Phoenix @ Minnesota picks

The Lynx are finally ending a grueling stretch of games before the All-Star Break. This afternoon will be their 11th game in 23 days. As Minnesota has clearly shown fatigue, Courtney Williams has done all she can to produce offense, clearing this prop in four of her last five games, including scoring 21 points at Phoenix a week ago. Williams is always high-energy; that has been a needed quality lately.

I like the Over this afternoon, even against a solid Phoenix Mercury frontcourt, and Napheesa Collier has gone past this number in five of her last seven outings. Collier has put up solid stats in her two outings against Phoenix this year, without fully taking over offensively, but she’ll need to raise that level here to hold off a Mercury team that’s won three in a row and eight of its last 10 contests.