Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game May 10, 2026
NY
@
PHI
Sun, May 10 • 3:30 PM ET
Jalen Brunson o26.5 Points Scored (-120)
Through three games in the Eastern Conference semifinals, it’s clear that the 76ers have no answer for Jalen Brunson. New York’s superstar guard has scored 35, 26, and 33 points to lead his team to a commanding 3-0 series lead.
Brunson is no stranger to big moments, and he’s averaged 29 points across six road closeout games since joining the Knicks. He’s recorded 30+ in three of them, including a 41-point eruption in the 2024 postseason against the Sixers.
Tyrese Maxey isn’t going down without a fight, and Philadelphia’s leading scorer should show an improvement on his 17-point performance in Game 3. Maxey has eclipsed 26 points in five of 10 playoff games, and he’s reached that mark in four of seven matchups with the Knicks this season.
Joel Embiid has totaled just 32 points in Games 1 and 3 of this series, shooting a pitiful 10-of-28 from the floor. He’s not playing anywhere near 100%, and he’s failed to score 25 in three of his last four games.
SA
@
MIN
Sun, May 10 • 7:30 PM ET
Anthony Edwards o31.5 Points and Rebounds (-105)
Anthony Edwards came off the bench in Games 1 and 2 and totaled 30 points and six rebounds across 49 total minutes. He started Game 3 and eclipsed those totals with 32 points and 14 rebounds across 41 minutes. Ant-Man has started four games against the Spurs this season, and he hit the Over on this combo line three times while averaging 41.3 points+rebounds.
Minnesota has covered the spread in four of its last five games at home, and the team nearly covered the 5.5-point spread despite awful shooting performances from Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels. With Edwards off his minutes restriction, I expect him to do everything he can to will his team to victory with needed support from his teammates. Improved shooting from two starters means more scoring for Minnesota, and the point total is set far too low for Game 4. These teams have hit the Game Total Over in two straight and four of six head-to-head matchups this season.
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DET
@
CLE
Mon, May 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Jarrett Allen o12.5 Points Scored (-105)
Jarrett Allen has averaged 20 points across his last two games, and he’s recorded 13+ points in four of his last five games, with the only exception being a two-point dud in Game 1 of the semifinals. Cleveland’s big man has found success against Jalen Duren over the last three seasons. In 11 career matchups with Duren, Allen has averaged 14.6 points. He scored 13+ in seven of those head-to-heads, including four of five at home.
Donovan Mitchell has scored 30+ points in back-to-back games. In five season matchups with the Pistons, he’s averaged 30.8 points and scored 29+ four times. Mitchell has been a more potent scorer at home, and I expect him to come through in a big way as the Cavs look to even up the series.
The Cavaliers built momentum after a win in Game 3, and they can tie the series at two games apiece with a win in front of the home crowd. The home team has won five straight games in this head-to-head matchup, and Cleveland is 31-12 straight up as the home favorite this season.
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