James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers
The Clippers have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
LeBron James taking a total of only seven 3-pointers in his first two games back this season is not necessarily a bad thing. He has dished out 20 total assists in the two games. The Lakers won both. But the fact that James is not chucking from deep right now, possibly also a reflection of him trying to find his rhythm after a 14-game stint on the bench to start the season,, lends value to doubting him to hit multiple 3s tonight.
The disrespect here for Austin Reaves is crazy as his assists prop is trading at Over 4.5 (+117) at BetRivers, and we are definitely playing that price point. I think Reaves should be trading closer to -205 for this prop and this is an overreaction to LeBron James returning the lineup which has caused Reaves prop to drop from 6.5 to 4.5 at plus money. Reaves should catch James Harden as his primary defender, and do you really think JJ Redick is going to allow for Harden to just stand around on defense?
James Harden is averaging 30.5 points this month, evidently turning back the clock. The veteran guard scored just 19 points on Sunday evening, but he cashed the Over in five straight before that.
I love fading the Clippers away from home. They are 2-7 outside of the Intuit Dome, and as they wrap up a seven-game road trip, this has a scheduled loss written all over it, much like the rest of the road trip. The Lakers are rolling; they win this one going away.
Total Picks LAC 225, LAL 587
Total PicksLAC 382, LAL 166
The Clippers have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a good matchup. The Clippers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). The LA Clippers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 9 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Clippers have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers. The matchup against the Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 11.4 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Clippers, creating a challenging matchup for offensive output. The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Clippers). The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
With respect to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's fantastic 124.8 points per game playing at home ranks 4th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Clippers). The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Clippers have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 27.2% on 3-pointers (2nd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, labeling this as a tough matchup. The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Clippers). The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
With respect to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's fantastic 124.8 points per game playing at home ranks 4th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
With respect to offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's fantastic 124.8 points per game playing at home ranks 4th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Clippers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). The LA Clippers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 9 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Clippers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). The LA Clippers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 9 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Clippers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers). The LA Clippers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 9 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Los Angeles may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.2 free throws per game over the last 17 games when the Lakers are playing at home (10th-most in the league).
Marcus Smart has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Gabe Vincent has gone over 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
Brook Lopez has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Nicolas Batum has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fat italian | 5-4-1 | +10300 |
| 2 | buffalo2007 | 8-2-0 | +9250 |
| 3 | FoxyFoxes | 4-5-1 | +8100 |
| 4 | CoachBlue | 8-2-0 | +7700 |
| 5 | Sakusa | 8-2-0 | +7400 |
| 6 | CJONES1068 | 7-3-0 | +7350 |
| 7 | DBIGBEN | 7-3-0 | +7200 |
| 8 | whosat | 5-5-0 | +7150 |
| 9 | kingjames5 | 10-0-0 | +6950 |
| 10 | Rossi35 | 6-4-0 | +6750 |
| All Clippers Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | shogun2164 | 8-2-0 | +9520 |
| 2 | Nittanymac5800 | 6-4-0 | +8850 |
| 3 | vupham | 7-3-0 | +7550 |
| 4 | LatinoGambler | 7-3-0 | +7400 |
| 5 | Skyperus | 4-6-0 | +6750 |
| 6 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-4-0 | +6750 |
| 7 | greengrocer | 8-2-0 | +6550 |
| 8 | pervertido2704 | 8-2-0 | +6300 |
| 9 | Dogface253 | 8-2-0 | +6150 |
| 10 | buffalo2007 | 3-7-0 | +5750 |
| All Lakers Money Leaders | |||