LA @ Toronto Picks & Props
LAC vs TOR Picks
NBA Picks
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
MoneyLine
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Los Angeles Clippers are trading as a -125 favorite on the moneyline against the Toronto Raptors on Friday and I'm hitting the button on that number as I believe they should be trading closer to a -150. The Raptors defense is very vulnerable to high usage pick and roll ball handlers which is a massive problem when you're facing James Harden and Ivica Zubac or Brook Lopez is setting screens. The Raptors have the better record and appear as the better team in this matchup on the surface but don't get it confused theres a reason the Clippers are favored on the road. The Clippers are much better than their record and are 4th in Net Rating in the NBA over their last 10 games.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The LA Clippers have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The matchup vs. Toronto is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Toronto Raptors are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.1).. The LA Clippers have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.. The LA Clippers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Raptors).. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The LA Clippers have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.. The LA Clippers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Raptors).. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
LAC vs TOR Consensus Picks
62% picking L.A. Clippers vs Toronto to go Over
Total PicksLAC 267, TOR 166
Total
Over
Under
LAC vs TOR Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
James Harden
(PG)
o26.5 Points Scored
30.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.9
DIFFERENCE
24.98%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Kawhi Leonard
(SF)
u26.5 Points Scored
22.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.6
DIFFERENCE
24.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
John Collins
(PF)
o13.5 Points Scored
14.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
14.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Collin Murray-Boyles
(PF)
o10.5 Points Scored
11.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
11.6%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u20.5 Points Scored
19.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
10.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o6.5 Points Scored
6.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Kris Dunn
(PG)
u8.5 Points Scored
8.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
9.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
u10.5 Points Scored
10.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
4.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o10.5 Points Scored
11.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
3.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
u6.5 Points Scored
6.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Ivica Zubac
(C)
o14.5 Points Scored
14.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
u16.5 Points Scored
16.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o23.5 Points Scored
23.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Kris Dunn
(PG)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
18.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
13.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Collin Murray-Boyles
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
7.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
7.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
John Collins
(PF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
James Harden
(PG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Ivica Zubac
(C)
o10.5 Total Rebounds
10.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Kawhi Leonard
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-0.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-2.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
8.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-5.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.77%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
James Harden
(PG)
o3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
9.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Kris Dunn
(PG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
1.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
John Collins
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.76%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-8.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-9.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-9.8%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-12.35%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u5.5 Total Assists
5.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
16.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
14.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
7.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o5.5 Total Assists
5.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Kris Dunn
(PG)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Collin Murray-Boyles
(PF)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
James Harden
(PG)
o7.5 Total Assists
8.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o0.5 Total Assists
1.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ivica Zubac
(C)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Kawhi Leonard
(SF)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-5.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o7.5 Total Assists
7.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.94%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
POINTS SCORED
James Harden
(PG)
o26.5 Points Scored
30.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.9
DIFFERENCE
24.98%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Kawhi Leonard
(SF)
u26.5 Points Scored
22.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.6
DIFFERENCE
24.4%
EV
POINTS SCORED
John Collins
(PF)
o13.5 Points Scored
14.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
14.33%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Collin Murray-Boyles
(PF)
o10.5 Points Scored
11.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
11.6%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u20.5 Points Scored
19.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
10.61%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o6.5 Points Scored
6.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.69%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Kris Dunn
(PG)
u8.5 Points Scored
8.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
9.15%
EV
POINTS SCORED
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
u10.5 Points Scored
10.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
4.8%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o10.5 Points Scored
11.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
3.61%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
u6.5 Points Scored
6.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.39%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Ivica Zubac
(C)
o14.5 Points Scored
14.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.23%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
u16.5 Points Scored
16.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.01%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o23.5 Points Scored
23.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.62%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Kris Dunn
(PG)
u3.5 Total Rebounds
3.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
18.56%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
13.79%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Collin Murray-Boyles
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
7.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
7.89%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
John Collins
(PF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
7.59%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
James Harden
(PG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.8%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Ivica Zubac
(C)
o10.5 Total Rebounds
10.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.88%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Kawhi Leonard
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-0.89%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
5.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.19%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o5.5 Total Rebounds
6.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
-2.96%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.37%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
8.5 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-5.62%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.77%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
James Harden
(PG)
o3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
9.92%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Kris Dunn
(PG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
3.8%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
1.53%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
John Collins
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.9%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.76%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-8.14%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-9.08%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-9.8%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-12.35%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Scottie Barnes
(PF)
u5.5 Total Assists
5.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
16.9%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Brandon Ingram
(SF)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.0
DIFFERENCE
14.66%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Nicolas Batum
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
12.5%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Sandro Mamukelashvili
(PF)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
7.59%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Immanuel Quickley
(PG)
o5.5 Total Assists
5.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.84%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Kris Dunn
(PG)
u3.5 Total Assists
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.48%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Collin Murray-Boyles
(PF)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.01%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
James Harden
(PG)
o7.5 Total Assists
8.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.11%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ochai Agbaji
(SG)
o0.5 Total Assists
1.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.51%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Ivica Zubac
(C)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.14%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Kawhi Leonard
(SF)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-5.45%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
JS
Jamal Shead
(PG)
o7.5 Total Assists
7.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.94%
EV
LAC vs TOR Trends
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LAC vs TOR Top User Picks
L.A. Clippers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | buffalo2007 | 6-4-0 | +10750 |
| 2 | fat italian | 4-6-0 | +10150 |
| 3 | CJONES1068 | 7-3-0 | +9700 |
| 4 | CoachBlue | 5-5-0 | +9400 |
| 5 | Technique | 7-3-0 | +9300 |
| 6 | jnc3lb | 7-3-0 | +8600 |
| 7 | racerz4 | 6-4-0 | +7450 |
| 8 | Sakusa | 6-4-0 | +7250 |
| 9 | pokersquirrel | 8-2-0 | +7200 |
| 10 | Rossi35 | 6-4-0 | +7200 |
| All Clippers Money Leaders | |||
Toronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | mjpalli | 6-4-0 | +11050 |
| 2 | witt297 | 5-5-0 | +9700 |
| 3 | lusvegasluva | 7-3-0 | +9100 |
| 4 | rinv49 | 7-3-0 | +8280 |
| 5 | bauer2015 | 7-3-0 | +7950 |
| 6 | CHEOAPONTE | 8-2-0 | +7750 |
| 7 | Rebelair90 | 7-3-0 | +7600 |
| 8 | julole | 7-3-0 | +6900 |
| 9 | WiNNipeg1973 | 7-3-0 | +6460 |
| 10 | kayg | 6-4-0 | +6450 |
| All Raptors Money Leaders | |||