NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 3, 2026

DAL @

CHA Tue, Mar 3 • 7:00 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Points Scored

Max Christie u15.5 Points Scored (-120)

Projection 13.64 (Under)

Best Odds

u15.5 -120

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u15.5 -120

u14.5 -105

u15.5 -130

u15.5 -120

The Mavericks are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from facing the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Hornets).. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 5thworst in in the league while on the road with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

-120 at DraftKings

Total Rebounds

Moussa Diabate o9.5 Total Rebounds (-115)

Projection 11.11 (Over)

Best Odds

o9.5 -115

Pick made: 9 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o10.5 +106

o9.5 -115

o10.5 +104

o9.5 -220

o10.5 -112

The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to increase possessions for the Hornets.. The Hornets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

-115 at bet365

View 2 Picks

DET @

CLE Tue, Mar 3 • 7:00 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Points Scored

Evan Mobley o15.5 Points Scored (-108)

Projection 17.63 (Over)

Best Odds

o15.5 -108

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o16.5 -113

o16.5 -110

o15.5 -108

o16.5 -107

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home.. The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 8th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Pistons, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

-108 at FanDuel

Total Rebounds

Evan Mobley o7.5 Total Rebounds (+108)

Projection 8.61 (Over)

Best Odds

o7.5 +108

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o7.5 -102

o7.5 -130

o7.5 +108

o7.5 -102

+108 at FanDuel

View 2 Picks

BK @

MIA Tue, Mar 3 • 7:30 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Rebounds

Nic Claxton o6.5 Total Rebounds (+116)

Projection 7.3 (Over)

Best Odds

o6.5 +116

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o6.5 +109

o6.5 +105

o6.5 +116

o6.5 -105

The Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should boost plays for the Brooklyn Nets.

+116 at FanDuel

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NY @

TOR Tue, Mar 3 • 7:30 PM ET

1 Expert Pick

MoneyLine

NY (-126)

Best Odds

-140

Pick made: 7 hours ago

-148

-140

-144

-145

-150

The New York Knicks have beaten the Raptors in all three meetings so far this season, and this one will end the same way. The Knicks have too much depth and scoring punch for the Raptors to overcome. They are playing some good basketball right now, winning four of their last five games. Take the team that feels like a true contender in this spot.

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MEM @

MIN Tue, Mar 3 • 8:00 PM ET

3 Computer Picks

Points Scored

Ty Jerome u17.5 Points Scored (-112)

Projection 14.93 (Under)

Best Odds

u17.5 -112

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u16.5 -101

u17.5 -112

u17.5 -130

u17.5 -124

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the lowest FG% in the NBA this year (39.8%).. The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).. Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, struggling to get to the foul line.

-112 at bet365

Points Scored

Naz Reid o11.5 Points Scored (-130)

Projection 14.3 (Over)

Best Odds

o11.5 -118

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o12.5 -102

o11.5 -130

o11.5 -118

o11.5 -129

In regard to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 118.5 points per game ranks 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.. The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.. The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should raise plays for the Timberwolves.

-118 at FanDuel

View 3 Picks

SA @

PHI Tue, Mar 3 • 8:00 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 8 Computer Picks

Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists

Luke Kornet o11.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-120)

Best Odds

o11.5 -125

Pick made: 6 hours ago

o11.5 -125

The Philadelphia 76ers’ interior defense will be exposed again with Joel Embiid on the sideline. The team’s defensive rating without Embiid is a dreadful 117.1 this season. Philly surrendered 114 points, 59 total rebounds and a whopping 19 offensive boards in Sunday’s blowout loss to the Boston Celtics.

Kornet is averaging a career-best 15.5 PRA, and he’s gone for 12+ in 38 of 50 games overall, including six of his last nine. This line is wildly mispriced, and Kornet could see additional run if San Antonio runs away with the game in this favorable matchup.

Points Scored

Andre Drummond o7.5 Points Scored (-101)

Projection 9.71 (Over)

Best Odds

o6.5 -136

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o7.5 -101

o7.5 -110

o6.5 -136

o7.5 -103

The 76ers will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 9th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers rank 9th-best in in the league when playing at home with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

-136 at FanDuel

View 9 Picks

OKC @

CHI Tue, Mar 3 • 8:00 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 4 Computer Picks

Spread

OKC -10.5 (-105)

Best Odds

-10.5 -105

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

-10.5 -105

-10.5 -110

-10.5 -105

OKC boasts the league’s No. 1 Defensive Rating and covers 57% of their road games. Facing a "tanking" Bulls “G-League” roster, the Thunder’s elite defensive efficiency and transition offense should pull away for a double-digit cover.

Points Scored

Cason Wallace u15.5 Points Scored (-125)

Projection 12.52 (Under)

Best Odds

u15.5 -125

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u14.5 -110

u15.5 -125

u14.5 -104

u14.5 -105

The matchup against the Bulls is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (13.7).. The Thunder have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games.. The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).. The matchup against Chicago is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game this year when the Bulls have the home court advantage (least in the league).

-125 at bet365

View 5 Picks

NO @

LAL Tue, Mar 3 • 10:30 PM ET

9 Computer Picks

Points Scored

Austin Reaves o18.5 Points Scored (+100)

Projection 21.43 (Over)

Best Odds

o18.5 +100

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o19.5 -115

o18.5 +100

o18.5 -136

o19.5 -114

In comparison to last season's 20.0 rate, Austin Reaves's points per game have risen this season to 24.1.. The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games as the home team.. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Pelicans, identifying this as a strong matchup.. The Lakers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

+100 at bet365

Points Scored

Deandre Ayton o8.5 Points Scored (-130)

Projection 10.99 (Over)

Best Odds

o8.5 -130

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o9.5 -117

o8.5 -130

o9.5 +100

o9.5 -112

The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games as the home team.. The Lakers are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

-130 at bet365

View 9 Picks

PHO @

SAC Tue, Mar 3 • 11:00 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Points Scored

DeMar DeRozan o12.5 Points Scored (+100)

Projection 14.58 (Over)

Best Odds

o12.5 +100

Pick made: 7 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o12.5 -109

o12.5 +100

o12.5 -108

o12.5 -110

The matchup against Phoenix is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have put up the 8th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (41.1%).. The 10th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.. The Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

+100 at bet365

Points Scored

Mark Williams o9.5 Points Scored (+100)

Projection 10.14 (Over)

Best Odds

o9.5 +100

Pick made: 35 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o9.5 +100

o9.5 -120

o9.5 -134

The Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 10th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).. The Suns check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

+100 at DraftKings

View 6 Picks

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