Nate Sheppard Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
N. Sheppard
running back RB • Duke
Duke @ North Carolina Picks & Props
DUKE vs UNC Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
UNC (+205)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Gio Lopez has thrown for 200+ yards in four straight games for North Carolina, and has cleared up his turnovers. It's helped the Tar Heels nearly knock off Virginia and pick up two wins in that span.
Wake Forest's strong defense stopped the Heels last week, but now they face a Duke squad that ranks 118th in passing success rate, 84th in EPA/dropback, and 114th in quality drive rate.
The Blue Devils suffered a crushing defeat to Virginia last week, ending their ACC title hopes. I'm not sure they have the juice to get up for this game a week later, especially with the Tar Heels needing to win out to reach a bowl game.
The last three meetings have been decided by a total of six points. I'll take the Tar Heels at this price.
Passing Yards
GL
Gio Lopez o191.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
We’re betting Gio Lopez’s passing yards over again (up to 199.5) because he’s cleared 200 in four straight games, Duke’s pass defense is atrocious, and a likely pass-friendly game script sets him up to exploit it.
Receptions
KP
Kobe Paysour u3.5 Receptions (+114)
Projection 3.1437 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
CB
Cooper Barkate u5.5 Receptions (-154)
Projection 4.5474 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
QB
Que'Sean Brown u4.5 Receptions (-188)
Projection 3.8215 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
GL
Gio Lopez u1.5 TD Passes (-180)
Projection 0.9275 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
Darian Mensah u275.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 246.3693 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
GL
Gio Lopez u214.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 196.3834 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Cooper Barkate u78.5 Receiving Yards (-117)
Projection 68.984 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
KP
Kobe Paysour u51.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 45.7651 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JS
Jordan Shipp u57.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 56.0139 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
QB
Que'Sean Brown u51.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 50.2799 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
DUKE vs UNC Consensus Picks
DUKE vs UNC Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
Javarius Green Score a First Half Touchdown Props • North Carolina
J. Green
wide receiver WR • North Carolina
Sahmir Hagans Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
S. Hagans
wide receiver WR • Duke
Jaquez Moore Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
J. Moore
running back RB • Duke
Darian Mensah Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
D. Mensah
quarterback QB • Duke
Kobe Paysour Score a First Half Touchdown Props • North Carolina
K. Paysour
wide receiver WR • North Carolina
Gio Lopez Score a First Half Touchdown Props • North Carolina
G. Lopez
quarterback QB • North Carolina
Benjamin Hall Score a First Half Touchdown Props • North Carolina
B. Hall
running back RB • North Carolina
Cooper Barkate Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
C. Barkate
wide receiver WR • Duke
Jake Johnson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • North Carolina
J. Johnson
tight end TE • North Carolina
Davion Gause Score a First Half Touchdown Props • North Carolina
D. Gause
running back RB • North Carolina
Que'Sean Brown Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
Q. Brown
wide receiver WR • Duke
Andrel Anthony Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
A. Anthony
wide receiver WR • Duke
Shanard Clower Score a First Half Touchdown Props • North Carolina
S. Clower
wide receiver WR • North Carolina
Jeremiah Hasley Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
J. Hasley
tight end TE • Duke
Landen King Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
L. King
tight end TE • Duke
Peyton Jones Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
P. Jones
running back RB • Duke
Demon June Score a First Half Touchdown Props • North Carolina
D. June
running back RB • North Carolina
Chris Culliver Score a First Half Touchdown Props • North Carolina
C. Culliver
wide receiver WR • North Carolina
Jordan Shipp Score a First Half Touchdown Props • North Carolina
J. Shipp
wide receiver WR • North Carolina
Madrid Tucker Score a First Half Touchdown Props • North Carolina
M. Tucker
wide receiver WR • North Carolina
Anderson Castle Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Duke
A. Castle
running back RB • Duke
DUKE vs UNC Trends
Duke Trends
Duke has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.90 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
Duke have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.55 Units / -56% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
Duke have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.50 Units / -43% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
Duke has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.85 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Duke has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.30 Units / -16% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
Duke has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 1 of their last 7 away games (-4.90 Units / -60% ROI)
Over
Under
North Carolina Trends
North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.81 Units / 52% ROI)
North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Over
Under
North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.70 Units / 21% ROI)
Over
Under
North Carolina has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Over
Under
North Carolina has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 13 games (-7.90 Units / -21% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
North Carolina has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 10 games (-7.45 Units / -63% ROI)
North Carolina has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 13 games (-6.85 Units / -32% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
North Carolina have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.30 Units / -41% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
North Carolina have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.20 Units / -42% ROI)
DUKE
UNC
DUKE vs UNC Top User Picks
Duke Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CigarSt22 | 8-1-1 | +7070 |
| 2 | BPD72 | 8-1-1 | +6900 |
| 3 | Franciswarns | 8-2-0 | +5800 |
| 4 | YIAYIA | 7-2-1 | +5410 |
| 5 | Haroldjr33 | 9-1-0 | +5150 |
| 6 | ezgoinguy34 | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 7 | KShaff | 10-0-0 | +4400 |
| 8 | Jackson2399 | 7-3-0 | +4350 |
| 9 | GodOfGambler64 | 7-2-1 | +4300 |
| 10 | djmdthedoc | 8-2-0 | +4200 |
| All Blue Devils Money Leaders | |||
North Carolina Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rads5777 | 8-2-0 | +5850 |
| 2 | JLGiants38 | 8-2-0 | +5850 |
| 3 | chiefchief888 | 7-3-0 | +5800 |
| 4 | tapnitruc | 6-3-1 | +5300 |
| 5 | jessestars | 8-2-0 | +5250 |
| 6 | dissident | 8-2-0 | +5200 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +4700 |
| 8 | TDBTX | 7-3-0 | +4150 |
| 9 | fadennis6 | 7-3-0 | +4150 |
| 10 | Enelra18 | 5-4-1 | +4150 |
| All Tar Heels Money Leaders | |||