Orlando @ Golden State Picks & Props
ORL vs GS Picks
NBA Picks
Anthony Black is averaging 6.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists in December, and he’s gone past this number in seven of his last eight. In fact, he could be well within range in rebounds alone. He’s grabbed 8+ boards four times this month and has the size to dominate backcourt rivals on the glass.
Stephen Curry’s assists prop is priced at -102 for Over 4.5 assists, a number we are more than willing to play, as I believe it should be closer to -160. In their last matchup, the Orlando Magic were aggressive with help defense in pick-and-roll situations, which consistently opened up pocket-pass opportunities for Curry. He capitalized on that coverage, finishing with nine assists. With Jalen Suggs listed as doubtful, that same aggressive help defense should remain in place. Curry has also led the Warriors in potential assists over the last three games, averaging 11.7 per contest.
The feisty Magic may be able to hang with the Warriors through the first three quarters, but I expect Golden State to pull away late and cover a modest spread. The visiting team is down multiple key players, so the advantage goes to the Warriors in this one.
ORL vs GS Consensus Picks
58% picking Orlando
Total Picks ORL 379, GS 272
68% picking Orlando vs Golden State to go Over
Total PicksORL 294, GS 137
ORL vs GS Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
Desmond Bane
(SF)
u28.5 Points Scored
19.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-8.7
DIFFERENCE
30.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
o7.5 Points Scored
10.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.9
DIFFERENCE
27.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Tyus Jones
(PG)
u6.5 Points Scored
5.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.3
DIFFERENCE
25.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Goga Bitadze
(C)
o4.5 Points Scored
5.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
20.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
o9.5 Points Scored
11.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
18.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jase Richardson
(SG)
o7.5 Points Scored
8.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
13.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Stephen Curry
(PG)
u27.5 Points Scored
26.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.0
DIFFERENCE
13.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Draymond Green
(PF)
u9.5 Points Scored
8.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
12.57%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Moses Moody
(SG)
u10.5 Points Scored
10.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
5.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
u24.5 Points Scored
24.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Anthony Black
(SG)
o14.5 Points Scored
14.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-1.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Brandin Podziemski
(SG)
o10.5 Points Scored
11.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-2.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Draymond Green
(PF)
u8.5 Total Rebounds
6.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.9
DIFFERENCE
25.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
u10.5 Total Rebounds
8.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.1
DIFFERENCE
22.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jase Richardson
(SG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
2.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
20.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Desmond Bane
(SF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
16.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Goga Bitadze
(C)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
5.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
14.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Stephen Curry
(PG)
u4.5 Total Rebounds
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Brandin Podziemski
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
8.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
8.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
5.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Moses Moody
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
2.38%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Anthony Black
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
u5.5 Total Rebounds
5.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Tyus Jones
(PG)
u1.5 Total Rebounds
1.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-9.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Desmond Bane
(SF)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
2.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.5
DIFFERENCE
31.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Tyus Jones
(PG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
0.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
27.32%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Moses Moody
(SG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
18.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
2.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
16.46%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
9.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Stephen Curry
(PG)
o3.5 3-Pointers Made
4.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
4.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-3.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Anthony Black
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Brandin Podziemski
(SG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jase Richardson
(SG)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-7.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Draymond Green
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-9.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Anthony Black
(SG)
u5.5 Total Assists
3.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.6
DIFFERENCE
24.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Stephen Curry
(PG)
o4.5 Total Assists
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
17.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Wendell Carter Jr.
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
15.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Desmond Bane
(SF)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
11.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Paolo Banchero
(PF)
u5.5 Total Assists
5.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
11.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Draymond Green
(PF)
o4.5 Total Assists
5.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
10.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jase Richardson
(SG)
o1.5 Total Assists
2.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Tyus Jones
(PG)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
5.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Moses Moody
(SG)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
4.37%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
QP
Quinten Post
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-14%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
ORL vs GS Trends
ORL vs GS Top User Picks
Orlando Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | greenhouse12 | 5-5-0 | +11350 |
| 2 | CRS | 5-5-0 | +9650 |
| 3 | saintsnola15 | 7-3-0 | +9200 |
| 4 | Rossi35 | 8-2-0 | +8750 |
| 5 | mjpalli | 7-3-0 | +8700 |
| 6 | patelnydevil289 | 4-6-0 | +8450 |
| 7 | sandhog1 | 7-3-0 | +8300 |
| 8 | CHEOAPONTE | 6-4-0 | +7950 |
| 9 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +7950 |
| 10 | Sinthetix | 7-3-0 | +7650 |
| All Magic Money Leaders | |||
Golden State Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Warriors Money Leaders | |||