Miami 8th East30-27

Denver 3rd West36-21

9:00PM ET Nov 05, 2025

Miami @ Denver Picks & Props

MIA vs DEN Picks

NBA Picks

Total Assists

Bam Adebayo o3.5 Total Assists (-110)

Best Odds

o3.5 +120

Pick made: 3 months ago

o3.5 +107

o3.5 +120

o3.5 +115

Bam Adebayo’s assists prop is set at 3.5 (-110) for the Over at BetMGM, and I see value at that number — I think it should be closer to -135. The Heat will look to make Nikola Jokić work defensively on Wednesday, and with Adebayo spending more time on the perimeter this season, expect him to initiate plenty of actions designed to tire Jokić out. Adebayo’s improved ball-handling and willingness to shoot from deep have opened up the lane, creating more opportunities for easy assists to teammates cutting to the rim.

Points Scored

Jaime Jaquez Jr. o11.5 Points Scored (-105)

Best Odds

o11.5 -118

Pick made: 3 months ago

o12.5 -103

o12.5 -104

o11.5 -118

o12.5 -106

Jaime Jaquez Jr.’s points total is set at 11.5 (-105) on DraftKings, and at that price, I’m taking the Over. I think it should be closer to -170. Jaquez has struggled in two of his last three games against the Spurs and Clippers, but that’s not too surprising — both teams have elite rim protectors in Victor Wembanyama and Ivica Zubac, and Jaquez does most of his work in the paint. The Nuggets, on the other hand, don’t offer that same level of interior defense with Nikola Jokić, so this sets up as a great bounce-back spot for Jaquez.

Points Scored

Norman Powell o20.5 Points Scored (-102)

Best Odds

o19.5 -113

Pick made: 3 months ago

o19.5 -113

o20.5 +104

o19.5 -120

o19.5 -127

We’re seeing an offensive overhaul from the Heat this season, and Powell has embraced a starring role alongside Bam Adebayo. With Tyler Herro sidelined, there’s a lot of volume up for grabs, and Powell can fill in the blanks as a 3-point sniper and an aggressive driver. Returning from a groin injury, the former Clipper dropped 21 points on his old team earlier this week, and he’s gone past this O/U number in three of his four outings this season, while making 52% of his triples.

Read Full Analysis

Points Scored

Norman Powell u20.5 Points Scored (-132)

Projection 18.01 (Under)

Best Odds

u20.5 -132

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

u19.5 -112

u20.5 -132

u19.5 -110

u19.5 -106

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

-132 at FanDuel

Points Scored

Pelle Larsson o6.5 Points Scored (+108)

Projection 7.36 (Over)

Best Odds

o6.5 +108

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o6.5 +104

o6.5 +108

o6.5 +105

o6.5 +108

When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's stellar 37.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season.

+108 at FanDuel

3-Pointers Made

Aaron Gordon u1.5 3-Pointers Made (+135)

Projection 1.46 (Under)

Best Odds

u2.5 -189

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

u2.5 -189

u2.5 -210

u1.5 +135

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

-189 at DraftKings

3-Pointers Made

Jaime Jaquez Jr. o0.5 3-Pointers Made (+155)

Projection 0.71 (Over)

Best Odds

o0.5 +155

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +150

When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's stellar 37.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season.

+155 at BetMGM

Total Assists

Bam Adebayo o3.5 Total Assists (+120)

Projection 4.32 (Over)

Best Odds

o3.5 +120

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

o3.5 +107

o3.5 +120

o3.5 +115

Total Assists

Davion Mitchell u6.5 Total Assists (+108)

Projection 5.9 (Under)

