OKC -6.5 o228.5
DEN 6.5 u228.5
CLE -5.5 o231.5
IND 5.5 u231.5
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33

Dallas @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-105

Draymond Green has sunk 50.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The number of field goal attempts against Dereck Lively II has been very high (12.4 per game) when on the road and matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year. Draymond Green has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 32.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Draymond Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Draymond Green has sunk 50.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.2% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. The number of field goal attempts against Dereck Lively II has been very high (12.4 per game) when on the road and matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year. Draymond Green has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 32.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Dereck Lively Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II has sunk 65.0% of his shots from the field away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Dereck Lively

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Dereck Lively II has sunk 65.0% of his shots from the field away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Over
+104

Stephen Curry has attempted 19.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry slots into the 99th percentile for 3-point shots sunk, totaling 4.1 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 30.6 minutes per game this year. Stephen Curry has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (17th percentile). The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Stephen Curry has attempted 19.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry slots into the 99th percentile for 3-point shots sunk, totaling 4.1 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 30.6 minutes per game this year. Stephen Curry has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (17th percentile). The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4).

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a difficult one for scoring; when squaring off against other starting SGs this year, they have made a measly 42.0% of their field goal attempts (24th percentile). The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a difficult one for scoring; when squaring off against other starting SGs this year, they have made a measly 42.0% of their field goal attempts (24th percentile). The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has sunk 0.0% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.1

Kevon Looney has sunk 0.0% of his three-point shots since the start of last season, placing him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games. The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Golden State Warriors.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Daniel Gafford has made 75.8% of his shot attempts from the field away from home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford lands in the 75th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, posting a monstrous 2.8 foul shots per game this year.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Daniel Gafford has made 75.8% of his shot attempts from the field away from home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford lands in the 75th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, posting a monstrous 2.8 foul shots per game this year.

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Dončić
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has notched a measly 28.1 points per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 32.7 points per game last year. The Mavericks rank as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in regard to three-point attempts. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 9th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors). Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 6.7 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 8.3 mark last year. Luka Doncic should suffer a drop-off in output across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

Luka Dončić

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.6
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.6

Luka Doncic has notched a measly 28.1 points per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 32.7 points per game last year. The Mavericks rank as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in regard to three-point attempts. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 9th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors). Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 6.7 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 8.3 mark last year. Luka Doncic should suffer a drop-off in output across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

Andrew Wiggins has registered 17.2 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 83rd percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins places in the 84th percentile for 3-point shots sunk, compiling 2.2 per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.4

Andrew Wiggins has registered 17.2 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 83rd percentile. Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins places in the 84th percentile for 3-point shots sunk, compiling 2.2 per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 3.8 foul shots per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-124

Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's converted in all games this year. Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Jonathan Kuminga has sunk 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's converted in all games this year. Jonathan Kuminga has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Warriors. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds
Over
-105

Kyrie Irving has made 8.9 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Kyrie Irving has successfully made 4.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while on the road. Kyrie Irving has averaged 35.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 94th percentile. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

Kyrie Irving has made 8.9 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Kyrie Irving has successfully made 4.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year while on the road. Kyrie Irving has averaged 35.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 94th percentile. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

P.J. Washington has made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 15.8 shot attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a positive matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

P.J. Washington

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

P.J. Washington has made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 15.8 shot attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a positive matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-125

Klay Thompson has attempted 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup against the Warriors is a good one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (47.0%). The 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Klay Thompson has attempted 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup against the Warriors is a good one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (47.0%). The 6th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Dallas Mavericks. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the league).

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.28
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+104
Under
-128
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
11.28
Best Odds
Over
+104
Under
-128

Brandin Podziemski has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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