Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game Feb. 28, 2026
HOU
@
MIA
Sat, Feb 28 • 3:30 PM ET
o225.5 (-110)
Miami plays at the fastest pace in the NBA, averaging 106.7 possessions per game, two more than its closest competitor. All those possessions will suit the Rockets, as Houston is 9th in the NBA in offensive efficiency, even if they normally slow down the pace. The combination of scoring punch and a fast pace make the Over tonight’s play.
Tyler Herro o20.5 Points Scored (-105)
Tyler Herro has played four games since a rib injury, though he seems to be picking up his pace. He shot 9-for-18 in a loss to Philadelphia en route to 25 points.
TOR
@
WAS
Sat, Feb 28 • 7:00 PM ET
o119.5 Team Total (-115)
After back-to-back outings against the elite Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs defenses, the Raptors will see no such nightmares tonight in D.C. The Wizards have been consistently woeful on that end of the floor, giving up 118+ points in seven of their past eight contests – and 126+ points in five of those outings.
Sure, Toronto has its offensive shortcomings, but Darko Rajakovic’s squad dropped 140 points on Washington in November. The Wizards serve up the third-most turnovers per game, while the Raptors force 15 a night. Those easy buckets should keep this team total Over in play.
LAL
@
GS
Sat, Feb 28 • 8:30 PM ET
LAL -4.5 (-105)
If Thursday’s loss to the shorthanded Phoenix Suns doesn’t spark a serious response from the Lakers, nothing will. But L.A. is 4-2 ATS in the past six meetings between these teams, and JJ Redick’s squad arrives with a solid 18-12 SU road record. Austin Reaves’ return gives the Lakers three elite ball-handlers, and I’m banking on that leading to enough good looks to cover this small spread against an undermanned Golden State team. The Warriors are hanging around the play-in race, but they’re 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games, and the offense is a slog without Curry’s movement.
LeBron James o6.5 Total Assists (+115)
NO
@
UTA
Sat, Feb 28 • 9:30 PM ET
Saddiq Bey o20.5 Points Scored (-110)
Saddiq Bey has scored 20+ points in 11 of his last 15 games and will get plenty of touches with Trey Murphy III sidelined. The Jazz, who Bey scored 42 against on Thursday, also rank last in the NBA in team defense.
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