Best Odds

u6.5 +108

Pick made: 3 months ago

EV Model Rating

u6.5 -105

u6.5 +108

u6.5 -118

u6.5 -113

+108 at FanDuel

Spread

57% picking Miami

57% 57%

43% 43%

Total Picks MIA 421, DEN 318

Spread

MIA

DEN

Spread

+16.5 -111

-8.5 -112

Total

56% picking Miami vs Denver to go Under

44% 44%

56% 56%

Total PicksMIA 249, DEN 317

Total

Over

Under

Total

241.5 -106

241.5 -102

MIA vs DEN Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
POINTS SCORED Norman Powell (SG) u20.5 Points Scored 18.0 UNDER PROJECTION -2.5 DIFFERENCE 19.34% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds u20.5 -132 u19.5 -112 - u20.5 -132 u19.5 -110 u19.5 -106 Norman Powell (SG) u20.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 18.0 UNDER PROJECTION -2.5 DIFFERENCE 19.34% EV ANALYSIS Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. u20.5 -132
POINTS SCORED PL Pelle Larsson (SG) o6.5 Points Scored 7.4 OVER PROJECTION +0.9 DIFFERENCE 18.12% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o6.5 +108 o6.5 +104 - o6.5 +108 o6.5 +105 o6.5 +108 PL Pelle Larsson (SG) o6.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 7.4 OVER PROJECTION +0.9 DIFFERENCE 18.12% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's stellar 37.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season. o6.5 +108
POINTS SCORED Cameron Johnson (PF) o12.5 Points Scored 13.8 OVER PROJECTION +1.3 DIFFERENCE 17.78% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o12.5 +102 o12.5 +100 - o12.5 +102 o12.5 -105 o12.5 -107 Cameron Johnson (PF) o12.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 13.8 OVER PROJECTION +1.3 DIFFERENCE 17.78% EV ANALYSIS The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league on their home court since the start of last season.. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup.. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line. o12.5 +102
POINTS SCORED Christian Braun (SG) u13.5 Points Scored 12.6 UNDER PROJECTION -0.9 DIFFERENCE 16.43% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds u13.5 -104 u13.5 -120 - u13.5 -104 u12.5 +105 u13.5 -115 Christian Braun (SG) u13.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 12.6 UNDER PROJECTION -0.9 DIFFERENCE 16.43% EV ANALYSIS The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season in terms of shot attempts from downtown.. The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are on the road (4th-least in the league). u13.5 -104
POINTS SCORED Peyton Watson (SF) o6.5 Points Scored 7.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 16.02% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o6.5 +102 o6.5 -109 - o6.5 +102 - o6.5 -112 Peyton Watson (SF) o6.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 7.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 16.02% EV ANALYSIS The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league on their home court since the start of last season. o6.5 +102
POINTS SCORED Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o12.5 Points Scored 13.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 10.16% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o11.5 -118 o12.5 -103 - o12.5 -104 o11.5 -118 o12.5 -106 Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o12.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 13.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 10.16% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's stellar 37.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season. o11.5 -118
POINTS SCORED Bam Adebayo (C) o19.5 Points Scored 20.1 OVER PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE 8.27% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o19.5 +104 o19.5 -102 - o19.5 +104 o19.5 -105 o19.5 +102 Bam Adebayo (C) o19.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 20.1 OVER PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE 8.27% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's stellar 37.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season. o19.5 +104
