Arkansas @ LSU Picks & Props
ARK vs LSU Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Arkansas ranks 14th in rushing success rate, ninth in quality drive rate, and 33rd in points per quality drive. And Bobby Petrino discussed the importance of running the ball this week against LSU.
The Tigers allow a 42.6% success rate against the run, rank 120th in scramble rate against, and 101st in scramble EPA. Taylen Green's rushing ability will help open things up for Mike Washington, Jr and his receivers on the outside.
The Tigers are coming off a tough loss to Alabama, have a sleepy early kickoff, and are trying to figure out their quarterback situation. I'll take the team coming off a bye that can put up points in bunches, built to capitalize on LSU's biggest defensive weaknesses.
Receptions
TG
Trey'Dez Green o3.5 Receptions (+112)
Projection 4.4237 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
RS
Raylen Sharpe u4.5 Receptions (-160)
Projection 3.2274 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
AA
Aaron Anderson o3.5 Receptions (+118)
Projection 3.9452 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
BB
Barion Brown u4.5 Receptions (+102)
Projection 4.4061 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
MV
Michael Van Buren Jr. o1.5 TD Passes (-154)
Projection 2.2186 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
MV
Michael Van Buren Jr. o242.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Projection 266.5372 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
CJ Brown o22.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 37.2185 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
AA
Aaron Anderson o42.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 55.8756 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
OB
O'Mega Blake o63.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 77.2846 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
ARK vs LSU Consensus Picks
ARK vs LSU Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
J. Johnson
quarterback QB • LSU
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.15
Zavion Thomas Score a First Half Touchdown Props • LSU
Z. Thomas
wide receiver WR • LSU
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.38
Michael Van Buren Jr. Score a First Half Touchdown Props • LSU
M. Van Buren Jr.
quarterback QB • LSU
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.14
Aaron Anderson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • LSU
A. Anderson
wide receiver WR • LSU
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Mike Washington Jr. Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
M. Washington Jr.
running back RB • Arkansas
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.75
Raylen Sharpe Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
R. Sharpe
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Taylen Green Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
T. Green
quarterback QB • Arkansas
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.67
Rohan Jones Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
R. Jones
tight end TE • Arkansas
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.42
CJ Brown Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
C. Brown
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Caden Durham Score a First Half Touchdown Props • LSU
C. Durham
running back RB • LSU
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Jaden Platt Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
J. Platt
tight end TE • Arkansas
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.17
O'Mega Blake Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
O. Blake
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.42
Trey'Dez Green Score a First Half Touchdown Props • LSU
T. Green
tight end TE • LSU
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.64
Kam Shanks Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
K. Shanks
wide receiver WR • Arkansas
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
Barion Brown Score a First Half Touchdown Props • LSU
B. Brown
wide receiver WR • LSU
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.15
Bauer Sharp Score a First Half Touchdown Props • LSU
B. Sharp
tight end TE • LSU
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.15
Braylen Russell Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
B. Russell
running back RB • Arkansas
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.56
Garrett Nussmeier Score a First Half Touchdown Props • LSU
G. Nussmeier
quarterback QB • LSU
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.11
Kyle Parker Score a First Half Touchdown Props • LSU
K. Parker
wide receiver WR • LSU
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.31
Harlem Berry Score a First Half Touchdown Props • LSU
H. Berry
running back RB • LSU
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.15
Rodney Hill Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Arkansas
R. Hill
running back RB • Arkansas
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
ARK vs LSU Trends
Arkansas Trends
Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
ARK
LSU
Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 1% ROI)
ARK
LSU
Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)
Arkansas has only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 12 games (-8.45 Units / -17% ROI)
ARK
LSU
Arkansas have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.95 Units / -44% ROI)
ARK
LSU
Arkansas has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.25 Units / -29% ROI)
Over
Under
Arkansas has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (-3.95 Units / -8% ROI)
ARK
LSU
Arkansas have only covered the Spread in 5 of their last 14 games (-4.90 Units / -32% ROI)
ARK
LSU
LSU Trends
LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 9% ROI)
ARK
LSU
LSU has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.35 Units / 33% ROI)
ARK
LSU
LSU has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Over
Under
LSU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Over
Under
LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Over
Under
LSU has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.82 Units / 29% ROI)
LSU have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 12 games (-8.40 Units / -55% ROI)
ARK
LSU
LSU has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 10 games (-6.50 Units / -19% ROI)
ARK
LSU
LSU has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.25 Units / -38% ROI)
Over
Under
LSU has only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.80 Units / -36% ROI)
Over
Under
LSU have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.25 Units / -38% ROI)
ARK
LSU
LSU has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 9 games (-4.15 Units / -38% ROI)
ARK vs LSU Top User Picks
Arkansas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSL21 | 5-4-1 | +5200 |
| 2 | Squirrel74wkgn | 9-1-0 | +4850 |
| 3 | TDRO1 | 6-4-0 | +4650 |
| 4 | p_66 | 8-2-0 | +4400 |
| 5 | joe303 | 9-1-0 | +4350 |
| 6 | Lakerfan3232 | 8-2-0 | +4300 |
| 7 | Cubbybear21 | 5-5-0 | +4250 |
| 8 | april420 | 7-3-0 | +4250 |
| 9 | JCAV | 8-0-0 | +4000 |
| 10 | hotone | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| All Razorbacks Money Leaders | |||
LSU Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DavePaliwoda | 7-2-1 | +7350 |
| 2 | AlmightyDragon | 7-3-0 | +6300 |
| 3 | ccpapa | 6-4-0 | +5650 |
| 4 | Bikkembergs | 7-3-0 | +5250 |
| 5 | Technique | 7-3-0 | +5150 |
| 6 | HOLLANDANDITALY | 7-3-0 | +4850 |
| 7 | peacy454 | 8-2-0 | +4850 |
| 8 | gwins7 | 7-3-0 | +4800 |
| 9 | Mungo404 | 8-2-0 | +4700 |
| 10 | chefsloan7 | 7-2-1 | +4650 |
| All Tigers Money Leaders | |||