Final Apr 30
GS 116 4.0 o203.0
HOU 131 -4.0 u203.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 103 6.0 o210.5
LAL 96 -6.0 u210.5
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE52-30
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33

Houston @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The matchup vs. Houston is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Rockets are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Moses Moody will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raise player production for all stats.

Moses Moody

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Moses Moody has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The matchup vs. Houston is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Rockets are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Moses Moody will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to raise player production for all stats.

Quinten Post Points Scored Props • Golden State

Q. Post
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Quinten Post has successfully made 47.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 13.2% more than he's sunk in all games this year while on his home court. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Quinten Post has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Quinten Post will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to boost stat production across the board.

Quinten Post

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Quinten Post has successfully made 47.9% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 13.2% more than he's sunk in all games this year while on his home court. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). Quinten Post has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Quinten Post will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to boost stat production across the board.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-129

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet measures in the 95th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 7.8 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 96th percentile. This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 38.4% on 3-pointers (6th-best in the NBA) against the Warriors, resulting in a good matchup. The Rockets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet measures in the 95th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, posting 7.8 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has tallied 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 96th percentile. This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 38.4% on 3-pointers (6th-best in the NBA) against the Warriors, resulting in a good matchup. The Rockets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-105

Tari Eason has sunk 42.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 15.1% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year while on the road. The Rockets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year. Tari Eason has converted 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 11.2% more than he's made in all games this season while on the road.

Tari Eason

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Tari Eason has sunk 42.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 15.1% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year while on the road. The Rockets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year. Tari Eason has converted 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 11.2% more than he's made in all games this season while on the road.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 29.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.4 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA). Draymond Green will likely see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering having the home court advantage in this contest.

Draymond Green

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green rates in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 29.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.4 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA). Draymond Green will likely see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering having the home court advantage in this contest.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Under
-125

Brandin Podziemski has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this year at home. The Golden State Warriors have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have registered 12.6 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The 5th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The matchup against Houston may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Rockets are the visiting team (4th-least in the NBA).

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Brandin Podziemski has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this year at home. The Golden State Warriors have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have registered 12.6 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity. The 5th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors. The matchup against Houston may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Rockets are the visiting team (4th-least in the NBA).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Rockets have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 38.4% on field goal attempts (2nd-weakest in the NBA) against the Warriors, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities today from being pitted against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors). Jalen Green has successfully made 56.3% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 22.2% lower than he's put through the net overall this year away from home. Jalen Green will likely suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this game.

Jalen Green

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

The Rockets have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 38.4% on field goal attempts (2nd-weakest in the NBA) against the Warriors, marking this as a challenging matchup. The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities today from being pitted against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors). Jalen Green has successfully made 56.3% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 22.2% lower than he's put through the net overall this year away from home. Jalen Green will likely suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this game.

Jimmy Butler III Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Butler III
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The Golden State Warriors have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 5th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Jimmy Butler III

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

The Golden State Warriors have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games. The 5th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-125

The Rockets have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities today from being pitted against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors). Alperen Sengun will likely see a decline in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

The Rockets have been the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year. The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities today from being pitted against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors). Alperen Sengun will likely see a decline in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga comes in at the 82nd percentile, logging a monstrous 15.2 points per game this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.4 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA). Jonathan Kuminga will likely see a rise in performance for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga comes in at the 82nd percentile, logging a monstrous 15.2 points per game this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.4 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the NBA). Jonathan Kuminga will likely see a rise in performance for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.8
Best Odds
Over
-111

Stephen Curry has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 32.4 minutes per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 45.5% on shot attempts from the field (9th-best in the league) against the Houston Rockets, creating a positive matchup. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.8
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.8

Stephen Curry has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 32.4 minutes per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 45.5% on shot attempts from the field (9th-best in the league) against the Houston Rockets, creating a positive matchup. The Golden State Warriors are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). The Warriors check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
+100

Amen Thompson has converted 7.5 field goals per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.6 more than he's made overall this season when playing on the road. Compared to last year's 13.4% mark, Amen Thompson's three-point effectiveness has risen this year to 23.0%. Out of all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The Rockets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Amen Thompson has converted 7.5 field goals per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.6 more than he's made overall this season when playing on the road. Compared to last year's 13.4% mark, Amen Thompson's three-point effectiveness has risen this year to 23.0%. Out of all players in the NBA, Amen Thompson lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The matchup against Golden State is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). The Rockets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-106

Dillon Brooks has made a terrific 2.5 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.9 rate last season. Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 86th percentile. The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Rockets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Dillon Brooks has made a terrific 2.5 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.9 rate last season. Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 86th percentile. The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.0%). The Rockets have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.7 offensive boards per game this year.

Steven Adams Points Scored Props • Houston

S. Adams
center C • Houston
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.89
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-155
Under
+120
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
3.89
Best Odds
Over
-155
Under
+120

Steven Adams has gone over 3.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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