POINTS SCORED Nikola Jokic (C) o24.5 Points Scored 25.6 OVER PROJECTION +1.1 DIFFERENCE 6.17% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o24.5 +100 o24.5 -115 - o24.5 -115 o24.5 +100 o24.5 -118 Nikola Jokic (C) o24.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 25.6 OVER PROJECTION +1.1 DIFFERENCE 6.17% EV ANALYSIS The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league on their home court since the start of last season. o24.5 +100
POINTS SCORED Jamal Murray (PG) u21.5 Points Scored 20.9 UNDER PROJECTION -0.6 DIFFERENCE 5.8% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds u22.5 -125 u21.5 -110 - u21.5 -113 u22.5 -125 u21.5 -115 Jamal Murray (PG) u21.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 20.9 UNDER PROJECTION -0.6 DIFFERENCE 5.8% EV ANALYSIS The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season in terms of shot attempts from downtown. u22.5 -125
POINTS SCORED Aaron Gordon (PF) u16.5 Points Scored 16.0 UNDER PROJECTION -0.6 DIFFERENCE 3.22% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds Caesars Best Odds u16.5 -121 u16.5 -124 - u16.5 -122 u16.5 -125 u16.5 -121 Aaron Gordon (PF) u16.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 16.0 UNDER PROJECTION -0.6 DIFFERENCE 3.22% EV ANALYSIS The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season in terms of shot attempts from downtown.. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls. u16.5 -121
POINTS SCORED Davion Mitchell (PG) u9.5 Points Scored 9.0 UNDER PROJECTION -0.5 DIFFERENCE 3.01% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds u9.5 -130 u9.5 -130 - u9.5 -130 u8.5 +100 u9.5 -130 Davion Mitchell (PG) u9.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 9.0 UNDER PROJECTION -0.5 DIFFERENCE 3.01% EV ANALYSIS This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (2nd-worst in the league) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup.. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. u9.5 -130
POINTS SCORED Andrew Wiggins (SF) o16.5 Points Scored 16.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -4.44% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o16.5 -104 o16.5 -104 - o16.5 -106 o16.5 -105 o16.5 -112 Andrew Wiggins (SF) o16.5 Points Scored PROJECTION 16.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -4.44% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's stellar 37.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season. o16.5 -104
TOTAL REBOUNDS PL Pelle Larsson (SG) o2.5 Total Rebounds 2.8 OVER PROJECTION +0.3 DIFFERENCE 10.89% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o2.5 +112 o2.5 +104 - o2.5 +112 o2.5 -105 o2.5 +107 PL Pelle Larsson (SG) o2.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 2.8 OVER PROJECTION +0.3 DIFFERENCE 10.89% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o2.5 +112
TOTAL REBOUNDS Bam Adebayo (C) o8.5 Total Rebounds 9.4 OVER PROJECTION +0.9 DIFFERENCE 7.33% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o8.5 -120 o8.5 -137 - o8.5 -120 o8.5 -120 o8.5 -125 Bam Adebayo (C) o8.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 9.4 OVER PROJECTION +0.9 DIFFERENCE 7.33% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o8.5 -120
TOTAL REBOUNDS Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o5.5 Total Rebounds 5.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE 0.76% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o4.5 -155 o5.5 +105 - o5.5 +102 o4.5 -155 o5.5 +100 Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o5.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 5.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE 0.76% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o4.5 -155
TOTAL REBOUNDS Norman Powell (SG) o2.5 Total Rebounds 3.2 OVER PROJECTION +0.7 DIFFERENCE -4.29% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o2.5 -175 o3.5 +121 - o2.5 -180 o2.5 -175 o3.5 +130 Norman Powell (SG) o2.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 3.2 OVER PROJECTION +0.7 DIFFERENCE -4.29% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o2.5 -175
TOTAL REBOUNDS Davion Mitchell (PG) u2.5 Total Rebounds 2.4 UNDER PROJECTION -0.1 DIFFERENCE -5.13% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds u2.5 -160 u2.5 -165 - u2.5 -160 u1.5 +130 u2.5 -170 Davion Mitchell (PG) u2.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 2.4 UNDER PROJECTION -0.1 DIFFERENCE -5.13% EV ANALYSIS Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. u2.5 -160
