Miami @ New Orleans Picks & Props

In comparison to last year's 4.7 rate, Duncan Robinson's shot attempts from beyond the arc have risen this year to 6.8 per game. The Heat rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's converted overall this year.

Zion Williamson has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (78th percentile). The Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to 3-point attempts. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Heat). Zion Williamson has sunk a mere 64.8% of his foul shots this year, significantly less than his 72.3 rate last year. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo lands in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year. The least up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have grabbed 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (preserving possessions that can bring about additional chances for offense). Compared to last season's 1.0 mark, Bam Adebayo's off the mark free throws have increased this season to 1.4 per game.

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to 3-point attempts. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Heat).

Herbert Jones has successfully made 51.6% of his treys over the last 15 games, 12.1% more than he's converted overall this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The Pelicans have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 12thbest in in the league as the home team with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Trey Murphy III has attempted 8.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Miami Heat are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 28th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Pelicans have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 12thbest in in the league as the home team with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). Caleb Martin has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 20.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Out of all players in the league, Brandon Ingram slots into the 75th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.3 fouls per game while playing at home this year. The Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to 3-point attempts. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Heat).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 5.0 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 77th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 29.5 minutes per game this year. The Heat rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Pelicans is a hard one for threes; opposing teams have shot for the lowest three percentage in the league this year (34.5%). The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).

Among all players in the league, Jonas Valanciunas slots into the 90th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.7 fouls per game playing at home this year. The Pelicans check in as the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to 3-point attempts. This matchup is a strong one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 20 games (38.3). The number of points notched against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low (11.9 per game) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Heat).

Jimmy Butler has converted 67.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games on the road, 10.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season away from his home court. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 33.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Heat rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). Jimmy Butler has attempted 9.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Tyler Herro has attempted 18.1 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro comes in at the 96th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while on the road, posting 7.9 per game this year. Tyler Herro has averaged 33.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 91st percentile. The Heat rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 7.5 three attempts per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Naji Marshall has successfully made a whopping 44.3% of his three-point shots this season, quite a bit more than his 25.6 mark last season. The Pelicans have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court. Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 12thbest in in the league as the home team with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.5% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Nikola Jovic has made 52.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 5.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season without the home court advantage. The Heat rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Pelicans). Nikola Jovic has sunk 97.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 41.7% higher than he's made in all games this season while playing on the road. Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Pelicans, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jordan Hawkins has gone over 6.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Love has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jose Alvarado has gone over 7.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.