Miami @ Washington props

Relative to last season's 22.7% mark, Justin Champagnie's 3-point ability has spiked this season to 34.2%. Justin Champagnie has played 26.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.7 more than he's played overall this season. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a good matchup. The 3rd-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Wizards. The Wizards have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Alec Burks has made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from downtown overall this season. Alec Burks has averaged 0.9 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 20th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Wizards).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Bam Adebayo will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.

Davion Mitchell has made 51.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Davion Mitchell has successfully made 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. Davion Mitchell has tallied 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Wizards).

Haywood Highsmith has averaged 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Wizards). Haywood Highsmith has made 93.8% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 18.8% higher than he's converted overall this year.

AJ Johnson has attempted 10.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. AJ Johnson has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.4 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The matchup against Miami is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Heat are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The 3rd-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Wizards. The Wizards have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro has converted 52.4% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 15.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 35.4 minutes per game away from home this year. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Washington is a favorable one; when the Wizards are playing at home, they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.8). The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Wizards).

Bub Carrington has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile). The Washington Wizards check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Washington Wizards. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Pelle Larsson has sunk 53.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 10.2% more than he's converted over the course of the season away from his home court. Pelle Larsson has sunk 62.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 26.4% more than he's converted from three in all games this season. The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 50.2% on shots from the field (4th-highest in the league) against the Wizards, designating this as a good matchup. The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Wizards).

Kel'el Ware has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.3 more than he's committed over the course of the season on the road. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Kel'el Ware measures in the 19th percentile for free-throw proficiency with a poor 66.1% rate this year. The matchup with Alex Sarr in regard to getting to the free-throw line measures in the 17th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year when they are on the road.

In contrast to last season's 7.2 clip, Jordan Poole's three-point attempts have surged this season to 9.2 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 29.9 minutes per game this year. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have averaged 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup for offensive output. The 3rd-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Wizards. The Wizards have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Colby Jones has gone over 8.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Alex Sarr has gone over 15.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Anderson has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.