TOTAL REBOUNDS Andrew Wiggins (SF) o4.5 Total Rebounds 4.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -7.16% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o4.5 -115 o4.5 -139 - o4.5 -122 o4.5 -115 o4.5 -124 Andrew Wiggins (SF) o4.5 Total Rebounds PROJECTION 4.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -7.16% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o4.5 -115
3-POINTERS MADE Aaron Gordon (PF) u1.5 3-Pointers Made 1.5 UNDER PROJECTION -0.0 DIFFERENCE 21.43% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds u2.5 -189 u2.5 -189 - u2.5 -210 u1.5 +135 u1.5 +135 Aaron Gordon (PF) u1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.5 UNDER PROJECTION -0.0 DIFFERENCE 21.43% EV ANALYSIS The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season in terms of shot attempts from downtown. u2.5 -189
3-POINTERS MADE Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o0.5 3-Pointers Made 0.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE 19.85% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o0.5 +155 - - - o0.5 +155 o0.5 +150 Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o0.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 0.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE 19.85% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's stellar 37.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season. o0.5 +155
3-POINTERS MADE Bam Adebayo (C) u1.5 3-Pointers Made 1.3 UNDER PROJECTION -0.2 DIFFERENCE 11.03% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds u1.5 -122 u1.5 -129 - u1.5 -122 u1.5 -135 u1.5 -132 Bam Adebayo (C) u1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.3 UNDER PROJECTION -0.2 DIFFERENCE 11.03% EV ANALYSIS Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. u1.5 -122
3-POINTERS MADE Norman Powell (SG) o2.5 3-Pointers Made 2.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE 5.33% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o2.5 +126 o2.5 +122 - o2.5 +126 o2.5 +110 o2.5 +120 Norman Powell (SG) o2.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 2.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE 5.33% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's stellar 37.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season.. The matchup against Denver is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (7.6). o2.5 +126
3-POINTERS MADE Davion Mitchell (PG) o0.5 3-Pointers Made 1.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 4.86% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o0.5 -225 o1.5 +162 - o1.5 +164 o0.5 -225 o1.5 +175 Davion Mitchell (PG) o0.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 4.86% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's stellar 37.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season. o0.5 -225
3-POINTERS MADE Cameron Johnson (PF) o1.5 3-Pointers Made 2.2 OVER PROJECTION +0.7 DIFFERENCE 1.25% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds Caesars Best Odds o1.5 -179 o1.5 -182 - o1.5 -192 o1.5 -185 o1.5 -179 Cameron Johnson (PF) o1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 2.2 OVER PROJECTION +0.7 DIFFERENCE 1.25% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 37.2% rate of made threes comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup. o1.5 -179
3-POINTERS MADE Andrew Wiggins (SF) o1.5 3-Pointers Made 1.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE 0.8% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o1.5 -112 o1.5 -112 - o1.5 -128 o1.5 -120 o1.5 -122 Andrew Wiggins (SF) o1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.9 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE 0.8% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's stellar 37.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season. o1.5 -112
3-POINTERS MADE Christian Braun (SG) o0.5 3-Pointers Made 1.1 OVER PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE -3.17% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o0.5 -225 o1.5 +184 - - o0.5 -225 o0.5 -235 Christian Braun (SG) o0.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.1 OVER PROJECTION +0.6 DIFFERENCE -3.17% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 37.2% rate of made threes comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season.. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a good matchup. o0.5 -225
