Ahmad Hardy Rushing Yards Props • Missouri
A. Hardy
running back RB • Missouri
Alabama @ Missouri Picks & Props
ALA vs MIZZ Picks
NCAAF Picks
Receiving Yards
Ryan Williams o67.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Williams has racked up 336 receiving yards in
four contests (84 ypg), so it’s eye-catching when the books put his Week 7 receiving yardage line at 67.5.
Williams is averaging 3.08 yards per route run and is locked into a big-time role for a Tide offense that hasn’t unlocked the running game (103rd in EPA per rush), so the volume should be consistent as he’s needed to make the offense go.
Spread
ALA -3.5 (-104)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Spread
ALA -3.5 (-110)
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
Yes, Alabama lost in the season-opener in a primetime spot against Florida State. We all saw it. Now forget about it. Stop holding that against the Tide. Ty Simpson has become a top-five QB in the country, and Alabama has gone 4-0 against the spread since that season opener, including an upset win at Georgia two weeks ago. Missouri's offense will play into the Tide's wants, inclined to run the ball in the first place and encouraged to do so by the defense facing the highest rushing rate in the country. That will be a mistake, the Tigers' rushing attack nowhere near capable of keeping up with Simpson.
TD Passes
BP
Beau Pribula u1.5 TD Passes (-185)
Projection 0.8883 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Passing Yards
TS
Ty Simpson u285.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 238.2445 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Passing Yards
BP
Beau Pribula u204.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 186.8102 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
BN
Brett Norfleet o26.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 29.988 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
Ryan Williams u70.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 68.2709 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
KC
Kevin Coleman Jr. o65.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 66.6199 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rushing Yards
AH
Ahmad Hardy u96.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 79.1016 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Rushing Yards
JR
Jamal Roberts u45.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 35.4547 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Rushing Yards
JM
Jam Miller u67.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 61.8157 (Under)
EV Model Rating
ALA vs MIZZ Consensus Picks
More ConsensusALA vs MIZZ Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Jamal Roberts Rushing Yards Props • Missouri
J. Roberts
running back RB • Missouri
Jam Miller Rushing Yards Props • Alabama
J. Miller
running back RB • Alabama
ALA vs MIZZ Trends
Alabama Trends
Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 9% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Alabama has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Alabama have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Alabama has only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 away games (-19.00 Units / -80% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Alabama has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (-12.45 Units / -64% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Alabama has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.25 Units / -38% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.75 Units / -34% ROI)
Over
Under
Alabama has only hit the Game Total Over in 1 of their last 6 away games (-4.50 Units / -68% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri Trends
Missouri has hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Missouri have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.59 Units / 17% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Missouri has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.10 Units / 3% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Missouri have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.30 Units / -42% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Missouri has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.80 Units / -27% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 13 games (-2.45 Units / -16% ROI)
Over
Under
Missouri has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (-2.40 Units / -0% ROI)
ALA
MIZZ
Missouri has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 13 games (-2.13 Units / -14% ROI)
Over
Under