Miami (FL) @ Florida State Picks & Props
MIA vs FSU Picks
NCAAF Picks
Rushing Yards
TC
Tommy Castellanos o47.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
Tommy Castellanos has cleared this prop in all three FBS games this season. Sure, he now goes against an aggressive Miami defensive front, but the Hurricanes are more susceptible against the rush than they are the pass, and Florida State should emphasize the rush even more than usual to shorten this game.
Spread
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
I don't get this line at all. Miami has looked like arguably the best team in the country to this point. They can throw and run the ball behind an excellent offensive line, and the defensive line is wreaking havoc for opponents. Florida State's offense will let them keep up for a while, but the Seminoles' defense, which ranks 75th in defensive success rate on dropbacks, will burn them in the end.
Receptions
SW
Squirrel White u2.5 Receptions (-165)
Projection 1.2175 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
RP
Randy Pittman Jr. u2.5 Receptions (-152)
Projection 1.7208 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
MF
Mark Fletcher Jr. u1.5 Receptions (-148)
Projection 0.9924 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
MT
Malachi Toney u5.5 Receptions (-144)
Projection 4.716 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
CD
CJ Daniels u4.5 Receptions (-170)
Projection 3.9146 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
TD Passes
TC
Tommy Castellanos u1.5 TD Passes (-260)
Projection 0.9694 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
TC
Tommy Castellanos u184.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 177.1645 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
KM
Keelan Marion o25.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Projection 33.3403 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
MIA vs FSU Consensus Picks
MIA vs FSU Props
Player
Prop
Season Avg.
Best Odds
A. Williams
tight end TE • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.09
Landen Thomas Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
L. Thomas
tight end TE • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.18
Ousmane Kromah Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
O. Kromah
running back RB • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.08
Jayvan Boggs Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
J. Boggs
wide receiver WR • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.14
Mark Fletcher Jr. Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Miami (FL)
M. Fletcher Jr.
running back RB • Miami (FL)
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
1.00
Joshua Moore Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Miami (FL)
J. Moore
wide receiver WR • Miami (FL)
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.14
Randy Pittman Jr. Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
R. Pittman Jr.
tight end TE • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.56
Micahi Danzy Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
M. Danzy
wide receiver WR • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.50
Gavin Sawchuk Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
G. Sawchuk
running back RB • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.75
Malachi Toney Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Miami (FL)
M. Toney
wide receiver WR • Miami (FL)
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.69
Joshisa Trader Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Miami (FL)
J. Trader
wide receiver WR • Miami (FL)
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.10
Keelan Marion Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Miami (FL)
K. Marion
wide receiver WR • Miami (FL)
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.13
CharMar Brown Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Miami (FL)
C. Brown
running back RB • Miami (FL)
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.60
Elija Lofton Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Miami (FL)
E. Lofton
tight end TE • Miami (FL)
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.20
Duce Robinson Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
D. Robinson
wide receiver WR • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.50
Alex Bauman Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Miami (FL)
A. Bauman
tight end TE • Miami (FL)
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.06
Jaylin Lucas Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
J. Lucas
running back RB • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Carson Beck Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Miami (FL)
C. Beck
quarterback QB • Miami (FL)
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.19
Squirrel White Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
S. White
wide receiver WR • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Caziah Holmes Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
C. Holmes
running back RB • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.20
CJ Daniels Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Miami (FL)
C. Daniels
wide receiver WR • Miami (FL)
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.54
Roydell Williams Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
R. Williams
running back RB • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.00
Lawayne McCoy Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
L. McCoy
wide receiver WR • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.30
Tommy Castellanos Score a First Half Touchdown Props • Florida State
T. Castellanos
quarterback QB • Florida State
Prop
Score a First Half Touchdown
Season Avg.
0.75
MIA vs FSU Trends
Miami (FL) Trends
Miami has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 8% ROI)
MIA
FSU
Miami have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.80 Units / 20% ROI)
MIA
FSU
Miami has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (-12.95 Units / -20% ROI)
MIA
FSU
Miami (FL) has not hit the Moneyline in any of their last 2 away games (-7.45 Units / -100% ROI)
MIA
FSU
Miami has only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.80 Units / -27% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 12 games (-3.15 Units / -22% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami have only covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 13 games (-3.00 Units / -20% ROI)
MIA
FSU
MIA vs FSU Top User Picks
Miami (FL) Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STEINWAYSTACKS | 9-1-0 | +6110 |
| 2 | Ricksatx22 | 10-0-0 | +5950 |
| 3 | Rads5777 | 9-1-0 | +5150 |
| 4 | clairvoyant | 8-2-0 | +5100 |
| 5 | bjs129 | 7-3-0 | +5000 |
| 6 | Moneyman00 | 9-1-0 | +4950 |
| 7 | popthebubble | 8-2-0 | +4800 |
| 8 | peacy454 | 7-3-0 | +4700 |
| 9 | Monsmon45 | 6-4-0 | +4700 |
| 10 | Mod2323 | 8-2-0 | +4650 |
| All Hurricanes Money Leaders | |||
Florida State Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | picus57 | 10-0-0 | +6300 |
| 2 | Batch9 | 7-3-0 | +5250 |
| 3 | burley | 7-3-0 | +5250 |
| 4 | Jets73 | 8-2-0 | +4800 |
| 5 | sportsking157 | 6-4-0 | +4700 |
| 6 | any007 | 9-1-0 | +4700 |
| 7 | CCKILLA | 7-3-0 | +4700 |
| 8 | tadlodz | 9-1-0 | +4450 |
| 9 | sherriffics | 7-3-0 | +4350 |
| 10 | goobero | 8-2-0 | +4300 |
| All Seminoles Money Leaders | |||