3-POINTERS MADE Jamal Murray (PG) u2.5 3-Pointers Made 2.5 UNDER PROJECTION -0.0 DIFFERENCE -5.28% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds u2.5 -133 u2.5 -133 - u2.5 -162 u2.5 -145 u2.5 -145 Jamal Murray (PG) u2.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 2.5 UNDER PROJECTION -0.0 DIFFERENCE -5.28% EV ANALYSIS The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season in terms of shot attempts from downtown. u2.5 -133
3-POINTERS MADE Nikola Jokic (C) o1.5 3-Pointers Made 1.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -6.66% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds o1.5 -115 o1.5 -122 - o1.5 -128 o1.5 -115 o1.5 -121 Nikola Jokic (C) o1.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.7 OVER PROJECTION +0.2 DIFFERENCE -6.66% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 37.2% rate of made threes comes in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA since the start of last season. o1.5 -115
3-POINTERS MADE PL Pelle Larsson (SG) o0.5 3-Pointers Made 1.0 OVER PROJECTION +0.5 DIFFERENCE -7.01% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o0.5 -205 o0.5 -205 - - o0.5 -220 o0.5 -225 PL Pelle Larsson (SG) o0.5 3-Pointers Made PROJECTION 1.0 OVER PROJECTION +0.5 DIFFERENCE -7.01% EV ANALYSIS When it comes to 3-point shots, the Heat's stellar 37.1% rate of drained threes measures as the 7th-most in the league since the start of last season. o0.5 -205
TOTAL ASSISTS Bam Adebayo (C) o3.5 Total Assists 4.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 22.5% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o3.5 +120 o3.5 +107 - o3.5 +120 o3.5 +115 o3.5 +115 Bam Adebayo (C) o3.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 4.3 OVER PROJECTION +0.8 DIFFERENCE 22.5% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o3.5 +120
TOTAL ASSISTS Davion Mitchell (PG) u6.5 Total Assists 5.9 UNDER PROJECTION -0.6 DIFFERENCE 19.78% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds u6.5 +108 u6.5 -105 - u6.5 +108 u6.5 -118 u6.5 -113 Davion Mitchell (PG) u6.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 5.9 UNDER PROJECTION -0.6 DIFFERENCE 19.78% EV ANALYSIS Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. u6.5 +108
TOTAL ASSISTS Norman Powell (SG) u2.5 Total Assists 1.8 UNDER PROJECTION -0.7 DIFFERENCE 13.3% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds u2.5 -160 u2.5 -160 - u2.5 -170 u2.5 -200 u2.5 -170 Norman Powell (SG) u2.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 1.8 UNDER PROJECTION -0.7 DIFFERENCE 13.3% EV ANALYSIS Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. u2.5 -160
TOTAL ASSISTS Andrew Wiggins (SF) o2.5 Total Assists 2.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE 3.42% EV Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o2.5 +123 o2.5 +123 - - o2.5 +115 o2.5 +115 Andrew Wiggins (SF) o2.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 2.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE 3.42% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o2.5 +123
TOTAL ASSISTS PL Pelle Larsson (SG) u2.5 Total Assists 2.2 UNDER PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE -2.64% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds BetMGM Best Odds u2.5 -145 u2.5 -158 - u2.5 -170 u2.5 -145 u2.5 -165 PL Pelle Larsson (SG) u2.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 2.2 UNDER PROJECTION -0.3 DIFFERENCE -2.64% EV ANALYSIS Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season. u2.5 -145
TOTAL ASSISTS Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o3.5 Total Assists 3.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -6.17% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds FanDuel Best Odds o3.5 -115 o3.5 -128 - o3.5 -115 o3.5 -135 o3.5 -122 Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o3.5 Total Assists PROJECTION 3.6 OVER PROJECTION +0.1 DIFFERENCE -6.17% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o3.5 -115

