Florida @ Mississippi Picks & Props
FLA vs MISS Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
This is a mismatch nightmare for the Gators. Ole Miss thrives on hitting big passes, and the Gators have been giving them up in bunches of late. The Rebels also rank ninth in rushing EPA and 11th in passing EPA, while embarking on quality drives at a high rate.
The Rebels are highly motivated, while Florida is banged up and trying to figure out who should play quarterback. This isn't the game to have that conundrum.
Florida is 0-4 ATS on the road this season, and failing to cover by an average of more than 15 points. Take the Rebels to make this one ugly.
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst
Receptions
DA
Deuce Alexander u3.5 Receptions (-178)
Projection 2.6683 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
VB
Vernell Brown III u4.5 Receptions (-140)
Projection 4.1996 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 2 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JS
J. Michael Sturdivant o28.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 44.1174 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
VB
Vernell Brown III o55.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 63.0675 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
FLA vs MISS Consensus Picks
67% picking Mississippi
Total Picks FLA 298, MISS 598
FLA vs MISS Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
H. Wallace III
wide receiver WR • Mississippi
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.29
Hayden Hansen Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida
H. Hansen
tight end TE • Florida
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.17
Cayden Lee Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Mississippi
C. Lee
wide receiver WR • Mississippi
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.21
Caleb Odom Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Mississippi
C. Odom
wide receiver WR • Mississippi
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.15
DJ Lagway Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida
D. Lagway
quarterback QB • Florida
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
Trinidad Chambliss Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Mississippi
T. Chambliss
quarterback QB • Mississippi
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.57
J. Michael Sturdivant Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida
J. Sturdivant
wide receiver WR • Florida
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.25
Deuce Alexander Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Mississippi
D. Alexander
wide receiver WR • Mississippi
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.14
KD Daniels Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida
K. Daniels
running back RB • Florida
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.10
Vernell Brown III Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida
V. Brown III
wide receiver WR • Florida
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
TJ Abrams Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida
T. Abrams
wide receiver WR • Florida
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Tony Livingston Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida
T. Livingston
tight end TE • Florida
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.20
De'Zhaun Stribling Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Mississippi
D. Stribling
wide receiver WR • Mississippi
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.43
Kewan Lacy Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Mississippi
K. Lacy
running back RB • Mississippi
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
1.64
Dae'Quan Wright Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Mississippi
D. Wright
tight end TE • Mississippi
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.29
Damien Taylor Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Mississippi
D. Taylor
running back RB • Mississippi
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.14
Jadan Baugh Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida
J. Baugh
running back RB • Florida
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.83
Aidan Mizell Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida
A. Mizell
wide receiver WR • Florida
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.13
Logan Diggs Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Mississippi
L. Diggs
running back RB • Mississippi
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.29
Winston Watkins Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Mississippi
W. Watkins
wide receiver WR • Mississippi
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.07
FLA vs MISS Trends
Florida Trends
Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 9% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.50 Units / 1% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Florida has only hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.00 Units / -56% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 8 games (-7.40 Units / -77% ROI)
Florida has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.60 Units / -44% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.30 Units / -27% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (-4.25 Units / -13% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Florida have only covered the Spread in 1 of their last 6 away games (-4.50 Units / -68% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Mississippi Trends
Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 11 games (+12.05 Units / 10% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Ole Miss have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Ole Miss has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (-16.15 Units / -37% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Ole Miss has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 2 of their last 8 games at home (-4.95 Units / -54% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.90 Units / -36% ROI)
FLA
MISS
Ole Miss has not hit the Team Total Over in any of their last 4 games at home (-4.52 Units / -100% ROI)
Ole Miss has only hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 9 games at home (-3.60 Units / -36% ROI)
Over
Under
Ole Miss has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.30 Units / -24% ROI)
Over
Under
FLA vs MISS Top User Picks
Florida Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pittsburghphil | 8-2-0 | +5750 |
| 2 | whooped | 7-3-0 | +5700 |
| 3 | JL023 | 8-2-0 | +4900 |
| 4 | Raw72 | 8-2-0 | +4900 |
| 5 | Layne17 | 8-2-0 | +4850 |
| 6 | vladislav1968 | 7-3-0 | +4850 |
| 7 | witt297 | 6-4-0 | +4800 |
| 8 | BundiniBrown | 8-2-0 | +4800 |
| 9 | northlv6238 | 7-3-0 | +4750 |
| 10 | Haroldjr33 | 7-3-0 | +4650 |
| All Gators Money Leaders | |||
Mississippi Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | midsro49 | 7-3-0 | +5750 |
| 2 | bigsmoke21169 | 6-4-0 | +5200 |
| 3 | bwdraper | 9-1-0 | +4750 |
| 4 | Mungo404 | 7-3-0 | +4700 |
| 5 | patelnydevil289 | 8-2-0 | +4700 |
| 6 | luke44 | 6-4-0 | +4550 |
| 7 | dispnum1 | 7-3-0 | +4550 |
| 8 | PlusOdds | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 9 | BendTheLine | 9-1-0 | +3950 |
| 10 | Zeus67 | 8-2-0 | +3900 |
| All Rebels Money Leaders | |||