16.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 22.1519 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
MM
Mike Matthews o49.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 52.7895 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rushing Yards
ST
Star Thomas o28.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 36.8011 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
TENN vs FLA Consensus Picks
TENN vs FLA Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
Aidan Mizell Score a Touchdown Props • Florida
A. Mizell
wide receiver WR • Florida
Vernell Brown III Score a Touchdown Props • Florida
V. Brown III
wide receiver WR • Florida
Star Thomas Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee
S. Thomas
running back RB • Tennessee
TJ Abrams Score a Touchdown Props • Florida
T. Abrams
wide receiver WR • Florida
Taylor Spierto Score a Touchdown Props • Florida
T. Spierto
wide receiver WR • Florida
Joey Aguilar Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee
J. Aguilar
quarterback QB • Tennessee
Mike Matthews Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee
M. Matthews
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Chris Brazzell II Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee
C. Brazzell II
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Miles Kitselman Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee
M. Kitselman
tight end TE • Tennessee
DJ Lagway Score a Touchdown Props • Florida
D. Lagway
quarterback QB • Florida
Jadan Baugh Score a Touchdown Props • Florida
J. Baugh
running back RB • Florida
DeSean Bishop Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee
D. Bishop
running back RB • Tennessee
Peyton Lewis Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee
P. Lewis
running back RB • Tennessee
Ethan Davis Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee
E. Davis
tight end TE • Tennessee
Braylon Staley Score a Touchdown Props • Tennessee
B. Staley
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
J. Michael Sturdivant Score a Touchdown Props • Florida
J. Sturdivant
wide receiver WR • Florida
Tony Livingston Score a Touchdown Props • Florida
T. Livingston
tight end TE • Florida
KD Daniels Score a Touchdown Props • Florida
K. Daniels
running back RB • Florida
TENN vs FLA Trends
Tennessee Trends
Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 0% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.80 Units / -57% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.00 Units / -56% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.20 Units / -29% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 5 games (-3.55 Units / -63% ROI)
Tennessee have only covered the Spread in 6 of their last 13 games (-1.70 Units / -12% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Florida Trends
Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.50 Units / 3% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Florida has only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (-6.60 Units / -21% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Florida has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 9 games (-6.40 Units / -60% ROI)
Florida has only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.35 Units / -29% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 13 games (-2.00 Units / -13% ROI)
Over
Under
TENN vs FLA Top User Picks
Tennessee Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patrick9 | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 2 | shotsatspot | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 3 | stlguy18 | 7-3-0 | +4350 |
| 4 | GodOfGambler64 | 9-1-0 | +4300 |
| 5 | habsfanbronco | 7-3-0 | +4250 |
| 6 | Moogie | 9-1-0 | +3950 |
| 7 | cheeser | 8-2-0 | +3900 |
| 8 | mikeg1827 | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| 9 | luckyme1 | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| 10 | JamesGang | 8-2-0 | +3800 |
| All Volunteers Money Leaders | |||
Florida Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pittsburghphil | 8-2-0 | +5750 |
| 2 | whooped | 7-3-0 | +5700 |
| 3 | JL023 | 8-2-0 | +4900 |
| 4 | Raw72 | 8-2-0 | +4900 |
| 5 | Layne17 | 8-2-0 | +4850 |
| 6 | vladislav1968 | 7-3-0 | +4850 |
| 7 | witt297 | 6-4-0 | +4800 |
| 8 | BundiniBrown | 8-2-0 | +4800 |
| 9 | northlv6238 | 7-3-0 | +4750 |
| 10 | Haroldjr33 | 7-3-0 | +4650 |
| All Gators Money Leaders | |||