Desmond Bane o15.5 Points Scored (-114)
Desmond Bane’s points prop is set at 15.5 with the Over at -114. While the edge is modest—I have it priced around -130—it’s a solid buy-low spot. Bane has struggled to find his rhythm with the Magic, and four straight Unders have pushed his total down from 19.5 to 15.5. That’s a big drop for a player whose minutes have been limited over his last three games due to two blowouts and an ejection. At 15.5 against the Celtics, the Over on Bane looks like a play worth taking.
Anthony Black o2.5 Total Assists (+115)
Anthony Black’s assists prop is trading at +115 for the Over 2.5, and I believe it should be closer to -145, giving this play a significant edge. The Celtics have struggled to contain dribble penetration this season, and Black won’t be facing their top perimeter defenders when he’s on the floor. He should be able to create clean looks for his teammates, and he’s averaged eight potential assists per game over his last three outings.
ORL -3.0 (-115)
For an Orlando team that prides itself on lockdown defense, Tuesday’s 127-112 loss to the Atlanta Hawks, playing without Trae Young, was embarrassing. If Jamahl Mosley doesn’t get a reaction here, there’s going to be even more scrutiny on the Magic given their win-now summer move.
But I see the hosts tapping into their defense-first culture and embracing the challenge against Boston. Orlando has a slight rest edge over the visitors, and it’s been a bumpy week for the Celtics, with a loss to the Utah Jazz and a slow start on Wednesday before breezing past the Washington Wizards.
Total PicksBOS 313, ORL 173
The Boston Celtics rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year. The most sluggish pace offense in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Boston Celtics are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7). The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Orlando Magic check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season. The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics). The matchup against Boston is a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Boston Celtics are on the road (8th-least in the league).
The Orlando Magic check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season. The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics). The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year. The most sluggish pace offense in the league this year has been the Boston Celtics. The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game this year (5th-least in the league).
Josh Minott has logged an impressive 9.1 points per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.4 points per game last year. The matchup vs. Orlando is a positive one for scoring; when the Orlando Magic are at home, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 10th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (49.9%). The Boston Celtics are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (5th-most in the league) against the Magic, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.
The matchup against the Magic is a favorable one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have averaged the most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.8). The Boston Celtics are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Magic may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a colossal 5.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (most in the league).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last year's 4.9 clip, Neemias Queta's points per game have jumped this year to 9.1. The Boston Celtics are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Goga Bitadze has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
Sam Hauser has gone over 7.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Tristan da Silva has gone over 7.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Boston TrendsOrlando Trends| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | wallyswahoos | 8-2-0 | +9400 |
| 2 | POUTANASLAYER | 6-4-0 | +9030 |
| 3 | bigguy69 | 5-5-0 | +9000 |
| 4 | chensucht | 9-1-0 | +7800 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +7450 |
| 6 | YIAYIA | 5-5-0 | +6980 |
| 7 | Peach240 | 6-4-0 | +6450 |
| 8 | elmer58 | 7-3-0 | +5550 |
| 9 | Haloman | 2-8-0 | +5350 |
| 10 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +5300 |
| All Celtics Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | patelnydevil289 | 5-5-0 | +10050 |
| 2 | CRS | 7-3-0 | +8900 |
| 3 | greenhouse12 | 5-5-0 | +8850 |
| 4 | CHEOAPONTE | 8-2-0 | +8100 |
| 5 | mm76ers | 5-5-0 | +7750 |
| 6 | ruxpen | 7-3-0 | +7350 |
| 7 | dave06512 | 5-5-0 | +6800 |
| 8 | muttsanders99 | 5-5-0 | +6200 |
| 9 | fightingwalley | 4-6-0 | +6150 |
| 10 | sshuk | 8-2-0 | +6150 |
| All Magic Money Leaders | |||
