Dallas @ Oklahoma City Picks & Props

In contrast to last season's 32.7 mark, Luka Doncic's points per game have regressed this season to 28.7. The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 6.8 free throws per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.3 rate last year. Luka Doncic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance for all stats.

Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort slots into the 81st percentile for 3-point shots made, totaling 2.1 per game this year. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's excellent 119.6 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Relative to last season's 80.5% clip, Luguentz Dort's foul-shot effectiveness has spiked this season to 91.0%. Luguentz Dort will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this season. The 4th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 9thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Quentin Grimes should see a decline in output for all stats considering being on the road in this contest.

Out of all players in the NBA, Isaiah Hartenstein comes in at the 82nd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 29.3 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season. When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's excellent 119.6 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The number of field goal attempts against Dereck Lively II has been quite high (12.6 per game) when on the road and defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Dereck Lively II has been quite high (4.6 foul shot attempts per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (96th percentile).

The 4th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder rank 9thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

P.J. Washington has successfully made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Among all players in the league, P.J. Washington lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington comes in at the 85th percentile for foul-shot performance while playing away from home with an impressive 91.0% rate this year.

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford slots into the 98th percentile for shooting performance without the home court advantage with a terrific 74.0% rate this year. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 75th percentile for drawing fouls, logging a colossal 2.8 foul shot attempts per game this year.

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's excellent 119.6 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Alex Caruso has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 37.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Alex Caruso is expected to get a boost in performance for all stats in light of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

When it comes to shooting, the Thunder's excellent 119.6 points per game places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Thunder will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks). Cason Wallace is expected to get a boost in production for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving ranks in the 97th percentile for shots from the field scored, averaging a whopping 9.0 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has successfully made 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while playing on the road. Out of all players in the league, Kyrie Irving measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.1 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 44.1% on threes (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 96th percentile for shooting proficiency when playing away from home with an excellent 66.3% rate this year. The matchup against Isaiah Hartenstein is a positive one for 3-point shots; when Hartenstein is at home fellow starting Cs since the start of last season, they have converted a massive 62.5% of their three-pointers (100th percentile). The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Isaiah Hartenstein has been remarkably high since the start of last season (5.3 free throws per game when they are on the away squad: 100th percentile).

Among all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson ranks in the 94th percentile for 3-pointers drained, posting 2.8 per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court. The Mavericks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Kenrich Williams has gone over 3.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Isaiah Joe has gone over 6.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Aaron Wiggins has gone over 7.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Spencer Dinwiddie has gone over 7.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Naji Marshall has gone over 7.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.