POINTS SCORED

Norman Powell (SG) u20.5 Points Scored

18.0 UNDER PROJECTION

-2.5 DIFFERENCE

19.34% EV

Rating:

u20.5 -132

u19.5 -112

u20.5 -132

u19.5 -110

u19.5 -106

POINTS SCORED

Pelle Larsson (SG) o6.5 Points Scored

7.4 OVER PROJECTION

+0.9 DIFFERENCE

18.12% EV

Rating:

o6.5 +108

o6.5 +104

o6.5 +108

o6.5 +105

o6.5 +108

POINTS SCORED

Cameron Johnson (PF) o12.5 Points Scored

13.8 OVER PROJECTION

+1.3 DIFFERENCE

17.78% EV

Rating:

o12.5 +102

o12.5 +100

o12.5 +102

o12.5 -105

o12.5 -107

POINTS SCORED

Christian Braun (SG) u13.5 Points Scored

12.6 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.9 DIFFERENCE

16.43% EV

Rating:

u13.5 -104

u13.5 -120

u13.5 -104

u12.5 +105

u13.5 -115

POINTS SCORED

Peyton Watson (SF) o6.5 Points Scored

7.3 OVER PROJECTION

+0.8 DIFFERENCE

16.02% EV

Rating:

o6.5 +102

o6.5 -109

o6.5 +102

o6.5 -112

POINTS SCORED

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o12.5 Points Scored

13.3 OVER PROJECTION

+0.8 DIFFERENCE

10.16% EV

Rating:

o11.5 -118

o12.5 -103

o12.5 -104

o11.5 -118

o12.5 -106

POINTS SCORED

Bam Adebayo (C) o19.5 Points Scored

20.1 OVER PROJECTION

+0.6 DIFFERENCE

8.27% EV

Rating:

o19.5 +104

o19.5 -102

o19.5 +104

o19.5 -105

o19.5 +102

POINTS SCORED

Nikola Jokic (C) o24.5 Points Scored

25.6 OVER PROJECTION

+1.1 DIFFERENCE

6.17% EV

Rating:

o24.5 +100

o24.5 -115

o24.5 +100

o24.5 -118

POINTS SCORED

Jamal Murray (PG) u21.5 Points Scored

20.9 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.6 DIFFERENCE

5.8% EV

Rating:

u22.5 -125

u21.5 -110

u21.5 -113

u22.5 -125

u21.5 -115

POINTS SCORED

Aaron Gordon (PF) u16.5 Points Scored

16.0 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.6 DIFFERENCE

3.22% EV

Rating:

u16.5 -121

u16.5 -124

u16.5 -122

u16.5 -125

u16.5 -121

POINTS SCORED

Davion Mitchell (PG) u9.5 Points Scored

9.0 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.5 DIFFERENCE

3.01% EV

Rating:

u9.5 -130

u8.5 +100

u9.5 -130

POINTS SCORED

Andrew Wiggins (SF) o16.5 Points Scored

16.6 OVER PROJECTION

+0.1 DIFFERENCE

-4.44% EV

Rating:

o16.5 -104

o16.5 -106

o16.5 -105

o16.5 -112

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Pelle Larsson (SG) o2.5 Total Rebounds

2.8 OVER PROJECTION

+0.3 DIFFERENCE

10.89% EV

Rating:

o2.5 +112

o2.5 +104

o2.5 +112

o2.5 -105

o2.5 +107

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Bam Adebayo (C) o8.5 Total Rebounds

9.4 OVER PROJECTION

+0.9 DIFFERENCE

7.33% EV

Rating:

o8.5 -120

o8.5 -137

o8.5 -120

o8.5 -125

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o5.5 Total Rebounds

5.7 OVER PROJECTION

+0.2 DIFFERENCE

0.76% EV

Rating:

o4.5 -155

o5.5 +105

o5.5 +102

o4.5 -155

o5.5 +100

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Norman Powell (SG) o2.5 Total Rebounds

3.2 OVER PROJECTION

+0.7 DIFFERENCE

-4.29% EV

Rating:

o2.5 -175

o3.5 +121

o2.5 -180

o2.5 -175

o3.5 +130

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Davion Mitchell (PG) u2.5 Total Rebounds

2.4 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.1 DIFFERENCE

-5.13% EV

Rating:

u2.5 -160

u2.5 -165

u2.5 -160

u1.5 +130

u2.5 -170

TOTAL REBOUNDS

Andrew Wiggins (SF) o4.5 Total Rebounds

4.7 OVER PROJECTION

+0.2 DIFFERENCE

-7.16% EV

Rating:

o4.5 -115

o4.5 -139

o4.5 -122

o4.5 -115

o4.5 -124

3-POINTERS MADE

Aaron Gordon (PF) u1.5 3-Pointers Made

1.5 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.0 DIFFERENCE

21.43% EV

Rating:

u2.5 -189

u2.5 -210

u1.5 +135

3-POINTERS MADE

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o0.5 3-Pointers Made

0.7 OVER PROJECTION

+0.2 DIFFERENCE

19.85% EV

Rating:

