Atlanta @ Dallas picks

The Over on this Bueckers combo prop offers nice value. She’s finished with 20+ points in three straight contests, and poured in 35 points against the Phoenix Mercury earlier this month, so I expect her to put a big dent in this 24.5 number as a scorer. Just don’t sleep on her playmaking. Bueckers has had back-to-back outings with seven dimes, and she’s averaging 5.9 APG this year. Her off-the-dribble play sparks panic for defenses, and Arike Ogunbowale is the kind of high-volume shooter to make opponents pay when Bueckers draws a crowd.

Volume has been key for Rhyne Howard in racking up 3-pointers, hitting a career-best 3.1 per game, but her 30.1% mark is her least efficient mark. Fortunately for Howard, she’s got a favorable matchup with a Wings defense that has allowed the third-most made 3-pointers (nine) and the second-highest 3-point percentage (38.4).

Paige Bueckers has posted 32 PRA per game across her last five, scoring at least 20 points four times, including each of her last three appearances. She’s recorded 29+ PRA in two straight and three of her last five as she heads into a matchup with the high-scoring Dream.