Arkansas @ Texas Picks & Props
ARK vs TEX Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Texas had been playing with fire for the last several weeks and were somewhat lucky to head into last week's game against Georgia at 7-2. So things came to a head against the Bulldogs with the Longhorns losing 35-10. Arkansas is in a slump but the Razorbacks still have an elite offence with QB Taylen Green. Green and the Hogs will do enough to keep this one enough to cover this spread.
Arkansas checks in at 128th in EPA per rush and 133rd in rushing success rate allowed, repeatedly getting beaten on the ground. Wisner is Texas' most reliable skill position player at current and should capitalize on the matchup.
Receptions
RS
Raylen Sharpe u4.5 Receptions (-120)
Projection 3.6359 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
OB
O'Mega Blake u4.5 Receptions (-120)
Projection 4.0034 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
RW
Ryan Wingo u4.5 Receptions (-110)
Projection 4.4628 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
DM
DeAndre Moore Jr. o3.5 Receptions (+108)
Projection 3.6186 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
RJ
Rohan Jones o21.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 26.9737 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
OB
O'Mega Blake o54.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 60.7267 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
EM
Emmett Mosley V o41.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 46.9556 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
DM
DeAndre Moore Jr. o45.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 49.4885 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
ARK vs TEX Consensus Picks
ARK vs TEX Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
E. Mosley V
wide receiver WR • Texas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.38
Kam Shanks Score a Touchdown Props • Arkansas
K. Shanks
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
James Simon Score a Touchdown Props • Texas
J. Simon
running back RB • Texas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Rohan Jones Score a Touchdown Props • Arkansas
R. Jones
tight end TE • Arkansas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.42
Mike Washington Jr. Score a Touchdown Props • Arkansas
M. Washington Jr.
running back RB • Arkansas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.75
Braylen Russell Score a Touchdown Props • Arkansas
B. Russell
running back RB • Arkansas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.56
Taylen Green Score a Touchdown Props • Arkansas
T. Green
quarterback QB • Arkansas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.67
O'Mega Blake Score a Touchdown Props • Arkansas
O. Blake
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.42
CJ Baxter Jr. Score a Touchdown Props • Texas
C. Baxter Jr.
running back RB • Texas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.13
Ryan Wingo Score a Touchdown Props • Texas
R. Wingo
wide receiver WR • Texas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.58
Christian Clark Score a Touchdown Props • Texas
C. Clark
running back RB • Texas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.14
Jordan Washington Score a Touchdown Props • Texas
J. Washington
tight end TE • Texas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
CJ Brown Score a Touchdown Props • Arkansas
C. Brown
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Jaden Platt Score a Touchdown Props • Arkansas
J. Platt
tight end TE • Arkansas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.17
Raylen Sharpe Score a Touchdown Props • Arkansas
R. Sharpe
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Quintrevion Wisner Score a Touchdown Props • Texas
Q. Wisner
running back RB • Texas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.44
Parker Livingstone Score a Touchdown Props • Texas
P. Livingstone
wide receiver WR • Texas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.50
Jack Endries Score a Touchdown Props • Texas
J. Endries
tight end TE • Texas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.17
Arch Manning Score a Touchdown Props • Texas
A. Manning
quarterback QB • Texas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.75
DeAndre Moore Jr. Score a Touchdown Props • Texas
D. Moore Jr.
wide receiver WR • Texas
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.36
ARK vs TEX Trends
Arkansas Trends
Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 44% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 1% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.10 Units / 56% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 12 games (-8.45 Units / -17% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Arkansas has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.40 Units / -43% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.85 Units / -30% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 7 games (-3.80 Units / -47% ROI)
Texas Trends
Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 4% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 1% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Texas has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 7% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Texas have only covered the Spread in 4 of their last 16 games (-9.20 Units / -52% ROI)
ARK
TEX
Texas has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 10 games (-5.35 Units / -46% ROI)
Texas has only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 16 games (-5.00 Units / -28% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 16 games (-3.60 Units / -19% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 16 games (-2.30 Units / -12% ROI)
Over
Under
ARK vs TEX Top User Picks
Arkansas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSL21 | 5-4-1 | +5200 |
| 2 | Squirrel74wkgn | 9-1-0 | +4850 |
| 3 | TDRO1 | 6-4-0 | +4650 |
| 4 | p_66 | 8-2-0 | +4400 |
| 5 | joe303 | 9-1-0 | +4350 |
| 6 | Lakerfan3232 | 8-2-0 | +4300 |
| 7 | Cubbybear21 | 5-5-0 | +4250 |
| 8 | april420 | 7-3-0 | +4250 |
| 9 | JCAV | 8-0-0 | +4000 |
| 10 | hotone | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| All Razorbacks Money Leaders | |||
Texas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 9-0-1 | +7300 |
| 2 | sportsking157 | 7-2-1 | +5750 |
| 3 | Enelra18 | 8-1-1 | +5200 |
| 4 | alayne89 | 8-1-1 | +4850 |
| 5 | Patzer24 | 7-2-1 | +4800 |
| 6 | gutterrat69 | 7-3-0 | +4800 |
| 7 | peachiee2023 | 8-2-0 | +4750 |
| 8 | redsox99 | 8-1-1 | +4350 |
| 9 | gap824 | 7-2-1 | +4350 |
| 10 | rladish | 6-3-1 | +4250 |
| All Longhorns Money Leaders | |||