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +150

3-POINTERS MADE

Bam Adebayo (C) u1.5 3-Pointers Made

1.3 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.2 DIFFERENCE

11.03% EV

Rating:

u1.5 -122

u1.5 -129

u1.5 -122

u1.5 -135

u1.5 -132

3-POINTERS MADE

Norman Powell (SG) o2.5 3-Pointers Made

2.6 OVER PROJECTION

+0.1 DIFFERENCE

5.33% EV

Rating:

o2.5 +126

o2.5 +122

o2.5 +126

o2.5 +110

o2.5 +120

3-POINTERS MADE

Davion Mitchell (PG) o0.5 3-Pointers Made

1.3 OVER PROJECTION

+0.8 DIFFERENCE

4.86% EV

Rating:

o0.5 -225

o1.5 +162

o1.5 +164

o0.5 -225

o1.5 +175

3-POINTERS MADE

Cameron Johnson (PF) o1.5 3-Pointers Made

2.2 OVER PROJECTION

+0.7 DIFFERENCE

1.25% EV

Rating:

o1.5 -179

o1.5 -182

o1.5 -192

o1.5 -185

o1.5 -179

3-POINTERS MADE

Andrew Wiggins (SF) o1.5 3-Pointers Made

1.9 OVER PROJECTION

+0.4 DIFFERENCE

0.8% EV

Rating:

o1.5 -112

o1.5 -128

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -122

3-POINTERS MADE

Christian Braun (SG) o0.5 3-Pointers Made

1.1 OVER PROJECTION

+0.6 DIFFERENCE

-3.17% EV

Rating:

o0.5 -225

o1.5 +184

o0.5 -225

o0.5 -235

3-POINTERS MADE

Jamal Murray (PG) u2.5 3-Pointers Made

2.5 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.0 DIFFERENCE

-5.28% EV

Rating:

u2.5 -133

u2.5 -162

u2.5 -145

3-POINTERS MADE

Nikola Jokic (C) o1.5 3-Pointers Made

1.7 OVER PROJECTION

+0.2 DIFFERENCE

-6.66% EV

Rating:

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -122

o1.5 -128

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -121

3-POINTERS MADE

Pelle Larsson (SG) o0.5 3-Pointers Made

1.0 OVER PROJECTION

+0.5 DIFFERENCE

-7.01% EV

Rating:

o0.5 -205

o0.5 -220

o0.5 -225

TOTAL ASSISTS

Bam Adebayo (C) o3.5 Total Assists

4.3 OVER PROJECTION

+0.8 DIFFERENCE

22.5% EV

Rating:

o3.5 +120

o3.5 +107

o3.5 +120

o3.5 +115

TOTAL ASSISTS

Davion Mitchell (PG) u6.5 Total Assists

5.9 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.6 DIFFERENCE

19.78% EV

Rating:

u6.5 +108

u6.5 -105

u6.5 +108

u6.5 -118

u6.5 -113

TOTAL ASSISTS

Norman Powell (SG) u2.5 Total Assists

1.8 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.7 DIFFERENCE

13.3% EV

Rating:

u2.5 -160

u2.5 -170

u2.5 -200

u2.5 -170

TOTAL ASSISTS

Andrew Wiggins (SF) o2.5 Total Assists

2.6 OVER PROJECTION

+0.1 DIFFERENCE

3.42% EV

Rating:

o2.5 +123

o2.5 +115

TOTAL ASSISTS

Pelle Larsson (SG) u2.5 Total Assists

2.2 UNDER PROJECTION

-0.3 DIFFERENCE

-2.64% EV

Rating:

u2.5 -145

u2.5 -158

u2.5 -170

u2.5 -145

u2.5 -165

TOTAL ASSISTS

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF) o3.5 Total Assists

3.6 OVER PROJECTION

+0.1 DIFFERENCE

-6.17% EV

Rating:

o3.5 -115

o3.5 -128

o3.5 -115

o3.5 -135

o3.5 -122

MIA vs DEN Trends

Miami Trends

The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 away games (+20.90 Units / 48% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Period

