Chicago @ Connecticut picks

It was difficult for Ariel Atkins to get open looks from beyond the arc against the solid perimeter defenses of the Dream, Liberty, and Fever. Those squads locked Atkins down big time, but she has a much better matchup to knock down at least two triples against the Connecticut Sun. Atkins is a career 36% shooter mired in a miserable slump. She’s making 35% of her four long-range attempts and meets the softest perimeter defense she’s faced in a month. 

Reese has averaged four points, 11 rebounds, and 2.7 assists at home compared to 13.5, 12.2, and 2.7 marks on the road, respectively. She’s cleared the Over on this combo line in five of six away from home, racking up 24 PRA in the other.