NBA Picks

If Kyle Anderson’s minutes are at all reduced, that should lean to more for Ayo Dosunmu, who has already cleared this prop in his last two games, three of his last four and six of his 10 games with Minnesota.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves.. The Timberwolves have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

As the Nets jockey for lottery balls, Porter Jr. is seizing the chance to showcase his offensive arsenal. He’s averaging a career-best 24.2 PPG in Brooklyn, and he’ll have the green light again today as the Nets’ best source of buckets.

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league while on their home court this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.. The 9th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.. The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease possessions for the Pistons.

The Hawks have relied on CJ McCollum for steady offense since he arrived in the Trae Young trade, and he’s answered the call. He averaged 19.3 PPG in February, and he’s nailed this combo Over in his last three games.

McCollum torched the Milwaukee Bucks in midweek with 18 points and eight assists, and he’s primed for another productive outing here as Atlanta hosts a Philly squad missing Joel Embiid, Paul George and probably VJ Edgecombe too. The veteran has scored 17+ points in seven of his past nine outings, and his numbers jump to 20.2 PPG and 3.5 APG when playing at home.

The veteran guard has cashed the Over in points in three consecutive appearances, and he also dropped 23 against the Sixers last month. McCollum is coming off an 18-point performance versus the Milwaukee Bucks earlier this week.

The Bucks have lost four straight games in blowout fashion, while the Jazz seem to be actually trying rather than actively tanking in their last few outings. It's hard to justify Milwaukee being a 10-point favorite over anyone right now, so I'm taking Utah to cover.

The Bucks will have to consider shutting down Giannis Antetokounmpo if their losing streak continues, so tonight’s matchup with the Utah Jazz feels like a must-win. We haven’t seen the best of Giannis yet since his return from a calf injury, but I like the Over on his points total here.

He scored 24 points in 26 minutes against Atlanta this week, making 10 of his 15 shots, and he should feast against a Jazz team that’s short in the frontcourt without Lauri Markkanen, Jusuf Nurkic, Jaren Jackson Jr. and Walker Kessler. Antetokounmpo is averaging 64% from the field this year, so look for him to live in the paint tonight.

Jaylen Wells is scoring a career-best 12.7 points per game on the season, though his scoring average is up over the last month. Across his last 14 games, Wells has averaged 15.9 points, and he’s dropped 20.3 across his last three.

In that span, Wells scored 14+ eight times overall and in three of six at home. In three matchups with the Clippers, Wells posted scoring totals of 16, 17 and 13. The Grizzlies are sharing the love on offense, but Wells has been the most consistent scoring option over the last five weeks.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.0 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, resulting in a tough matchup.. The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.. The LA Clippers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Steph Curry’s absence has thrown Podziemski into a bigger role, and he’s got a path to eye-popping numbers again tonight, even against the Oklahoma City Thunder’s swarming defense. Podziemski has scored 18+ points in four of his past six contests, while balancing a heavy minutes load, and he’s jacked up 18 shots in each of his last two games.

But it’s his rebounding that makes this such an attractive prop. He’s grabbed 7+ boards in seven straight outings, including two 15-rebound efforts, and Golden State will need his savvy work on the glass to hold off the relentless Thunder.

Chet Holmgren has been on a tear, and with Isaiah Hartenstein sidelined, I expect him to continue his strong play against a depleted Warriors frontcourt at home. Holmgren has averaged 27.9 points+rebounds in 24 games without Hartenstein, hitting the Over on this line 13 times. 

Over his last six games, Holmgren has averaged 16.3 points and 12.2 rebounds, averaging 16 points and 18 boards in his last two home games. He’s reached the Over in four of his last five home games and delivered 28+ points+rebounds in all three matchups with Golden State.