The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 35 away games (+20.00 Units / 50% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - Spread - 1st Period

The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 61 games (+18.35 Units / 20% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.95 Units / 23% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - Spread - 1st Half

The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-24.18 Units / -24% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 3rd Period

The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-22.28 Units / -22% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 4th Period

The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 57 games (-22.00 Units / -33% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - Spread - 4th Period

The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 74 games (-21.87 Units / -24% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 4th Period

The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 67 games (-20.43 Units / -24% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 3rd Period

Denver Trends

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 47 games at home (+21.10 Units / 39% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Period

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 60 games (+16.95 Units / 16% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Period

The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - Spread - 1st Period

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+14.50 Units / 34% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 3rd Period

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.10 Units / 6% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - Full Game

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 47 games at home (-28.05 Units / -52% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Period

The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 39 of their last 95 games (-24.47 Units / -22% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - Spread - 2nd Period

The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 61 games (-23.80 Units / -34% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - Spread - 4th Period

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 94 games (-23.56 Units / -19% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 4th Period

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 95 games (-20.94 Units / -15% ROI)

MIA

DEN

Game Line - MoneyLine - 2nd Period

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Miami Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	sprality777	6-4-0	+13550
2	brandydump1	8-2-0	+8900
3	jakringle	7-3-0	+8800
4	sportsdool1123	9-1-0	+7600
5	boedad	5-5-0	+7300
6	ceesey	8-2-0	+6400
7	tapnitruc	5-5-0	+6350
8	tonloc4554	8-2-0	+6350
9	Technique	6-4-0	+6200
10	FRANKYFUGAZI1	4-6-0	+6050
All Heat Money Leaders

Denver Team Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	aerison12	6-4-0	+13700
2	ldcpicks	4-6-0	+11750
3	Varart	7-3-0	+11050
4	Abbyllar	7-3-0	+11000
5	ASkinsFanInDixi	6-4-0	+10700
6	sniperpick	4-6-0	+10150
7	ckope1	6-4-0	+10120
8	CigarSt22	4-6-0	+10110
9	thehole007	7-3-0	+9470
10	Badger66	7-3-0	+9300
All Nuggets Money Leaders

Top User Picks

Miami @ Denver Picks & Props

MIA vs DEN Picks

MIA vs DEN Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

57% picking Miami

56% picking Miami vs Denver to go Under

MIA vs DEN Props

How is Value calculated?

MIA vs DEN Trends

Miami Trends

The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 away games (+20.90 Units / 48% ROI)

The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 35 away games (+20.00 Units / 50% ROI)

The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 61 games (+18.35 Units / 20% ROI)

The Miami Heat have covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.95 Units / 23% ROI)

The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.45 Units / 55% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-24.18 Units / -24% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 87 games (-22.28 Units / -22% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 57 games (-22.00 Units / -33% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 74 games (-21.87 Units / -24% ROI)

The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 67 games (-20.43 Units / -24% ROI)

Denver Trends

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 47 games at home (+21.10 Units / 39% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 60 games (+16.95 Units / 16% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 31 games (+14.50 Units / 34% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.10 Units / 6% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 47 games at home (-28.05 Units / -52% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 39 of their last 95 games (-24.47 Units / -22% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 61 games (-23.80 Units / -34% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 94 games (-23.56 Units / -19% ROI)

The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 95 games (-20.94 Units / -15% ROI)

MIA vs DEN Top User Picks

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