LA @ Miami Picks & Props

Nicolas Batum has sunk 64.3% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 26.2% more than he's made from downtown overall this season. Nicolas Batum has averaged 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on threes (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a good matchup. Nicolas Batum has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Clippers. The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league in their home city this year, which should reduce plays for the LA Clippers. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. James Harden will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production across the board.

Davion Mitchell has converted 53.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 10.5% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Davion Mitchell has sunk 51.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 9.1% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for scoring; when the LA Clippers are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 7th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.6%). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Kel'el Ware has converted 59.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games at home, 5.6% more than he's sunk overall this season when playing at home. Kel'el Ware has made 40.2% of his shots from downtown when playing at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA. Kel'el Ware has played 30.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 7.6 higher than he's played overall this season at home. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Ivica Zubac has been quite high (2.5 per game) when playing on the road and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (87th percentile).

The matchup vs. the Clippers is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (27.2%). The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The Heat will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers). The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for field goals; when the Clippers are away from home, opposing starting SFs have shot for the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (43.3%). The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year. The Heat will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers). The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson lands in the 80th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with an outstanding 37.8% rate this year. Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. Duncan Robinson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player performance across the board.

Kris Dunn has made 46.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 13.0% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season when playing away from home. Kris Dunn has tallied 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). Kris Dunn has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 45.8% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro comes in at the 95th percentile for shots, putting up 18.1 per game this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 9.5 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly more than his 8.1 rate last year. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile. With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's superb 14.3 drained threes per game when playing at home places 9th-strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Clippers may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (5th-most in the NBA).

Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 60.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.5% more than he's sunk overall this season. Derrick Jones Jr. has made 49.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.7% higher than he's converted from three overall this season. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Ivica Zubac has sunk 10.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Ivica Zubac has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's played overall this year. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. The number of threes converted against Kel'el Ware has been quite high (1.3 per game) when he is playing at home and defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Bogdan Bogdanovic has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing away from home. When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the LA Clippers's fantastic 36.3% rate of successful threes measures as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup. The rate of three-pointers sunk against Andrew Wiggins has been very high (52.1%) when he is playing at home and squaring off against opposing starting SFs this year (100th percentile). Bogdan Bogdanovic has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Terry Rozier has gone over 5.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Amir Coffey has gone over 9.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.