College Basketball Picks and March Madness Best Bets

Free College Basketball Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game April 3, 2026

Oklahoma Sooners logo OKLA @ Baylor Bears logo BAY Sat, Apr 4 • 1:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick
Spread
Oklahoma Sooners logo OKLA -1.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Sooners picked up steam down the stretch, going 9-3 SU and ATS in their last 12 games with wins against NCAA Tournament teams Vanderbilt, Georgia, Texas, and Texas A&M. 

Meanwhile, the Bears didn't come close to the bubble and are 4-7 in their last 11.  Both teams have efficient attacks, but the Bears have the worst defense, ranking 334th in the country in opponent eFG% (56.7%) since the start of February.

The Bears are also weak on the interior, while Oklahoma has quality bigs in Tae Davis, Derrion Reid, and Mohamed Wague.

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Illinois Fighting Illini logo ILL @ UConn Huskies logo CONN Sat, Apr 4 • 6:09 PM ET
3 Expert Picks
Points
Alex Karaban logo Alex Karaban o13.5 Points (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Douglas Farmer image
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Karaban has averaged 17.8 points per game in this NCAA Tournament, clearing this prop in three of four games. He was held to just 2-of-10 from the field against Duke despite playing 38 minutes, but it is worth noting Karaban still attempted six 3-pointers.

Spread
UConn Huskies logo CONN +2.0 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

There’s a term in playoff hockey that “every hit is an investment” and the same goes for UConn’s screen-heavy playbook. Illinois’ size will get spread out and those bigs will clash with constant contact as they chase UConn around for 30 seconds a possession. The Illini may be able to absorb that for 30 or 35 minutes. But like a boxer landing body blow after body blow, it will take its toll in the championship rounds.

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Michigan Wolverines logo MICH @ Arizona Wildcats logo ARIZ Sat, Apr 4 • 8:49 PM ET
5 Expert Picks
3 Point FG
Nimari Burnett logo Nimari Burnett o1.5 3 Point FG (-140)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

The Wildcats force a 95th percentile ball-screen rate and protect the rim at an elite level, taking away easy twos and putting pressure on shooters. With Yaxel likely drawing primary attention on-ball, Burnett becomes a key outlet on swing actions, and he’s gone over this number in three of his last five games. 

Assists
Jaden Bradley logo Jaden Bradley o4.5 Assists (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Nobody attacks the rim very efficiently against Michigan outside an elite few of teams because they can’t stand up to the physicality of the Wolverines. Arizona is one of those exceptions. So is Duke. And using the Blue Devils as a proxy, they posted over 1 point per possession on big cuts and rolls in their win against Michigan earlier this year. I think the Wildcats can do something similar, and Bradley leads all of those actions. 

 

 

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