LIVE 11:22 3rd May 1
DEN 59 6.0 o212.5
LAC 61 -6.0 u212.5
Final May 1
NY 116 1.5 o213.0
DET 113 -1.5 u213.0
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Chicago 9th EASTERN CONFERENCE39-43

Miami @ Chicago props

United Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-141

Alec Burks has made an impressive 39.3% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit higher than his 33.8 mark last year. Alec Burks has accumulated 0.8 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Heat will likely see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls). Alec Burks has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Alec Burks

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Alec Burks has made an impressive 39.3% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit higher than his 33.8 mark last year. Alec Burks has accumulated 0.8 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Heat will likely see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls). Alec Burks has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has converted 60.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Kel'el Ware has converted 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 29.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season when playing on the road. Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 27.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.1 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. The matchup vs. Nikola Vucevic is a good one; he has allowed a whopping 16.2 points per game when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Kel'el Ware has converted 60.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 6.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Kel'el Ware has converted 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 29.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season when playing on the road. Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 27.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.1 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. The matchup vs. Nikola Vucevic is a good one; he has allowed a whopping 16.2 points per game when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Coby White Points Scored Props • Chicago

C. White
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-130

The Bulls are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat). The Chicago Bulls have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are on the road (4th-least in the league).

Coby White

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

The Bulls are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat). The Chicago Bulls have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Miami may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are on the road (4th-least in the league).

Patrick Williams Points Scored Props • Chicago

P. Williams
power forward PF • Chicago
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Patrick Williams has sunk 4.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's terrific 122.1 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Chicago Bulls have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. Patrick Williams will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Patrick Williams

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Patrick Williams has sunk 4.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's terrific 122.1 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Chicago Bulls have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games. Patrick Williams will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Chicago

J. Giddey
point guard PG • Chicago
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Under
-105

The Bulls are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat). The Chicago Bulls have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Josh Giddey

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

The Bulls are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Heat). The Chicago Bulls have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Over
+105

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 13.7 shots per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 2.2 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Heat will likely see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls).

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 13.7 shots per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Andrew Wiggins has successfully made 2.2 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, posting a massive 30.4 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Heat will likely see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Under
-103

The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 3rd-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.5). The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo should suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 3rd-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.5). The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo should suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Nikola Vucevic Points Scored Props • Chicago

N. Vucevic
center C • Chicago
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-122

Nikola Vucevic has made 9.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's sunk in all games this season on his home court. Nikola Vucevic has averaged 31.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 83rd percentile. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's terrific 122.1 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc drained against Kel'el Ware has been very high (40.6%) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Chicago Bulls have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

Nikola Vucevic

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Nikola Vucevic has made 9.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's sunk in all games this season on his home court. Nikola Vucevic has averaged 31.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 83rd percentile. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's terrific 122.1 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc drained against Kel'el Ware has been very high (40.6%) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Chicago Bulls have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has sunk 52.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 10.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on the road. Davion Mitchell has converted 50.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 9.8% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year without the home court advantage. Davion Mitchell has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's played in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Heat will likely see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls).

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Davion Mitchell has sunk 52.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 10.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on the road. Davion Mitchell has converted 50.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 9.8% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year without the home court advantage. Davion Mitchell has played 32.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.0 higher than he's played in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Heat will likely see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls).

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Chicago

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Chicago
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-129

Kevin Huerter has converted 5.8 baskets per game over the last 15 games, 2.1 more than he's made over the course of the season. Kevin Huerter has sunk 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Kevin Huerter has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's terrific 122.1 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup against Miami is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Miami Heat are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Kevin Huerter has converted 5.8 baskets per game over the last 15 games, 2.1 more than he's made over the course of the season. Kevin Huerter has sunk 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Kevin Huerter has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. As it relates to scoring, the Bulls's terrific 122.1 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup against Miami is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Miami Heat are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Over
-135

Tyler Herro has registered 27.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.5 higher than he's registered overall this season. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Heat will likely see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls). Tyler Herro has made 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net overall this season while playing away from home.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

Tyler Herro has registered 27.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.5 higher than he's registered overall this season. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Heat will likely see an increase in plays in this game from competing against the quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Bulls). Tyler Herro has made 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's put through the net overall this season while playing away from home.

Zach Collins Points Scored Props • Chicago

Z. Collins
power forward PF • Chicago
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.29
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-118
Under
-110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
6.29
Best Odds
Over
-118
Under
-110

Zach Collins has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.57
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-118
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
5.57
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-118

Kyle Anderson has gone over 4.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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