Golden State @ Houston props

Among all players in the league, Alperen Sengun measures in the 25th percentile for 3-point proficiency when playing away from home with a bad 26.4% rate this year. The Houston Rockets check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Rockets. Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance across the board.

Buddy Hield has attempted 7.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The matchup vs. Houston is a good one for three-pointers; when the Houston Rockets are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.4). Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Buddy Hield has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 17.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this season. Buddy Hield is expected to see an increase in output across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Quinten Post will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to increase stat production for all stats.

Draymond Green has played 29.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The matchup with Alperen Sengun places in the 100th percentile with the other team's starting Cs sinking an enormous 39.0% of their treys this year when they are on their home court. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Draymond Green has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 23.7% higher than he's made overall this year while at home. Draymond Green figures to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jalen Green has attempted 7.5 three-point shots per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 32.3 minutes per game away from home this year. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) against the Warriors, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

The Houston Rockets check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Rockets. Steven Adams will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

Relative to last year's 1.9 clip, Dillon Brooks's three-pointers made have risen this year to 2.5 per game. Dillon Brooks has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 85th percentile. This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, branding this as a positive matchup. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Dillon Brooks has sunk 3.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 96th percentile. This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 38.4% on three-pointers (6th-best in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Fred VanVleet has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Stephen Curry has logged 31.2 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 7.6 higher than he's logged overall this season at home. Among all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 100th percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 11.1 per game this year. Stephen Curry has averaged 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 6.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 45.5% on shots from the field (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Rockets, making this a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Amen Thompson has attempted 13.2 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 2.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road. Amen Thompson has successfully made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.4% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. Amen Thompson has played 32.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 87th percentile. The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one for field goal attempts; when the Warriors have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

In terms of offense, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 45.0% field goal percentage places 5th-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a tough one for three-point shots; opposing starting PFs have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (21.7%). The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home. The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Warriors.

Brandin Podziemski has registered 15.1 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 higher than he's registered over the course of the season. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 3.0 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from three overall this year. Brandin Podziemski has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 8.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Brandin Podziemski will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boost stat production for all stats.

Gary Payton II has gone over 5.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Tari Eason has gone over 7.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Moses Moody has gone over 4.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jabari Smith Jr. has gone over 8.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.