Miami (FL) @ Florida State Picks & Props
MIA vs FSU Picks
NCAAF Picks
Rushing Yards
TC
Tommy Castellanos o47.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
Tommy Castellanos has cleared this prop in all three FBS games this season. Sure, he now goes against an aggressive Miami defensive front, but the Hurricanes are more susceptible against the rush than they are the pass, and Florida State should emphasize the rush even more than usual to shorten this game.
Spread
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
I don't get this line at all. Miami has looked like arguably the best team in the country to this point. They can throw and run the ball behind an excellent offensive line, and the defensive line is wreaking havoc for opponents. Florida State's offense will let them keep up for a while, but the Seminoles' defense, which ranks 75th in defensive success rate on dropbacks, will burn them in the end.
Receptions
SW
Squirrel White u2.5 Receptions (-165)
Projection 1.2175 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
Duce Robinson u4.5 Receptions (-115)
Projection 3.4025 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
RP
Randy Pittman Jr. u2.5 Receptions (-152)
Projection 1.7208 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
MF
Mark Fletcher Jr. u1.5 Receptions (-148)
Projection 0.9924 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
MT
Malachi Toney u5.5 Receptions (-144)
Projection 4.716 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
CD
CJ Daniels u4.5 Receptions (-170)
Projection 3.9146 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
TC
Tommy Castellanos u1.5 TD Passes (-260)
Projection 0.9694 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
TC
Tommy Castellanos u184.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 177.1645 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Passing Yards
Carson Beck o236.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 240.3787 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
KM
Keelan Marion o25.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 33.3403 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
MIA vs FSU Consensus Picks
MIA vs FSU Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
T. Castellanos
quarterback QB • Florida State
Prop
234.5
Pas and Rus Yards
Season Avg.
276.33
MIA vs FSU Trends
Miami (FL) Trends
Miami has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 8% ROI)
MIA
FSU
Miami have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.80 Units / 20% ROI)
MIA
FSU
Miami has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (-12.95 Units / -20% ROI)
MIA
FSU
Miami (FL) has not hit the Moneyline in any of their last 2 away games (-7.45 Units / -100% ROI)
MIA
FSU
Miami has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.80 Units / -27% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.15 Units / -22% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami have only covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.00 Units / -20% ROI)
MIA
FSU
MIA vs FSU Top User Picks
Miami (FL) Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monsmon45 | 9-1-0 | +4400 |
| 2 | sportsking157 | 8-2-0 | +4350 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 9-1-0 | +3950 |
| 4 | A_LowaEast | 8-2-0 | +3900 |
| 5 | redsox99 | 8-2-0 | +3850 |
| 6 | Moneyman00 | 7-0-0 | +3500 |
| 7 | QueenofQueens | 8-1-1 | +3450 |
| 8 | hotone | 8-1-1 | +3450 |
| 9 | sockss109 | 8-2-0 | +3400 |
| 10 | manwithnoname6 | 8-2-0 | +3350 |
| All Hurricanes Money Leaders | |||
Florida State Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | sportsking157 | 7-3-0 | +4850 |
| 2 | goobero | 9-1-0 | +4850 |
| 3 | burley | 8-2-0 | +4350 |
| 4 | Moneyman00 | 8-0-0 | +4000 |
| 5 | charro23 | 9-1-0 | +3950 |
| 6 | Jets73 | 8-2-0 | +3900 |
| 7 | Monsmon45 | 7-3-0 | +3850 |
| 8 | picus57 | 9-1-0 | +3800 |
| 9 | SNID | 6-4-0 | +3800 |
| 10 | tadlodz | 7-0-0 | +3500 |
| All Seminoles Money Leaders | |||