Denver 4th West57-39
Oklahoma City 1st West83-21

Denver @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

Aaron Gordon
A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds

Aaron Gordon has sunk a terrific 41.5% of his three-point attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 26.9 mark last year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 37.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the league).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Aaron Gordon has sunk a terrific 41.5% of his three-point attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 26.9 mark last year. Aaron Gordon has averaged 37.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (10th-most in the league).

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

Michael Porter Jr.
M. Porter Jr.
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds

Michael Porter Jr. has made 6.4 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 88th percentile for three-point attempts without the home court advantage, registering 5.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Michael Porter Jr. has made 6.4 baskets per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 88th percentile for three-point attempts without the home court advantage, registering 5.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 33.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

Nikola Jokic
N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Prop
30.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year on the road. In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year on the road. In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver

Russell Westbrook
R. Westbrook
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds

Russell Westbrook has sunk 37.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.8% less than he's made over the course of the year while playing away from home. Russell Westbrook has shot and missed 3.6 3-point attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's missed from three over the course of the year. Russell Westbrook has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year. In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Russell Westbrook has sunk 37.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.8% less than he's made over the course of the year while playing away from home. Russell Westbrook has shot and missed 3.6 3-point attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's missed from three over the course of the year. Russell Westbrook has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year. In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

Christian Braun
C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds

Relative to last season's 42.7% rate, Christian Braun's shooting ability has increased this season to 56.2%. Christian Braun has averaged 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 94th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the Thunder, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Relative to last season's 42.7% rate, Christian Braun's shooting ability has increased this season to 56.2%. Christian Braun has averaged 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 94th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the Thunder, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Luguentz Dort
L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds

Luguentz Dort has sunk 3.6 threes per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 28.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's impressive 121.4 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. The matchup against the Nuggets is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Luguentz Dort has sunk 3.6 threes per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year when playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 28.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's impressive 121.4 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. The matchup against the Nuggets is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.7 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Jalen Williams
J. Williams
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds

Jalen Williams has made 8.1 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's impressive 121.4 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Jalen Williams has converted 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

Jalen Williams has made 8.1 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's impressive 121.4 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Jalen Williams has converted 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Chet Holmgren
C. Holmgren
power forward PF • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds

Chet Holmgren has sunk just 46.4% of his field goals this season, quite a bit less than his 52.2 mark last season. Chet Holmgren has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 10th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Chet Holmgren has sunk just 46.4% of his field goals this season, quite a bit less than his 52.2 mark last season. Chet Holmgren has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 10th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

Peyton Watson
P. Watson
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Peyton Watson has failed to make 1.0 foul shot attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.4 more than he's missed over the course of the season. Peyton Watson will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production for all stats.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. Peyton Watson has failed to make 1.0 foul shot attempts per game over the last 5 games, 0.4 more than he's missed over the course of the season. Peyton Watson will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production for all stats.

Alex Caruso Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Alex Caruso
A. Caruso
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.9
Best Odds

Alex Caruso has made 2.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made over the course of the year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's impressive 121.4 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Alex Caruso has converted 89.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 11.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while at home. Alex Caruso will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to increase player production for all stats.

Alex Caruso

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.9

Alex Caruso has made 2.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made over the course of the year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's impressive 121.4 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Alex Caruso has converted 89.3% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 11.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while at home. Alex Caruso will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to increase player production for all stats.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Isaiah Hartenstein
I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted just 0.0% of his shots from downtown this year, quite a bit lower than his 50.0 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Hartenstein registers in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.8 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 10th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted just 0.0% of his shots from downtown this year, quite a bit lower than his 50.0 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Hartenstein registers in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.8 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 10th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 10thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 10.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.8
Best Odds

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 100th percentile, compiling a massive 32.1 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.7 minutes per game at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's impressive 121.4 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 100th percentile for free throws sunk, registering an enormous 7.8 per game this year.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.8
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.8

Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 100th percentile, compiling a massive 32.1 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.7 minutes per game at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's impressive 121.4 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 100th percentile for free throws sunk, registering an enormous 7.8 per game this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

Jamal Murray
J. Murray
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds

Jamal Murray has attempted 16.9 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has tallied 41.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 more than he's tallied overall this season. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Jamal Murray has attempted 16.9 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league. Jamal Murray has tallied 41.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 more than he's tallied overall this season. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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