Marcel Reed Pas and Rus Yards Props • Texas A&M
M. Reed
quarterback QB • Texas A&M
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M Picks & Props
MSST vs TAM Picks
NCAAF Picks
Receiving Yards
MC
Mario Craver o77.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Mississippi State has allowed 15 passes of 20+ yards already. In fact, opponents are averaging an explosive pass play on almost 10% of dropbacks.
Only one receiver in college football has more 20-yard catches than Craver. And when Mississippi State played Tennessee, both Mike Matthews and Chris Brazzell II went for 100+ on six catches each.
The atmosphere at Kyle Field is going to be intense with a “Black Out” scheduled, and Craver will already be looking for both revenge and a bounce-back game. Getting his total this low, when he had 114+ yards in each of his first three games, feels like a steal.
Rushing Yards
Fluff Bothwell o60.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Both the Aggies (19th in tempo) and the Bulldogs (23rd) play with tremendous pace, meaning
there should be a boatload of snaps in this contest, creating more opportunity for the skill
position players to see volume. While the Aggies have a salty defense on the surface, a closer
inspection reveals that they have trouble tackling (119th per PFF). This leads to an inordinate
amount of explosive runs (134th nationally).
TD Passes
BS
Blake Shapen u1.5 TD Passes (-220)
Projection 0.7079 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Passing Yards
BS
Blake Shapen u206.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 189.1588 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Passing Yards
MR
Marcel Reed u256.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 243.9339 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
AE
Anthony Evans III o53.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 59.1329 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
MC
Mario Craver o77.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 83.3834 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
KC Concepcion u66.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 63.6497 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
JM
Jordan Mosley u27.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 25.7938 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Receiving Yards
BT
Brenen Thompson u47.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 46.7472 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Rushing Yards
MR
Marcel Reed u39.5 Rushing Yards (-117)
Projection 37.2786 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Rushing Yards
LM
Le'Veon Moss o96.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 99.7916 (Over)
EV Model Rating
MSST vs TAM Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks
62% picking MS State
Total Picks MSST 647, TAM 392
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MSST
TAM
MSST vs TAM Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
MSST vs TAM Trends
Mississippi State Trends
Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
MSST
TAM
Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 24% ROI)
MSST
TAM
Mississippi State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 68% ROI)
MSST
TAM
Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Over
Under
Mississippi State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 10% ROI)
Over
Under
Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Over
Under
Mississippi State has not hit the Team Total Under in any of their last 3 games (-3.62 Units / -100% ROI)
Mississippi State has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.10 Units / -23% ROI)
Over
Under
Mississippi State has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.75 Units / -20% ROI)
Over
Under
Mississippi State has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.70 Units / -20% ROI)
Over
Under
Mississippi State has only hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 away games (-1.00 Units / -13% ROI)
MSST
TAM
Mississippi State has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (-1.30 Units / -3% ROI)
MSST
TAM
Texas A&M Trends
Texas A&M has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.25 Units / 3% ROI)
MSST
TAM
Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 3% ROI)
MSST
TAM
Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas A&M have only covered the Spread in 3 of their last 12 games (-6.95 Units / -53% ROI)
MSST
TAM
Texas A&M has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 12 games (-6.90 Units / -52% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas A&M have only covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 11 games (-5.55 Units / -47% ROI)
MSST
TAM
Texas A&M have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.00 Units / -29% ROI)
MSST
TAM
Texas A&M has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.65 Units / -30% ROI)
Over
Under
MSST vs TAM Top User Picks
View all Top User Picks
'unbuckle' is picking Texas A&M to cover (-16.0)
unbuckle is #1 on picking games that MS State is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'Varart' is picking MS State to cover (+16.0)
Varart is #10 on picking games that Texas A&M is in with a record of (2-0-0) and +2500 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'ivtime' is picking MS State to cover (+16.0)
ivtime is #10 on picking games that MS State is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3490 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'Tbombs' is picking MS State to cover (+14.0)
Tbombs is #2 on picking games that Texas A&M is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'All_in_on_RU' is picking Texas A&M to cover (-16.0)
All_in_on_RU is #2 on picking games that MS State is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'ccpapa' is picking MS State to cover (+16.0)
ccpapa is #3 on picking games that MS State is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'nit2win' is picking MS State to cover (+14.0)
nit2win is #4 on picking games that Texas A&M is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'PAS13' is picking MS State to cover (+16.0)
PAS13 is #4 on picking games that MS State is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'deebo7348' is picking MS State to cover (+14.5)
deebo7348 is #5 on picking games that MS State is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'Dalmeetz48' is picking Texas A&M to cover (-14.0)
Dalmeetz48 is #6 on picking games that MS State is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +4000 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'sprality777' is picking MS State to cover (+16.0)
sprality777 is #6 on picking games that Texas A&M is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'cowboybob56' is picking MS State to cover (+14.0)
cowboybob56 is #7 on picking games that MS State is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'TNtoTX' is picking MS State to cover (+16.0)
TNtoTX is #7 on picking games that Texas A&M is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'miacity' is picking MS State to cover (+14.0)
miacity is #8 on picking games that Texas A&M is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'LASVEGASCAVS' is picking MS State to cover (+16.0)
LASVEGASCAVS is #8 on picking games that MS State is in with a record of (4-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'kowalabear' is picking MS State to cover (+14.0)
kowalabear is #9 on picking games that Texas A&M is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM
'jessestars' is picking Texas A&M to cover (-14.0)
jessestars is #9 on picking games that MS State is in with a record of (3-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.
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MSST
TAM