Jabari Smith Jr. o1.5 Total Assists (+115)
This one is pretty simple: I think they're overlooking the minutes and usage for Jabari Smith Jr. with Kevin Durant out of the lineup. Smith had 4 potential assists and played 32 minutes against the Suns, a game Durant missed. While 4 potential assists isn’t anything special, it becomes noteworthy when his total is set at 1.5 (+115). I also believe those 32 minutes would have been higher if the game had been competitive. In my opinion, the +115 should be trading closer to -130.
GS -2.5 (-110)
The Golden State Warriors snapped a three-game skid last time out, and I believe there's plenty to build off of. They put up their second-highest point total of the year, and got balanced scoring across the board. Draymond Green is likely to suit up tonight, so that immediately elevates their defense. I'll back them to defend home court.
Jimmy Butler III o5.5 Total Rebounds (-122)
There’s an element of risk in picking the Over on a rebounds prop against the Houston Rockets, but it’s going to be all hands on deck for the Warriors tonight. Jimmy Butler won’t shy away from that task, and I like this price for 6+ boards. Butler has nailed this prop in five of his past six outings, and he had 17 rebounds across the last two games of last season’s playoff series against the Rockets.
Total PicksHOU 381, GS 149
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year. The Warriors have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year. The Warriors have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, branding this as a good matchup. The Warriors have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
Relative to last year's 24.5 clip, Stephen Curry's points per game have spiked this year to 28.8. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year. The matchup against Houston is a good one for shots from the field; when the Rockets are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have put up the 9th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (45.5%). The Warriors have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Rockets, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.
Aaron Holiday has logged 12.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's logged overall this season. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 16.2 offensive boards per game this year.
In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets. This matchup is a strong one for threes; opposing squads have posted the 28th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 19 games (35.1%). The Houston Rockets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 16.2 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (8th-most in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 2.4 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, branding this as a good matchup. The Warriors have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (38.4%). The Houston Rockets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year. The Warriors have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Golden State is a strong one for field goal attempts; when the Golden State Warriors are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (15.8). The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 16.2 offensive boards per game this year.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year. The Warriors have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.4 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the league).
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 38.4% on three-pointers (6th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a strong matchup. The Houston Rockets will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 16.2 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 7.2 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.
Clint Capela has gone over 5.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Quinten Post has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Buddy Hield has gone over 6.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Houston TrendsGolden State Trends| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ollywood | 8-2-0 | +12050 |
| 2 | stakay125 | 7-3-0 | +11850 |
| 3 | Enelra18 | 8-2-0 | +11100 |
| 4 | muna624 | 8-2-0 | +8350 |
| 5 | MillerBets54 | 7-3-0 | +7750 |
| 6 | stom5900 | 7-3-0 | +6750 |
| 7 | Jerrybook | 7-3-0 | +6750 |
| 8 | Haybob | 7-3-0 | +6250 |
| 9 | Alan Palmer | 6-4-0 | +6200 |
| 10 | KYMIKE50 | 8-2-0 | +6200 |
| All Rockets Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Warriors Money Leaders | |||
